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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 3h

Sunday 7:41 am: A mild dry airmass has moved over our area. A cloud deck at ~6,500’ altitude will mix away with plenty of bright sunshine and low humidity. Upper 70’s to near 80 pm.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 12h

also won Cy Young and Gold Glove that season.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 12h

Orel Hershiser did some great work in the playoffs and WS in ‘88, MVP in both, this after pitching 59 consecutive scoreless innings late in the season leading up to extra season play…

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 13h

So many memorable WS games…game 6 1975 BOS/CIN…Game 6 1986 BOS/NYM , “congratulations Red Sox, World Series Winners” was already up on the scoreboard at Shea before it all unraveled for BOS, Cubs 2016, some other great games (Kirk Gibson 1988) series…I remember 1969 NYM/BAL, 1968 STL/DET. Amazing.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 13h

What a treat of a series! So many ways thus could have gone. A riveting game 7 9th,10th,11th.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 13h

The tying homer was amazing enough, but a foot that remained airborne instead of touching the plate, and the Willie Mays leap over the left fielder is something new.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 13h

A WS game 7th 9th does not get better than what we just witnessed.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14h

Saturday 10:14 pm: Shower moving into Bruni.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14h

Saturday 9:52 pm: Small shower may briefly pass over the Oilton/Mirando City area.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 14h

Saturday 9:46 pm: A bit more data available for an 8 pm map

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 16h

Saturday 8:20 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Limited moisture available along Rio Grande portion of south Texas as a cold front moves through our area. Almost all, if not all showers, will form over the eastern half of far south Texas, will watch, just in case. 50’s dawn, 70’s pm.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 16h

It’s really a 1 box fits all duration-wise, even with hurricanes which exposure to the core of high winds with something like the 1938 Long Island Express rocketing along at 60 mph to Hurricane Dorian, nearly stationary for an extended period of time!

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 19h

SSHWS is before the fact, EF is after. The clear difference is duration. Both are interpreting impact, one as a potential, the other an after the fact analysis. Do the scales use differing thresholds due to a difference in duration?

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 20h

EF is estimating wind speed after the fact (and may miss higher winds that missed infrastructure). SSHWS is based upon satellite and reconnaissance before and up to a land fall! I certainly defer to your understanding, given your expertise in this topic!

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 20h

Purpose seems similar in that EF is relating damage indicators to likely wind speed while SSHWS is relating estimated wind speed from satellite and reconnaissance to degree of infrastructure damage. Duration of wind from SSHWS certainly would be different! Both are ultimately wind speed vs impact.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Curious to me is that both the Saffir-Simpson and tornadic EF scale which estimates the wind speed that would be required to produce observed damage are 1 to 5 category scales, but are not in agreement with wind threshold.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Cat 5 winds at catastrophic should be sufficient messaging to raise alarm bells. Impact does not get worse than catastrophic. Same with tornado…how does it get worse than all that was left was the foundation slab. There are so many other dangers that Saffir Simpson does not address to folks.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Saturday 9:42 am: Much less visibility given to this report written by top climate research scientists than to Bill Gates 17 page statement, both of which came out within a day or so of each other:

Prof William Ripple @williamripple.bsky.social · 1d

In our new report, based on the data, we suggest that we are hurtling toward climate chaos if trends continue. Thanks are due to my coauthors @michaelemann.bsky.social @petergleick.bsky.social and others. You decide if you agree by reading the paper for yourself here: doi.org/10.1093/bios...

The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink

We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the climate are no longer

doi.org

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Saturday 9:10 am: Warm today, plenty of sunshine, low/mid 80’s. Only a marginal amount of moisture available as the cold front in central Texas moves through our area, shower not impossible this evening, but almost all will be east and south of us. Mid 50’s dawn, 70’s Sunday pm.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Friday 6:25 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Somewhat more humid gulf air will arrive by dawn, some low cloud possible, altocumulus higher up. Mid/high 80’s pm, slight evening shower chance from marginally moist air as panhandle front/upper level disturbance tracks through area.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Great share!

Don [email protected] @donpaulweather.bsky.social · 1d

How Johnny Carson Stopped Me from Ruining Our Careers
donpaulweatherpluspaul.substack.com/publish/post...

donpaulweatherpluspaul.substack.com

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

This tape was played at the introduction to the AMS Broadcast Meteorology Conference in Portland, OR in 2009. I was on the floor, laughing. The reporter and photographer did a great job with this!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

As usual, exceptional coverage of where we are at with forecasting, observations, NWP model advancements in our reduced staffing at NOAA and it’s labs:

Alan Gerard @wxmanms1.bsky.social · 1d

Now that #Melissa is behind us as a tropical system, we need to have an honest conversation about how the federal weather enterprise is still running because of volunteers & unpaid employees, and how this "shutdown" is not really a shutdown.
https://tinyurl.com/2wk36686

Federal weather enterprise rises to the occasion again with Melissa - thanks to volunteers and unpaid employees

When a federal government "shutdown" is not really a shutdown. And also looking at the continued longer term impacts of ongoing and threatened budget cuts.

tinyurl.com

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

I would posit that it was not convincingly conceived by climate change, but that the RI was related to record anomalous deep top layer of ocean warmth available to track over in the Caribbean. Attribution of a warming climate to more access to oceanic heat/low shear will be a fascinating study.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

I want one!