Author | Lightnews

crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 4h

As much as our moderates complain about progressives fucking up their bag, they never seem to want to be in opposition to them. Say what you want to about Slotkin, but she knew differentiating herself from the woke mob online was worthwhile and benefited from it.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 4h

Spanberger also isn’t averse to shit talking. Her yelling about AOC being annoying probably helps her in NOVA.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 7h

Sharice Davids has already proven that she's an overperformer. Roger Marshall underran Trump by 4 points in 2020.

Dem leaning environment + underperforming R Senate candidate + Overperforming D candidate = Blansas.

Hell, rural Kansas swung left in 2024! That's a blaring loud sign.

crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 7h

If the Kansas R+5 Reflector Poll had the same problem Ann Selzer's 2024 Final Poll had (overindexing to hyper-engaged voters), then they are screwed.

Who the fuck do Democrats think turns out during midterms? Soundcloud rappers. It's going to be these people.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 7h

Like, it really isn't that hard to figure out. You have a state where:

1) The largest county shifted blue during the 2024 election
2) Is more college educated than the general public
3) That's less than R+20
4) Has a two term Democratic governor
and
5) less diverse than the nation writ large.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 8h

Sharice Davids or Donn Teske are going to win the Kansas Senate race to the shock of everyone except people that noticed the state was swinging left at the same rate Colorado and Georgia was.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 8h

I feel like the quickest way to get Americans to be less homophobic is to have two All-American boys date each other. Gay marriage will get secured through this.

crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 8h

The culture needs a Joe Burrow x Drew Starkey relationship.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

I think they can, they just need to change their strategy. They've had decent successes already. They just need to pivot a bit.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

Obama is the Michael Jordan/Tom Brady of Democratic politics. Just because he's a superstar doesn't mean the team around him is stellar. Just ask Bill and Jordon.

crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

Democrats talk around the fact that the Obama clingers-on need to be removed. They've clearly failed.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

I don't think the Kansas Democratic Party is that incompetent. I know it can feel that way because of the tint of the state, but they are pretty decent at their jobs. I do think Ethan Corson is a horrible candidate, but that's more Sebelius and Obama continuing to carry weight around the party.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

Anyways, if the Democratic Party wants to be viable in the future they need to learn how to campaign in the Sedgwick's and Oklahoma's and Tulsa's of the world. That won't be easy, but it's not as difficult as people believe. Those counties are already becoming Dem-curious.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

I get your point now. I do think Davids might be different because she also has to campaign in Miami and Anderson County, but I also don't think Sedgwick is that different from a Johnson or Wyandotte County. It's ultimately still an urban county.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

We have got to let go of our pre-conceived notions about these states. Imagine telling someone in 1980 that West Virginia would be a solid red state while Colorado is a solid blue one. The world is far more amorphous and chaotic than we recognize. Good surprises can happen.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

It’s not, they can win the county. Laura Kelly has done it multiple times and some no name almost did it in 2022 against Kris Kobach.

What I’m saying is that a blue Sedgwick county on the national level isn’t that far off from reality in the future.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

I hate doomerism because it feels privileged and doesn’t bear out in the grand scheme of things. Our electoral map is far more unstable than we realize and things change a lot. You have to at least try.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 10h

Mark Holland ran in 2022 and Moran lost Johnson County. Anyways at this point Democrats need to get a state on the board. Kansas has relatively cheap media markets and good trends for the party relative to everywhere else. They need to invest.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 11h

Proof is in the pudding.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sedgwic...

Image of the vote margin in Sedgwick County. The 2024 margin is closer than the 2016 one. #Noticing.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 11h

Even if it does resonate with them, I don’t give a shit. They have tacky ass taste and should know that.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 22h

Of course not. It's not like Usha cares anyway, he's her meal ticket to the brighter side of things.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 1d

We have to figure out how to con the billionaires in a constant surveillance system. AHHH!!!!!!

Paris Marx @parismarx.com · 1d

the longer we allow these platforms to fill the information environment with bullshit, the faster we’ll decline as a society

Culture Crave 🍿 @culturecrave.co · 2d

Kim Kardashian says the Moon landing was fake

"Go to TikTok ... see for yourself ... Why is the flag blowing? ... Why are there no stars?"

NASA responds:

"Yes, we've been to the Moon before ... six times"

crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 1d

At the point where I want to get married for financial reasons.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 1d

Every day we get closer to the Paige Desorbo presidency.

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crispychickn.bsky.social @crispychickn.bsky.social · 1d

Operation Sunflower better be a go.