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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · 3h

Another fun fact is over capacity at AI conference: NeurIPS forced reviewers to reject hundreds of papers they had wanted to accept!

And "AGI" is being rebranded to "Super Intelligence", an apparent nod to the fact that its not going to be very general any time soon.

carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · 3h

One thing that struck me is the weakness of supposed progress in reasoning models - it may be due to overfitting the models to small benchmarks, as it has been observed how adding irrelevant facts to reasoning problems can drive it off the rails.

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · 3h

Are you looking for TMI about AI? Look no further - the 2025 State of #AI report is here! I'm still wrapping my head around the information overload in this report 🤯

Please share your favorite finding in the report here!

www.stateof.ai

State of AI Report 2025

The State of AI Report analyses the most interesting developments in AI. Read and download here.

www.stateof.ai

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · 3d

Is there an organization you would recommend for foreigners to make donations to help?

carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · 14d

More news from the intersection of AI and churn, my two favorite subjects: Vibe coding usage plunged after summer high.

- Lovable down 40% since its peak
- Vercel's v0 visits plunge 64%
- Bolt.new slipped 27% since June

www.businessinsider.com/ai-vibe-codi...

#AI #genai #churn #aihype

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · 14d

Glad you’re okay!

carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · 21d

and I'm like "why am I paying for this when the free version is enough?" I guess I can keep this up until enshitification sets in and they start showing ads! 😂 What does your GenAI subscriber behavior look like?

carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · 21d

I am officially a serial churner from GenAI products - in the last 6 months I have signed up and then canceled a month each of both Claude and Gemini. I was working on specific projects, hit the limits, and I signed up. Then I finished the projects, my usage dropped...

#genai #churn

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Sep 10

"AI seems to have reached its iPhone 4 moment", meaning noticeable slowdown in improvements (for those of you old enough to remember the iPhone 4 ;-)

".this sort of feeling of disappointment is due to unreasonable levels of hype." The culprits? Usual suspects: Altman, Musk, Amodei (Anthropic)

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Sep 10

TLDR : AI has led to reasonable revenue growth for a few companies that are pioneering in AI, but no broader economic growth or productivity gains.

www.businessinsider.com/ai-hype-cras...

#AIHype #LLM

Tech's hottest industry is facing a brutal reality check. That's a good thing in the long run.

Between Nvidia's recent earnings and OpenAI's underwhelming GPT-5, it's clear AI is entering its "meh" era. That's good news for everyone.

www.businessinsider.com

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Sep 5

3. Neusosymbolic AI - combine statistical approaches with abstract reasoning logic, like humans do

Billions have already been wasted! But will investors learn and stop throwing good money after bad?

carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Sep 5

Marcus recommends three new approaches to invest in, all based on scientific evidence from human cognition:

1. AI that builds World models a relationship between concepts the way humans do

2. Building in basic concepts like time, space and causality, like human infants have

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Sep 5

That scaling has plateaued is clear from the GPT-5 and llama fiasco‘s. Billions were spent for very minimal improvements. Marcus does engage in a little “I told you so” victory lap here referring to his 2022 assertions that were ridiculed back then. Can’t really blame him - Who’s laughing now?

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Sep 5

Are you an LLM AGI skeptic? Leading LLM AGI skeptic Gary Marcus has posted an op Ed in the New York Times:

TLDR : scaling has really run out of steam. New approaches are needed.

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/03/o...

#aihype #llm #agi

Opinion | The Fever Dream of Imminent Superintelligence Is Finally Breaking

www.nytimes.com

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 30

business owners and customers are humans and they shouldn’t have to bear the cost. I live in Berkeley so trust me I know what I’m talking about. You probably live in a gated community You Bastard 😉

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 29

I’m going to stick my neck out here: the camps do real economic harm to nearby businesses. The reality is people don’t want to walk past camps to shop or rent an apartment. If you want to, invite some unhoused to camp at your place. But it needs to be banned and enforced anywhere near businesses.

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 29

Need some last minute reading for your Labor Day Weekend? Just in time, its @manning.com #labordaysale! Labor can meet the beach as you #learntocode or #learndatascience this weekend! www.manning.com/books/fighti...

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 27

Are #AI and #churn your two favorite subjects? Then you are my BFF! But seriously, these two subjects combine in one great article...

AI companies have set unbelievable records for rapid growth in ARR, but these companies have equally astonishing churn rates.

#AIHype

sifted.eu/articles/ai-...

The AI bubble: fuelled by an ARR obsession, undone by churn?

ARR: the tech world’s favourite three-letter flex. LinkedIn is abuzz with discussion about which company has the highest.

sifted.eu

carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 23

I ❤️ #streamlit

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 23

I say brace for my AI induced market volatility 😬

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 22

This #AI report caused stocks to drop this week. Learnings & takeaways:

- Buying tools is better than in-house apps
- Back office automation most successful; most companies focus on sales and marketing.
- managers should drive adoption, not an AI group

#aihype

finance.yahoo.com/news/mit-rep...

MIT report: 95% of generative AI pilots at companies are failing

There’s a stark difference in success rates between companies that purchase AI tools from vendors and those that build them internally.

finance.yahoo.com

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 13

And they might have to make some changes in the way productivity is measured, just as they adapted some GDP measurements to account for quality improvements.

carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 13

Nor should we be surprised that a lot of projects are cancelled. How many IT projects get cancelled? Lots, I assume. And it was probably even worse back in the 90's.

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 13

If the "productivity paradox" of the 90's is any guide, we should start to see AI impacting productivity numbers in about 10 years. So not seeing AI "pay off" yet should not come as a surprise.

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/b...

#AI #LLM #AIHYPE

Companies Are Pouring Billions Into A.I. It Has Yet to Pay Off.

www.nytimes.com

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carl24k @carl24k.bsky.social · Aug 8

Yeah what’s a blue sky vibe anyway? But I do think it would be nice if there were more posts that expressed Manning’s character as an organization that supports learning, not just promoting specific products

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