Jonathan Portes
LightNews LightNews
banner
jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes
@jdportes.bsky.social
63K followers 620 following 4.5K posts

Professor of Economics and Public Policy, King's College London; Senior Fellow, UK in a Changing Europe. Immigration, economics, public policy. Personal views only; usual disclaimers apply.

Books: Immigration (Sage), Capitalism (Quercus)
.. more

Videos

Jonathan Daniel Portes is a professor of Economics and Public Policy at the School of Politics & Economics of King's College, London and a senior fellow at UK in a Changing Europe.

Source: Wikipedia
Political science 31%
Economics 28%
Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Jonathan Portes

batariangal.bsky.social
Julianna 💎 @batariangal.bsky.social · 1h
And few who are sympathetic to us, some who are friendly with me on here, will ever stick their head above the parapet

Reposted by Jonathan Portes, Jill Rutter

ukandeu.bsky.social
UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 1h
🔃 "For public policy reasons and Treasury planning, it would be much better if we knew something about these citizen-emigrants."

✍️ John Mahon makes the case for having a better understanding of the British nationals leaving and returning to the UK

ukandeu.ac.uk/who-is-emigr...
Who is emigrating from the UK? - UK in a changing Europe
John Mahon makes the case for having a better understanding of the British nationals leaving the UK. He argues that the cost to the state of British nationals leaving or returning to the UK varies, so...
ukandeu.ac.uk

Reposted by Jonathan Portes

tobyontv.bsky.social
Toby Earle 🇺🇦 @tobyontv.bsky.social · 2h
every time someone goes on the Beeb, no matter what topic they’re there to talk about, they should add, ‘oh, and Donald Trump is the most openly corrupt president in American history’

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 3h
well indeed! They literally said in court they were targeting people based on skin colour!

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 4h
because it's absolute crap. As I pointed out, the markets were very comfortable with more borrowing/spending in 2010s. Indeed - as I noted at the time - there was no negative bond market reaction to the 2017 election surprise, even though it clearly implied more borrowing and spending.

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 4h
[We also know that, whatever Phillips' professed politics, he regurgitates far-right lies]

bsky.app/profile/jdpo...
jdportes.bsky.social Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 5h
Not main point (see my other post) but depressing that Phillips happily regurgitates entirely fictional numbers invented by far-right trolls on X and attributes them to "experts" {and Times is happy to print this slop]

archive.ph/RlXPj#select...
She has made a start on trying to reduce numbers of those here unlawfully. Bizarrely, we do not even try to estimate how many illegal immigrants there are. Others know — the Americans reckon they have 13.7 million. It matters greatly. The 40,000 or so returns claimed by the Home Office would be impressive if our number were 100,000. But since most experts would put it nearer to two million its efforts seem limp.

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 4h
He explicitly endorses Trump's programme! And we *know* - because the Administration said so in court repeatedly - that they snatch people off the street based on skin colour (contrary to your "badly written" claim that ICE "makes grave errors).

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 4h
Absolutely. I have complained to IPSO on this point.

bsky.app/profile/jdpo...
jdportes.bsky.social Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 5h
Not main point (see my other post) but depressing that Phillips happily regurgitates entirely fictional numbers invented by far-right trolls on X and attributes them to "experts" {and Times is happy to print this slop]

archive.ph/RlXPj#select...
She has made a start on trying to reduce numbers of those here unlawfully. Bizarrely, we do not even try to estimate how many illegal immigrants there are. Others know — the Americans reckon they have 13.7 million. It matters greatly. The 40,000 or so returns claimed by the Home Office would be impressive if our number were 100,000. But since most experts would put it nearer to two million its efforts seem limp.

Reposted by Jonathan Portes, Ben H. Ansell, Richard S.J. Tol , and 47 more

rutgerbregman.com
Rutger Bregman @rutgerbregman.com · 4h
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.

They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 4h
[I should be clear I don't think "markets are always right" - of course they aren't, any more than any other forecasting/prediction mechanism. What the semi-strong EMH says is that they are not *systematically/predictably* wrong]

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 4h
Fair point. But I'd note tahtvat the time the (betting) markets were pricing in the near certainty of a Labour govt. So arguably they (not irrationally) were pricing in a more responsible approach...

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 4h
As @rod-dacombe.bsky.social says, a great research and teaching environment in the heart of the greatest city in the world.
rod-dacombe.bsky.social Rod Dacombe @rod-dacombe.bsky.social · 4h
🚨🚨🚨 Job alert! 🚨🚨🚨
The Department of Political Economy @kcl-spe.bsky.social are hiring a permanent Lecturer in Economics. It's a fantastic department that's really going places.
Please share widely!

www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPL723/l...
Lecturer in Economics at King's College London
Apply for the Lecturer in Economics role on jobs.ac.uk, the top job board for academic positions in higher education. View details and apply now.
www.jobs.ac.uk

Reposted by Jonathan Portes, Stephen P. Jenkins

rod-dacombe.bsky.social
Rod Dacombe @rod-dacombe.bsky.social · 4h
🚨🚨🚨 Job alert! 🚨🚨🚨
The Department of Political Economy @kcl-spe.bsky.social are hiring a permanent Lecturer in Economics. It's a fantastic department that's really going places.
Please share widely!

www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPL723/l...
Lecturer in Economics at King's College London
Apply for the Lecturer in Economics role on jobs.ac.uk, the top job board for academic positions in higher education. View details and apply now.
www.jobs.ac.uk

Reposted by Jonathan Portes

valoisdubins.bsky.social
猫好きな人 @valoisdubins.bsky.social · 4h
The end of that paragraph is absolutely shocking.

Sorry for the caps, but really:

Trevor Phillips WANTS KIDS OF IMMIGRANTS TO BE AFRAID OF LEAVING THE HOUSE, OF GOING TO SCHOOL.

That's full-on fascist racist insanity.
One friend tells me Latino parents are now so afraid to be seen out and about that the other parents have a rota to walk the Latino children to and from school. It is hard to imagine that taking place in Britain.

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 5h
Of course they don't "know'. Like us, they have uncertain estimates -which for the UK are well below 1 million let alone 2.

Reposted by Steve Peers

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 5h
Not main point (see my other post) but depressing that Phillips happily regurgitates entirely fictional numbers invented by far-right trolls on X and attributes them to "experts" {and Times is happy to print this slop]

archive.ph/RlXPj#select...
She has made a start on trying to reduce numbers of those here unlawfully. Bizarrely, we do not even try to estimate how many illegal immigrants there are. Others know — the Americans reckon they have 13.7 million. It matters greatly. The 40,000 or so returns claimed by the Home Office would be impressive if our number were 100,000. But since most experts would put it nearer to two million its efforts seem limp.

Reposted by Jonathan Portes

anthonypainter.bsky.social
Anthony Painter @anthonypainter.bsky.social · 6h
The problem with UK fiscal policy is low productivity, Brexit and a refusal of Chancellors to be straight with the public about what it costs to have the services they want.

None of this is the responsibility of the OBR.

If anything, they've been too accommodating.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
The difficult question about how powerful the Budget watchdog is
Ahead of this week's Budget, some have accused the Office for Budget Responsibility of being a
www.bbc.co.uk

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h
Indeed. You are not disputing that each of these points is factually correct, are you? So the argument is over, agreed.

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h
?? I accepted your challenge, and you accept that you can't dispute any of my points 1-3, from which my conclusion follows. So yes, the discussion is over. Goodnight;

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h
??? You seem to have a problem with logic. Do you accept that 2 is correct? You obviously can't deny it.

If so, then since you accept that 1 and 3 are correct, then my claim was correct. This really isn't hard.

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h
[and frankly if you are saying "ICE have made grave errors" you are disqualifying yourself as being taken remotely seriously on this topic, aren't you? ICE have repeatedly claimed in court that these were not errors but absolutely deliberate policy. Get a grip.]

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h
???

1. He explicitly calls for a Trump-style programme.
2. He explicitly recognises that leads to random arrests based solely on skin colour.
3. It is well documented that many of those arrested have been deported without any legal process

Which of this do you dispute?

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h
Not sure whether people "defending" Phillips in my mentions are deluded or simply incapable of understanding English, to the point of claiming "endorsing Trump just means more effective enforcement of existing rules."

bsky.app/profile/layo...
layog.bsky.social Leo Gibbons @layog.bsky.social · 15h
Is this calling for "random" deportations, or rather is it calling for more immigration raids (as we already do) but doing them at a larger scale so they become a spectacle that shifts behaviour and incentives?
jdportes.bsky.social Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 16h
Trevor Philips in the Times, calling for a Trump/Miller-style of random deportations based on skin colour.

archive.ph/RlXPj

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h
Sigh. Are you saying he doesn't explicitly endorse the Trump-Miller approach, or are you saying that that approach *isn't* as I describe it?

Either would suggest you can't be taken seriously, doesn't it?

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 14h
bsky.app/profile/jdpo...
jdportes.bsky.social Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 16h
Trevor Philips in the Times, calling for a Trump/Miller-style of random deportations based on skin colour.

archive.ph/RlXPj
Second, we need to enforce the policy with a vigour that has reduced flows at America’s southern borders by 90 per cent, and in Denmark by 95 per cent. Crucial to the Trump programme is an aggressive policy of removals, including snatching suspected illegals off the street. One friend tells me Latino parents are now so afraid to be seen out and about that the other parents have a rota to walk the Latino children to and from school.

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 15h
??? It's calling for a Trump style programme which results in people with a particular skin colour/appearance fearing that they will be snatched off the streets and deported. Which part of that did you not understand?

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 15h
We can discuss that, but that has absolutely zero relevance to my point that Phillips is explicitly calling for a Trump-style programme of random deportations based on skin colour, does it?

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 15h
???

1. He explicitly calls for a Trump-style programme.
2. He explicitly recognises that leads to random arrests based solely on skin colour.
3. It is well documented that many of those arrested have been deported without any legal process

Which of this do you dispute?

Reposted by Jonathan Portes

layog.bsky.social
Leo Gibbons @layog.bsky.social · 15h
Is this calling for "random" deportations, or rather is it calling for more immigration raids (as we already do) but doing them at a larger scale so they become a spectacle that shifts behaviour and incentives?
jdportes.bsky.social Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 16h
Trevor Philips in the Times, calling for a Trump/Miller-style of random deportations based on skin colour.

archive.ph/RlXPj
Second, we need to enforce the policy with a vigour that has reduced flows at America’s southern borders by 90 per cent, and in Denmark by 95 per cent. Crucial to the Trump programme is an aggressive policy of removals, including snatching suspected illegals off the street. One friend tells me Latino parents are now so afraid to be seen out and about that the other parents have a rota to walk the Latino children to and from school.

jdportes.bsky.social
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 16h
[obviously, if he'd said "..and obviously I and most Brits would find this morally abhorrent" then I would have included it. But he didn't say that or anything that suggests that is his view, did he?]