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Amid budget crisis, Russia cuts regional payments for military contracts
Amid budget crisis, Russia cuts regional payments for military contracts
The analytical community Resurgam reported the development, noting that these cuts could mark the Kremlin’s attempt to test public reaction before wider implementation.About a month ago, Resurgam examined the mounting fiscal problems in regional budgets, which provide between 60% and 80% of the financial incentives for recruiting contract soldiers for the war in Ukraine. The experts emphasize that while war spending is the last thing the Kremlin would normally cut, the current economic pressures appear to be forcing otherwise unthinkable decisions.In early October, complaints surfaced online from Tatarstan, Chuvashia, and Mari El, where those who had recently signed contracts expecting payments of 2.1 to 3.5 million rubles discovered they would now receive significantly less. At first, there was no official confirmation, as Russian authorities appeared to be concealing the information. However, Resurgam notes that confirmation eventually came when regional military commissariat websites quietly changed their banners, listing far smaller contract payments. Local media also began to acknowledge the reductions.In Chuvashia, payments fell from 2.5 million to 800,000 rubles.In Tatarstan, from 3.1 million to 800,000 rubles.In Mari El, from 2.6 million to 800,000 rubles.Resurgam highlights several important aspects of the situation:1. How the cuts were made.Unlike past increases in payments, neither local nor federal authorities announced or commented on the reductions. Information only surfaced after it was discussed online and later confirmed by Kommersant.2. Where the cuts began.Resurgam explains that reductions were first implemented in less densely populated regions, meaning the effect on overall mobilization rates will be limited. However, this approach allows Moscow to assess potential risks — particularly how reduced financial motivation will affect recruitment in regions with high mobilization potential.The group also notes a likely “delayed mobilization” effect: people in regions where payments have not yet been cut may rush to sign contracts before reductions reach their area. This mirrors the brief surge in contract enlistments at the start of the year, when some Russians expected a “quick victory” and sought fast financial rewards.3. Why these regions were targeted.According to Resurgam’s earlier research, the affected regions already faced severe budget deficits. In 2024, Chuvashia’s subsidy rate reached 43% (up from 7% in 2015), and Mari El’s rose to 50% (from 24% in 2015). The deepening economic crisis has further reduced tax revenues, making these regions increasingly dependent on federal subsidies expected later in the year.4. How much was cut — and why 800,000 rubles.Resurgam believes it is unlikely that all three republics independently set the same figure of 800,000 rubles. The identical reductions likely stem from a directive from Moscow, serving as a test threshold for future cuts in other regions. With 64 of Russia’s 83 regions struggling with local budget shortfalls, Resurgam warns that further payment reductions may soon extend across the country.
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Truce in Gaza may last months to two years — Middle East expert
Truce in Gaza may last months to two years — Middle East expert
This assessment was made on Espreso TV by Middle East expert Mykhailo Yakubovych, a candidate of historical sciences and research fellow at the Middle East Studies Department of the University of Freiburg.“Today, this is essentially another attempt to freeze the conflict in Gaza. There have been many such attempts before —threats have been issued towards Israel that never materialized, and there have been exchanges of hostages and prisoners,” Yakubovych said.The expert noted that while both sides will likely try to maintain the ceasefire in the short term, the core issues of the conflict remain unresolved.“A stable ceasefire has now been achieved in Gaza, lasting about two days. How long it will continue remains uncertain, but it appears the parties will adhere to it for the short term. Trump’s visit is planned, though the timing and location are not yet confirmed. Troop withdrawals have essentially begun, and Israel has announced the return of hostages. However, it is clear that the truce will not endure indefinitely. I believe the ceasefire in Gaza could last anywhere from two months to two years. Since both sides keep the same positions and the main actors are still involved, the conflict could escalate again. The fundamental issues remain unresolved: the recognition of Palestine has not benefited Palestinians, and Hamas has no intention of disarming,” he added.BackgroundOn September 28, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that his plan to resolve the Gaza conflict had been received positively. On September 29, Donald Trump presented the Gaza ceasefire plan in Washington during a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.On October 3, Trump announced a deadline for Hamas regarding the Gaza Strip, warning that if an agreement was not reached by Sunday evening, the group would face “a hell like no one has ever seen.”That same Friday, October 3, Hamas agreed to some elements of the U.S. President’s peace plan for the Gaza Strip.Later, Bloomberg reported that on October 6, Israel and Hamas would hold talks in Egypt on Trump’s peace plan aimed at ending the war in Gaza.On October 8, the U.S. president announced plans to visit the Middle East later in the week to promote Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation.On October 9, Donald Trump announced that Israel and Hamas had reached an agreement on the first stage of a peace deal, providing for the immediate release of all hostages. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) urged Gaza residents not to return to the city without official authorization.That same day, the U.S. leader said he would travel to Egypt for the official signing of the peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinian group Hamas.
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U.S. likely won’t take direct part in Ukraine-Russia peace talks — U.S. diplomat Carpenter
U.S. likely won’t take direct part in Ukraine-Russia peace talks — U.S. diplomat Carpenter
This opinion was expressed on Espreso TV by renowned American diplomat Michael Carpenter, who previously served as U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs and U.S. Ambassador to the OSCE (2021–2024), in an interview with Anton Borkovskyi, host of the program Studio West."My reading of the situation is that the Trump administration is likely to step back, as I mentioned earlier, from any active role in negotiations. That probably means less pressure on Moscow, but also less pressure on Kyiv, since the United States is unlikely to be directly involved. President Trump appears to be shifting his focus toward the Western Hemisphere, particularly targeting drug trafficking operations in the Caribbean and off the coast of Venezuela," the diplomat commented.If his sources are correct, the upcoming National Defense Strategy will identify the Western Hemisphere as the United States' top strategic priority, followed by the Indo-Pacific region and then the Euro-Atlantic region.“This means European countries will have to take on greater responsibility, both in providing financial support for Ukraine and in supplying weapons. European defense production will have to increase substantially,” Carpenter concluded.Read also: World order is moving towards more contested reality — U.S. diplomat Carpenter
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October 4– 11 live war map: Russia shifts tactics, racing to capture ground as winter nears
October 4– 11 live war map: Russia shifts tactics, racing to capture ground as winter nears
There is some stagnation in the Lyman direction, likely a lull before the storm. Meanwhile, the fronts near Kostiantynivka, Sloviansk, and Vovchansk have grown significantly more active. As a result, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have returned to their daily pace of eliminating over a thousand Russian soldiers. Deteriorating weather conditions have forced Russian troops to rely on armored vehicles they had conserved over the summer — but this strategy has brought no success. On October 9 alone, Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces destroyed eight Russian tanks and 37 armored vehicles, followed by another 16 the next day.Ukraine Russia war live map, October 4-11, photo: EspresoSiversk in circular defenseAfter Putin’s forces occupied the entire coast of the Siverskyi Donets River north of Siversk and began storming Yampil and Dronivka, they shifted their focus south of the city, attacking in the Vyimka and Fedorivka areas. Most of Fedorivka has fallen under the control of the occupying forces, who also advanced northward in the Pereizdne area. South of Vyimka, Russian forces moved about 3 km toward the village, while north of it they managed to create a 4 km corridor through which they aim to encircle the settlement and force the Ukrainian Defense Forces to abandon their defensive positions established since 2023. Siversk itself, which has remained Ukraine’s easternmost stronghold since the start of the war, lies mainly on the left bank of the Bakhmutka River. These are the very areas Russian troops are now targeting, approaching the city from three directions.Meanwhile, anticipating further developments, Ukraine’s General Staff renamed the Siversk direction to Sloviansk, recognizing that preparations for the city’s defense must begin now.Ukraine Russia war live map, October 4-11, photo: EspresoKostiantynivka – front line is getting closerUkraine’s General Staff has officially renamed the Toretsk sector to Kostiantynivka, as intense fighting has long been centered around this city. The eastern front, stretching from Chasiv Yar to the outskirts of Toretsk, remains highly interdependent — a breakthrough by occupying Russian forces in one area could trigger a chain reaction in others. This week, Russian forces advanced from Kurdiumivka to Bila Hora and expanded the gray zone near Oleksandro-Shultyne. As a result, they managed to cross the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal at another point and enter the forest south of Stupochky. Meanwhile, in Stupochky, Ukrainian Defense Forces are holding the Bakhmut–Kostiantynivka highway and protecting the southern flank of Chasiv Yar’s defenders from a breakthrough. This section of the front has remained one of the most stable throughout the year, but the current chain of events could affect the entire defensive system in this area.On the other flank, Russian troops continue their assaults near Rusyn Yar, seeking to gain operational space that would allow them to advance toward Druzhkivka, encircle Kostiantynivka from three sides, and disrupt Ukrainian logistics. However, this week, the Ukrainian Armed Forces successfully maintained their defensive lines in this sector.Ukraine Russia war live map, October 4-11, photo: EspresoWho is implementing Dobropillia gambitUkraine’s Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi once again personally visited the Pokrovsk front, where the situation remains extremely tense. Russian forces continue their offensive on Rodynske and Bilytske. Further south, they have built on previous gains and advanced from Myroliubivka toward Myrnohrad. Daily assaults persist in Novoekonomichne, and Krasnyi Lyman is increasingly falling under Russian control. Notably, surrounded Russian units are refusing to surrender and are attempting to break out — not to the east, but to the west — continuing their line of attack. Some are striking toward Nove Shakhove, while others are trying to regain control of Kucheriv Yar. These efforts are coordinated with simultaneous assaults on Volodymyrivka, Shakhove, and Sofiivka. A large portion of the armored vehicles destroyed in recent days were involved in fighting in this area.At the same time, Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to hold Zapovidne and Mayak, successfully repelling paratrooper attacks on Volodymyrivka while advancing toward Novotoretske. Ukrainian troops still have the opportunity to encircle and eliminate not only the occupiers advancing toward Dobropillia but also those recklessly attacking Rodynske. After all, these assaults have persisted for two months — and Russia’s resources are far from limitless.Ukraine Russia war live map, October 4-11, photo: EspresoRivers as defensive barrier against Russian advances in Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk regionsIt has been more than two months since the Russian offensive in the Novopavlivka direction, in the Dnipropetrovsk region, effectively came to a halt. The occupying forces failed to reach Ukraine’s fortified area located 7 km to the east and 8 km to the south, where the Vovcha River has become a natural defensive line. Although they continue attempts to cross the river and enter the villages of Dachne, Filiya, and Ivanivka, they have been unable to gain a foothold. With the onset of rains, crossing the river will become even more difficult.Further south, Russian troops also failed to capture Zelenyi Hai and Tolstoi or eliminate Ukraine’s salient in the Komar area, which they surrounded at the end of July. Their ongoing attempts to advance, combined with a shortage of manpower, prevent them from seizing the Ukrainian bridgehead on the left bank of the Vovcha River.That is why the Russian Armed Forces transferred as many as four motorized rifle brigades from the Pokrovsk front to the Novopavlivka direction, aiming to finally push the front line forward and dislodge the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the left bank of the Vovcha River.Meanwhile, in late September and early October, Ukrainian Defense Forces launched their first major counteroffensive in the Dnipropetrovsk region, clearing the villages of Sosnivka, Khoroshe, and Novoselivka, and liberating Sichneve. However, Russia later counterattacked, retaking part of Sichneve and fortifying positions in the ravine stretching from Sichneve to Novoselivka.Ukraine Russia war live map, October 4-11, photo: EspresoFurther south, Putin’s forces finally captured Maliivka, Vorone, and Ternove. Using the cover of fog, they entered Oleksiivka but have been unable to consolidate their positions there. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to halt the occupiers in Verbove and maintain their defenses. Russia’s main objective is to continue advancing westward between the Vovcha and Yanchur rivers to cut the Pokrovske–Huliaipole highway, a key route for Ukraine’s logistics.Looking further south, where the Dnipropetrovsk region transitions into the Zaporizhzhia region, Russian forces in most areas have stopped on the left bank of the Yanchur River and are attempting to cross it. This situation has developed particularly near Poltavka and Okhotnyche. In Malynivka, however, Russian troops established positions on the right bank back in 2022 and this week managed to advance into the village, almost completely occupying it. Currently, only Novohryhorivka remains under Ukrainian control on the left bank of the Yanchur River in Zaporizhzhia, where heavy fighting continues.The maps were created based on information received from the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ General Staff, as well as from other open and verified sources. At the same time, the maps are not maximally precise and only conventionally reflect trends in the combat zone.
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Ukrainian drones strike major oil refinery in Russia’s Bashkortostan, source says
Ukrainian drones strike major oil refinery in Russia’s Bashkortostan, source says
Radio Liberty reported the information, citing a source within the security service.According to the source, the drones were deployed by the SBU's Special Operations Center “A”, striking a site 1,400 kilometers from Ukraine. Ufa, described as “one of the largest” oil refining centers in Russia, supplies fuel and lubricants to the Russian armed forces.“After the strike, firefighting units arrived at the refinery, and a column of black smoke was seen over the site. Preliminary reports indicate a fire broke out in the ELOU-AVT-6 crude oil processing unit,” the source explained.The strike reportedly affected the Kirishinefteorgsintez refinery, which has previously been targeted by Ukrainian operations.“This is the third deep strike by the SBU in Bashkortostan in the last month — 1,400 kilometers from Ukraine. Such operations demonstrate that there are no safe places in the deep rear of the Russian Federation. The SBU can reach any targets on enemy territory that are working against Ukraine,” the source said.Since early 2024, Ukrainian drones have regularly hit Russian oil refineries and military targets, and most of these attacks have been confirmed by Ukraine’s General Staff. In official statements, Kyiv emphasizes that these operations are part of systematic measures “aimed at reducing the combat potential of the Russian occupation forces, as well as forcing Russia to stop its armed aggression against Ukraine.”
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EU reparations law could mark real shift in support for Ukraine — U.S. diplomat Carpenter
EU reparations law could mark real shift in support for Ukraine — U.S. diplomat Carpenter
This opinion was expressed on Espreso TV by renowned American diplomat Michael Carpenter, who previously served as U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs and U.S. Ambassador to the OSCE (2021–2024), in an interview with Anton Borkovskyi, host of the program Studio West."This war will continue to test both sides in their ability to innovate and adapt to changing conditions on the battlefield. I believe Ukraine has the upper hand, especially if it receives additional financial support from the European Union.And if the reparations currently being discussed in Brussels come to fruition, I think the Ukrainian side will find itself on much stronger footing than Russia," the diplomat noted.According to him, the initiative now rests with European leaders, who must demonstrate greater determination in diplomacy and stronger support for Ukraine. Early signs are already emerging, particularly in European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s plans for a reparations law, which could mark a real turning point in how resources are allocated to assist Ukraine."The good news is that some of the funds from the reparations loan, if it materializes, could be invested directly into Ukraine’s defense industrial base, which is already highly innovative, adaptive, and technologically advanced, particularly in the field of unmanned systems. This could be a winning strategy, channeling resources into Ukraine’s own defense industry to drive innovation and expand production, giving Ukraine a significant advantage compared to where it stands today relative to Russia," Carpenter emphasized.Amid EU discussions on providing Ukraine with a €140 billion loan from confiscated Russian assets, Russia has begun developing a plan to accelerate the nationalization and sale of foreign assets.
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Shahed drones can be controlled only up to 150 km, but Russia tries workarounds — expert
Shahed drones can be controlled only up to 150 km, but Russia tries workarounds — expert
This assessment was made on Espreso TV by Anatoliy Khrapchynskyi, deputy general director of a company that manufactures electronic-warfare equipment and an aviation expert.“The Russian-controlled Shahed is not very maneuverable. This drone can strike large targets, but at low speeds. I want to emphasize again that Shaheds can only be controlled at a distance of up to 150 km. Russia is now actively building stationary launch sites around Ukraine and in the temporarily occupied territories because they need a reliable launch system capable of receiving communications and delivering strikes — but only within that 150 km range,” Khrapchynskyi said.The expert added that the UAV can adjust its coordinates or make flight corrections over longer distances, but real-time control is no longer possible.“At the same time, the enemy is implementing a mesh modem system. It’s similar to installing a Wi-Fi router in a large house or office: the main router distributes the signal, while repeaters amplify it in individual rooms. Shaheds can now act as repeaters, with the base station located in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine or on Russian soil. Again, this works only within 150 km. Beyond that distance, the UAV can adjust its coordinates or make some flight corrections, but it cannot operate in real time or in FPV mode,” he explained.On the evening of Friday, October 10, the occupying Russian army launched strike drones on Ukrainian territory. In the Chernihiv region, a drone hit an emergency crew, killing two people and injuring three. In Kherson, Russian troops targeted an ambulance, injuring the driver. In the Odesa region, energy infrastructure was damaged, and one person was injured.
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Estonia closes border crossing with Russia amid suspicious military activity
Estonia closes border crossing with Russia amid suspicious military activity
According to the Estonian public broadcaster ERR, cited by European Pravda, the decision was made by the Estonian Border Guard to prevent possible provocations.“Russian border guards regularly patrol the area, but today there was significantly more movement than usual. We decided to close the road to prevent incidents and ensure the safety of our people,” said Künter Pedoski, operational manager of the Southern Prefecture.He added that Estonian patrols were deployed on both sides of the crossing to inform drivers and advise them to avoid the area. Despite warnings, some motorists still attempted to pass through the route, which briefly crosses Russian territory.The closure comes amid heightened tensions on the Estonia–Russia border. On September 19, three Russian MiG-31 fighter jets violated Estonian airspace near Vaindloo Island, remaining there for around 12 minutes before being intercepted by Finnish and Swedish aircraft.European diplomats have since warned Moscow that NATO is prepared to respond to any further airspace violations, including through the use of force if necessary.Just a day before the closure, on October 9, the European Parliament adopted a resolution urging EU member states to shoot down any air targets illegally crossing their borders.Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna has warned that further Russian provocations are likely in the coming weeks.
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World order is moving towards more contested reality — U.S. diplomat Carpenter
World order is moving towards more contested reality — U.S. diplomat Carpenter
This opinion was expressed on Espreso TV by renowned American diplomat Michael Carpenter, who previously served as U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs and U.S. Ambassador to the OSCE (2021–2024), in an interview with Anton Borkovskyi, host of the program Studio West."The world order is now undergoing a process of multipolarization. The bipolar structure of the Cold War was followed by the unipolar structure of American hegemony after it ended. Now we are seeing the rise of new powers, greater competition among major states, and the erosion of the so-called rules-based international order. The war between Russia and Ukraine is crucial because it serves as a crucible in which the growing contest between global democracies and global autocracies is becoming clear," the diplomat noted.According to him, the U.S. has rallied a coalition of about 50 democratic countries around itself in support of Ukraine. If you look at the composition of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, known as the “Ramstein” format, all of its participants are democratic states that support Ukraine. The same applies to the G7 and the Ukraine Recovery Conference, which also bring together democracies that stand with Kyiv."On the other side, we have Russia, Belarus, North Korea, Iran, and China cooperating as autocracies to prevent the victory of Western democracy. So, the way I see the global order evolving is toward a far more contested reality between the forces of democracy and autocracy worldwide. Ukraine is the epicenter of this contest, but it will likely manifest in other regions and other forms in the years ahead," Carpenter concluded.On October 10, US President Donald Trump said he might cancel his planned meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping after Beijing imposed tougher rules on rare metal exports.
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Ukraine's victory is lowest price to pay to avoid global conflict — historian
Ukraine's victory is lowest price to pay to avoid global conflict — historian
This opinion was expressed on Espreso TV by Mirosław Czech, historian, publicist, and former member of the Polish Sejm."Everyone understands that Russian drones in Europe are a very serious matter. Statements and actions by Europe and NATO are no longer enough. All the key declarations have already been made. The commander-in-chief of NATO forces in Europe, American General Alexus Grynkewich, arrived, gathered all the chiefs of staff of NATO forces in Europe, and said that they have a year and a half to prepare for a conflict with China and Russia. Are they all realizing of this?" Czech said.The historian noted that only strengthening Ukraine with modern weapons can prevent a global conflict. Both European and American politicians are well aware of this."Why did Trump make such a statement that Ukraine can win? They realized that the cheapest way to prevent a scenario of a huge global conflict with China is to provide Ukraine with weapons and the capability to defeat Russia. And to ensure a truly just peace for Ukraine. This is the cheapest price in any case. It has been this way since the beginning of the war, and today we have reached the situation we are in, and there is an understanding of this in American military circles. I think Secretary of State Rubio is well aware of this and is taking appropriate action. The first sign has been given — the NATO summit in The Hague on June 24-25, where a decision was made on joint defense, 5%, and so on, meaning that NATO will remain intact and America will not leave NATO," he concluded.On July 28, Andrius Kubilius assured that the European Union would remain involved in the defense of Ukraine regardless of what the United States decides to do.On September 14, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy offered partner countries assistance in training to repel Russian drones.On September 19, it became known that after Russian drones violated the airspace of Poland and Romania, the EU decided to use Ukraine's experience to build a “drone wall.”
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Two killed, three injured as Russian drone hits emergency services team in Chernihiv region
Two killed, three injured as Russian drone hits emergency services team in Chernihiv region
During the night of October 11, the occupying Russian forces launched a series of UAV strikes across Ukraine. The attacks targeted critical infrastructure and civilian workers in several regions, leaving two people dead and several others injuredChernihiv RegionThe most severe incident occurred in the Semenivka community, where a Chernihivoblenergo, company responsible for distributing electrical power to consumers in Chernihiv region, repair brigade came under drone attack near the village of Zhadove.According to regional authorities, one energy worker was killed immediately, while four others were hospitalized with varying degrees of injuries. One of them, in critical condition, later died in the hospital, bringing the death toll to two.The head of the Chernihiv Regional Administration, Vyacheslav Chaus, said the brigade’s vehicle caught fire following the strike. When emergency services arrived to contain the blaze, Russian forces launched a second drone attack, hitting another company vehicle and firing on firefighters.“This is a real shock and a great tragedy for the entire company — for the first time since the full-scale invasion began, one of our employees has been killed while performing his duties,” Chernihivoblenergo stated. “Russia is a terrorist country that now targets not only energy facilities but also the people working to restore them.”Elsewhere in the region, Russian drones struck critical infrastructure in the Nizhyn district, igniting a production facility roof that rescuers quickly extinguished. Another drone hit an administrative building in Novhorod-Siverskyi, but the resulting fire was also contained.Odesa RegionIn Odesa, Russian forces attacked energy and civilian infrastructure, damaging energy equipment, two residential buildings, and a hotel complex, according to regional governor Oleh Kiper.One civilian was injured. Kiper said emergency and repair crews immediately began work as soon as the situation allowed.“Energy workers are making every effort to fully restore power supply. Critical infrastructure was promptly connected to generators,” he noted.KhersonIn Kherson, around midnight, a Russian drone struck an ambulance in the Dnipro district while it was transporting medics to an emergency call.The 60-year-old driver sustained concussion and blast injuries and was hospitalized, according to the Kherson City Council.Kharkiv RegionLate on October 10, Chuhuiv Mayor Halyna Minaieva reported that the city was under a massive Russian attack, resulting in multiple fires.By 11:51 p.m., one man had been injured and treated on the spot. Fire crews managed to bring the blazes under control and continued work to localize hotspots.“Other services are working in their areas, and the city’s vital systems remain stable. Electricity will be restored once the fire is fully extinguished,” Minaieva said.
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Russian assets in Europe. How to make them work for Ukraine
Russian assets in Europe. How to make them work for Ukraine
To finance Ukraine's needs, the European Union must use frozen Russian assets, and there is no alternative, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said in an interview with the Financial Times.How did it happen that the issue of support for Ukraine for the world's largest economies depends on frozen assets that have been unusable for several years?Since the start of the full-scale invasion, the EU has frozen around €300 billion. Of this, approximately €200 billion is held in Belgium — in a financial institution that holds funds that Russia had previously invested in European securities.Europeans cannot simply confiscate this money, as no EU country is formally at war with Russia. Therefore, legislation on the assets of an aggressor state does not apply. So all the options currently being considered are based on attempts to find a legal scheme to leave the money formally Russian, but in fact be able to use it to support Ukraine.The question is: how does all this relate to the security guarantees that the Coalition of the Willing is talking about?No Western country wants to fight for Ukraine. Even the boldest statements from partners concern the deployment of small contingents far from the combat zone. It is obvious that such forces will be more symbolic in nature and will not affect the real defense of Ukraine in the event of new aggression.The most that can be expected is military-technological assistance, participation in the rearmament of the Ukrainian army, and ensuring the financial stability of the economy. In other words, financial rather than military security guarantees, similar to those currently in place.Frozen Russian assets could help rebuild the economy after the war ends. But if they start using them now, a logical question arises: what security guarantees will Ukraine have left afterwards?The expected Ukrainian budget deficit for 2026 will be about $60 billion. This does not take into account military needs, which could double the deficit. If this deficit is covered by frozen Russian assets, they will last for about two years. This will certainly help now, but at the same time, it will call into question Europe's ability to ensure Ukraine's stability after the war.It is clear that Russia will never get back the assets frozen due to its aggression. And the fact that Europe is close to deciding to actually seize them and use them to help Ukraine is definitely a plus.But if the EU truly wants long-term peace on the continent, it needs to look for solutions that provide real and lasting security guarantees for Ukraine, not just a way to hold out for a few more years.Ukraine's security is part of Europe's own security. Security that can be ensured either with frozen assets or with our own blood.SourceAbout the author. Mykola Knyazhytskyi, journalist, Member of Parliament of UkraineThe editorial team does not always share the opinions expressed by the authors of blogs or columns.
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How Putin could respond to Tomahawk supplies for Ukraine — Defense Express analysis
How Putin could respond to Tomahawk supplies for Ukraine — Defense Express analysis
This opinion was expressed on Espreso TV by military expert Valeriy Ryabykh, Director of Development at the media and consulting company Defense Express.“Regarding Putin’s threats, the latest argument was the Oreshnik, which the Kremlin used in an information operation — allegedly deploying it in Belarus. However, no one has actually seen these systems, and even if they were deployed in Belarus, it would have no military significance, only informational value. For example, to strike European targets with medium-range Oreshnik missiles, there’s no need to place them in Belarus at all,” Ryabykh explained.According to him, Tomahawk missiles could indeed be provided to Ukraine, and Russia will then figure out how to react.“Russia may respond to the Tomahawks much as it did to Finland’s accession to NATO — claiming it’s not opposed and therefore accepts it. The same will happen with the Tomahawks, and later with the recognition of Russia’s defeat in the war against Ukraine. The Russians will eventually adjust their rhetoric, but for now, they must rely on what still works for them — the ‘wunderwaffe’ narrative and other show-offs, as Putin himself once called them, in order to sustain their dialogue with the world. However, we can already see that the global community is paying less and less attention to what the Kremlin or Putin personally say,” Ryabykh added.On October 6, Donald Trump announced that he had allegedly decided to supply Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine. On October 10, Vladimir Putin commented on the Tomahawk issue, dismissing Zelenskyy’s statements about possible strikes on Moscow as “posturing.”
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“Thank you to President Putin!”: Trump responds to Putin’s comment on Nobel Peace Prize
“Thank you to President Putin!”: Trump responds to Putin’s comment on Nobel Peace Prize
The American leader posted his response on the social media platform Truth Social.In his statement, Putin claimed that the Nobel Peace Prize has often been awarded to people who “did nothing to deserve it,” and argued that the prestige of the award has now been “almost destroyed.”The Russian leader added that Trump is “trying and working to resolve issues related to peace and the settlement of complex global situations.”“I don’t know whether the U.S. president deserves the Nobel Prize. But he really is doing a lot to resolve complex crises that have lasted for decades. And I’ve already said that I know for sure he sincerely wants this in relation to the crisis in Ukraine. Some things have worked, some have not. Perhaps we will achieve much more based on the agreements and discussions in Anchorage,” Putin said.In response, Trump reposted Putin’s comments on Truth Social with the caption:“Thank you to President Putin!”On the same day, the Nobel Committee announced the winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize — Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado.The White House later criticized the Committee’s decision, accusing it of allowing political considerations to override the true spirit of peace.
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Putin should take Zelenskyy’s words about a blackout in Moscow seriously — Czech
Putin should take Zelenskyy’s words about a blackout in Moscow seriously — Czech
This opinion was expressed on Espreso TV by Mirosław Czech, historian, publicist, and former member of the Polish Sejm.“The Russians will definitely continue these terrorist attacks — just as they did in 2022–2023. Now they have more resources, more drones, and have slightly increased missile production. However, drones remain their main weapon. They are waging a war of extermination. But Ukraine now also has the tools — and if Tomahawks arrive, there will be many more of them. Ukraine is already striking Russia’s energy system; there are blackouts in Russian cities as well. I would listen very carefully in Moscow to President Zelenskyy’s words: if you want to cause a blackout in Kyiv, you will have a blackout in Moscow as well,” Czech said.The publicist believes the war is nearing a turning point, and that the West has no alternative to supporting Ukraine.“The stakes have already been raised to the maximum. The war is approaching its decisive stage. The West will consolidate its support for Ukraine — there is no other way to end this war. Ukraine’s victory is the only way to achieve peace. There is no diplomatic solution under Putin. Those who still do not understand this simply refuse to see reality,” he emphasized.On September 27, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine “is not an aggressor and never initiates conflicts,” but is ready to defend itself against any threat, including the possibility of a winter blackout.
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High Russian losses inevitably affect military prospects — Ukrainian officer
High Russian losses inevitably affect military prospects — Ukrainian officer
This was reported on Espreso TV by Andriy Illienko, an officer with Ukraine’s 3rd Svoboda Battalion of the 4th Rubizh Brigade.“The situation on the front line is extremely difficult. The enemy continues to advance, deploying enormous forces for the offensive and suffering huge losses. Unfortunately, these massive losses have not yet stopped the Russians. However, I am convinced they are only creating the illusion that everything is fine. In reality, they face enormous problems — the scale of their battlefield losses cannot help but affect their prospects. We just need to withstand this onslaught. They likely want to make a final push in this war. The Russians are trying to put simultaneous pressure on the rear and intensify attacks on the front, particularly in Donetsk region. It seems they want to fulfill Putin’s delusion of capturing the entire region. They are throwing tremendous forces in that direction,” said Illienko.He emphasized that support for the Ukrainian Defense Forces remains critically important. According to him, the war has entered a phase when all Ukrainians must be united as never before.“Despite everything, the Ukrainian Defense Forces are holding back the Russian occupation army. Yes, it is very difficult, and unfortunately, we also suffer losses. That is why reinforcements for the Ukrainian  Armed Forces are vital today. It is crucial that the rear supports the front in every possible way. Only this unity will allow us to endure. Today is the moment when we all need to stand together,” Illienko added.According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the beginning of Friday, October 10, there have been 102 combat clashes along the Russian-Ukrainian front. Ukrainian forces repelled 26 attacks in the Pokrovsk direction, with eight more battles ongoing.
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