Dimitri Perrin
@dperrin.bsky.social
150 followers 85 following 62 posts
Co-Director, QUT Centre for Data Science. Head of Data Science, Queensland Reds. Data Science, Machine Learning and AI applied to health, biology, and sports. 🇫🇷 -> 🇮🇪 -> 🇯🇵 -> 🇮🇪 -> 🇯🇵 -> 🇦🇺
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dperrin.bsky.social
If you are coming to IDW, you will see many of our Centre members Monday-Thursday, but you can also join us on Friday for further networking: events.humanitix.com/screens-stor...
Reposted by Dimitri Perrin
robp.bsky.social
And it's posted! If you're interested and eligible, please consider applying through the UMD portal: umd.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UMCP/j....

If you're a PI working in algorithmic genomics (& you can recommend my lab to your top graduating students ;P), please let them know!
dperrin.bsky.social
It depends how we define fairness. Does a fair draw give teams an equal chance of reaching the round of 16 (irrespective of their strength), or does it give them a probability that is as close as possible to their strength? And do we maximise average fairness, or minimise the largest unfairness?
dperrin.bsky.social
Yes, I’ve noticed that it is what you have done, but I wasn’t sure what made it fair. It makes being ranked 6th the best possible ranking (assuming that the rankings actually reflect team strength).
dperrin.bsky.social
It depends what you mean by fair. Is it about giving relatively weaker teams a leg up, to increase competition, or is it about rewarding higher ranked teams?
dperrin.bsky.social
You’re very welcome. Pre-ordered and all set to dive into it once it drops.
dperrin.bsky.social
Australia dropped to 7th, but looking at a single week does not give you the whole picture. You need to look at all possible results, so it is time to update the rankings simulations. Everything is still to play for, not just for the TRC. open.substack.com/pub/dimitrip...
Back to square one?
If everyone is special, no one is.
open.substack.com
dperrin.bsky.social
This should be a good read. I’m looking forward to it.
samlstandsup.bsky.social
That big news I teased yesterday?

I've written a book!

Attacking the Space: Inside Rugby's Tactical and Data Revolution is the book I wanted to read as a rugby obsessive kid. It will be released on the 29th January 2026, the pre-order link is:

geni.us/AttackingThe...

1)
dperrin.bsky.social
It might have been Jonathan Drennan’s SMH article. It was pretty good, but missing the impact of the sequence of results as well as the results from the other teams. That’s where the simulation tool becomes handy. It captures all games, rather than just the Wallabies.
dperrin.bsky.social
On one of your last points, on the impact on the rankings and a top-6 seeding for the World Cup, I have updated the little tool I wrote last week, and it is still far from certain. Even beating Argentina twice would not guarantee it: bsky.app/profile/dper...
dperrin.bsky.social
I have updated my simulations to include the two results from the weekend. Great win for the Wallabies, but consistency will be key to get a top-6 seeding. It is still far from certain: open.substack.com/pub/dimitrip...
A win for the ages, but it does not guarantee top 6
Still a long road ahead before Australia gets a top seed for the World Cup draw
open.substack.com
dperrin.bsky.social
I have updated my simulations to include the two results from the weekend. Great win for the Wallabies, but consistency will be key to get a top-6 seeding. It is still far from certain: open.substack.com/pub/dimitrip...
A win for the ages, but it does not guarantee top 6
Still a long road ahead before Australia gets a top seed for the World Cup draw
open.substack.com
dperrin.bsky.social
First post on substack. I’ve had a look at World Rugby rankings, and what they might look like by the time they really matter (when the RWC draw is made). It’s there: open.substack.com/pub/dimitrip...
The race for ranking points and a good RWC draw
A simulation-based look into the next few months of international rugby
open.substack.com
Reposted by Dimitri Perrin
anshulkundaje.bsky.social
@saramostafavi.bsky.social (@Genentech) & I (@Stanford) r excited to announce co-advised postdoc positions for candidates with deep expertise in ML for bio (especially sequence to function models, causal perturbational models & single cell models). See details below. Pls RT 1/
dperrin.bsky.social
I’ve also been tracking selections and minutes (but don’t have it on my phone). I’ll check later.
dperrin.bsky.social
I’ll probably run out of time before the Super Rugby season ends, but I might try something later. Worst case, it’s ready for next season.
dperrin.bsky.social
There may be a way to do it in a way that is public friendly. I had something related for baseball, but without the idea of visualising it as the ladder itself. (though perhaps not the best example in terms of ease of interpretation; it can be improved)
dperrin.bsky.social
It takes a bit of scrolling, but the Super Rugby website has a list of injured players for each round.

An alternative could be to look at stability of the 23 week to week, as rotation can be enforced (injuries) or voluntary (Leinster, or Brumbies round 1 on a smaller scale).
dperrin.bsky.social
Very nice indeed! For extra points, lighter background and the horizontal bar is a colour gradient based on the probability of each position for that team. 😁
dperrin.bsky.social
Nice write up. Your last point on cohesion from 2024 into 2025 is important. I’ve looked at the impact for the last RWC, and it was quite striking (that will hopefully be out soon; writing in progress). For SRP, the impact of injuries on the cohesion week to week (or lack thereof) further adds to it
Reposted by Dimitri Perrin
sydonahi.bsky.social
I can't emphasize how important this is. If you are not an expert or able to check AI outputs you cannot use them safely.

To add to this conversation here is recent work from Anthropic showing that REASONING models are NOT FAITHFUL

mini 🧵

(🔭🧪)

www.anthropic.com/research/rea...