Ian Toria
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ianlegend.bsky.social
Ian Toria
@ianlegend.bsky.social
19 followers 69 following 66 posts
Research Assistant and Content Producer for The Advantage Sports Betting Group☝🏼🏀 Philippines x Austria | Ballsy Maroon ❤️💚
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Best Bet #3:
Z. Edey Under 15.5 Pts+Rebs (-118)

Szn Ave: 16.9 PRs
Last 5 games: 26, 24, 13, 9, 8

NYK vs Opp Cs (Szn/L15)
Least Pts: 6️⃣ / 11
Least Rebs: 3️⃣ / 2️⃣

Edey had a few good games but vs subpar defenders.
When the going gets tough, the Griz go more towards Clarke and Aldama to push the pace.
Best Bet #2:
M. Monk Over 26.5 Pts+Asts (-104)

Szn Ave: 23.2 PAs
Last 5 games: 40, 22, 29, 27, 35

BKN vs Opp SGs (Szn/L15)
FG%: 3️⃣ / 6️⃣
Threes: 3️⃣

Fox's hand injuries are a huge concern right now.
Monk takes a bit more usage.
A good pivot here would be Fox under 22.5 points.
Best Bet #1:
I. Zubac Over 26.5 Pts+Rebs (-105)

Szn Ave: 27.4 PRs
Last 5 games: 22, 20, 40, 18, 20

PHX vs Opp Cs (Szn/L15)
Pts: 3️⃣ / 9️⃣
Rebs: 5️⃣ / 5️⃣

Kawhi's return meant less usage for Zu but I expect him to feast on PHX's weak frontcourt.
Over 13.5 Pts is a good pivot too.
Best Bet #1:
J. Sochan Over 17.5 Pts + Rebs (-105)

Szn Ave: 21.4 PRs
Last 5 games: 9, 9, 13, 15, 22 (vs IND)

IND vs Opp PFs (Szn/L15)
Pts: 1️⃣ / 6️⃣
Rebs: 13 / 5️⃣

Sochan hasn't played well due to his injury.
Now, he's healthy and the Spurs need his energy out there.
@joshlloyd.bsky.social Josh, what if the reason behind Ausar not playing big minutes is related to the aftermath of the blood clot? Would that even be remotely possible?
❌Harden didnt even need to play the entire 4th quarter bcos of the lopsided score. Finished with 6 asts but we did really well with our Zubac props!

win one, lost one ladder play today.
We move on to the next!
✅14+ (-136)
✅15+ (-106)
✅16+ (+121)

and I actually sprinkled some on 17+ and 18+ as well but figured Kessler's defense is leaps better than Filipowski's in the last game where Zu had 20.

Guards vs MIL and Bigs vs OKC are the matchups tomorrow.
You better stay here!
Best Bet #2
James Harden Over 8.5 Assists (+100)
🪜9.5 assists (+162)

Szn Ave: 8.4 apg, 13.4 potential assists
Last 5 games: 6, 3, 7, 11, 11

UTA vs PGs (Szn/L15):
PG asts: 2️⃣ / 3️⃣

Last game vs UTA: 20 pts, 11 asts, 0 TOs
#NBAProps
#NBAPicks
Best Bet #1
Ivica Zubac Over 13.5 Points (-136)
🪜15+ (-106)
🪜16+ (+121)

Szn Ave: 14.7 ppg
Last 5 games: 13, 21, 4, 8, 6

UTA vs Cs (Szn/L15)
C pts: 3️⃣ / 1️⃣0️⃣

Last game vs UTA: 22 pts, 11 rebs, 2 blks
✅5-0 sweeeeeep on our player props and ladders for the day!

WHAT A GAME! Mavs ultimately got the win and so did we.

Hours of research finally pays off so you better STAY HERE!
Cash both bets! Thank you, Tyrese!
✅(-112) 9 asts
✅(+138) 10 asts

That has to be the norm now for the Pacers if they wanna make a push for the Playoffs again.
✅(-145)
The Big Bodega had a big bunch of feet shuffling violations in this one trying to post up smaller defenders.

5 asts to 6 TOs but they get the win so who's counting, really?

Also a 20-20 game for KAT so props to him still. Just small cleanups on aisle four.
Best Bet #2
Stephen Curry Over 24.5 Points (-118) / Play to 25.5
Szn Ave: 22.8 ppg, 62.1% TS, 41.3% 3pt
Last 5 games: 19, 30, 23, 24, 23

vs DAL: 37 pts, 14/27 FGs, 5/12 3pts
DAL vs PGs (Szn/L15):
PG pts: 🔴/4️⃣
PG FG%: 2️⃣ / 2️⃣

You already know why!
#NBAPicks
#NBAProps
Best Bet #3
Tyrese Haliburton Over 8.5 Assists (-112)
🪜10+ (+138)
Szn Ave: 8.4 apg, 15 pot'l asts/gm
Last 5 gms: 11, 8, 8, 8, 6
Home/Road: 8.9 / 8.2 apg

Last 2 gms vs NOP: 11, 13
NOP (Szn/L15):
PG asts: 5️⃣ / 7️⃣

🟢Increased familiarity w/ 3rd game this season.
🟢Total trending over
#NBAProps
#NBAPicks
Best Bet #1
Karl Towns over 2.5 Turnovers (-145)
Szn Ave: 2.4 TOspg
Last 5 games: 4, 3, 2, 5, 2

Last game vs ORL: 5
ORL vs Cs (Szn/L15):
C TOs: 1️⃣ / 1️⃣

Thrilled for the matchup vs Mo Wagner 👀
ORL generates the most turnovers from opposing bigs.
Techs and offensive fouls abrewin?
#NBAProps
#NBAPicks
Best Bet #3
Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists (-156)
🪜Over 5.5 (+127)
🪜Over 6.5 (+228)

Szn Ave: 5.2 apg, 7.5 potential apg
Last 5 games: 6, 8, 7, 5, 7

TOR vs Cs (Szn/L15):
C asts: 1️⃣ / 5️⃣
vs TOR this szn: 10, 7

↪️Pivot: Over 15.5 Rebs+Asts (-112)
vs TOR this szn: 20, 27
Best Bet #2
D. Fox over 6.5 asts (+110)
Szn Ave: 6.0 apg, 11.5 potential apg
Last 5 games: 9, 8, 3, 7, 9

NOP vs PGs (Szn/L15):
PG asts: 5️⃣ / 6️⃣

Last 3 PGs vs NOP:
SGA (4), JDub (5)
CP3 (10)
Tyus Jones (6)

Fox asts go mostly to shooters.
NOP 4️⃣ opp threes allowed, 7️⃣ highest 3pt%

#NBAPicks
#NBAProps
❌So uhm the Warriors contained every Rocket EXCEPT Sengun cos he cooked again on ISOs from the midpost

We're good. 1-1 day but went 4-2 in the discord!
Bad day for spreads, a better day for Unders and props.
Best Bet #1
RJ Barrett over 23.5 pts (-128)
Szn Ave: 23.6 ppg
Last 5 games: 30, 18, 17, 29, 37

This season vs MIA:
25 (10/18 FGs)
37 (15/20 FGs)

Scottie is OUT for a few weeks again.
Barrett will carry the offense for TOR.
MIA def is average across the board vs Opp Forwards.

#NBAPicks
#NBAProps
Q2 CASH! That's Towns' 3rd steal of the night and has 3 more blocks!
Best Bet #2
Karl Towns Over 2.5 Steals + Blocks (+110)
Szn Ave: 1.0 bpg, 0.8 spg
Last 5 games: 4, 2, 2, 2, 3
Last game vs ATL: 1 stl, 3 blks

ATL vs Cs (Szn/L15):
C blks: 7️⃣ / 8️⃣
C stls: 5️⃣ / 4️⃣

NYK vs Cs:
C pts: 4️⃣ / 7️⃣
C FG%: 6️⃣

Towns had 2 blks on Trae floaters the last game.
Best Bet #1
Alperen Sengun Under 21.5 Points (-118)
Szn Ave: 18.5 ppg
Last 5 games: 11, 16, 24, 20, 22

GSW Def vs Cs (Szn/L15):
Pts 8️⃣
FG% 2️⃣ / 5️⃣

vs GSW this season: 16, 14

I wonder what the GSW Analytics Team says about HOU cos Alpy was cooking vs TJD and Looney on ISOs.
Best Bet #4
Luka Doncic Over 4.5 Turnovers (-105)
Szn Ave: 3.3 TOpg
Last 5 games: 4, 4, 3, 3, 3

OKC Def vs (Szn/L15):
PG TOs: 2️⃣ / 6️⃣
SG TOs: 1️⃣ / 2️⃣

OKC is #1 at forcing Opp turnovers per game, which explains their #1 ranking in team steals per game.

SGA, Dort, AC, JDub = 🆘
Best Bet #3
J. Williams over 2.5 Threes (+150)
Szn Ave: 5.3 3PAs, 39.3% 3p%
Last 5 games: 4/9, 2/4, 1/4, 2/7, 2/5

DAL Def vs (Szn/L15):
PF threes: 3️⃣ / 7️⃣
C threes: 4️⃣ / 4️⃣

JDub is playing PF w/ IHart and microball C most of the season.
He shot 3/6 3s in the last game vs DAL.
Best Bet #2
Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 5.5 Assists (-118)
Szn Ave: 6.2 apg
Last 5 games: 4, 1, 5, 8, 11

ORL Def vs PFs and Cs (Szn/L15):
PF asts: 1️⃣ / 5️⃣
C asts: 2️⃣ / 2️⃣

Middleton took on playmaking roles right away.
I'd expect Giannis to dominate in other areas of this game.
#NBAProps
#NBABetting