Keith Law
@keithlaw.bsky.social
41K followers 330 following 3.5K posts
As long as we got a dollar left, we eat good in this house. Words about baseball, board games, food, and more.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
keithlaw.bsky.social
the post you’re quoting is bogus. The Nobel representative didn’t say that at all.
keithlaw.bsky.social
That’s not what he said. This is outright misinformation.
keithlaw.bsky.social
not at all, it’s an important distinction
keithlaw.bsky.social
all of which is just random noise
keithlaw.bsky.social
That's a strawman - I haven't said "follow analytics entirely." There's just no good argument for that bunt, only bullshit.
keithlaw.bsky.social
you subscribe to a lower chance of winning the game. We have tens of thousands of games to show this.
keithlaw.bsky.social
career .265/.330/.344 hitter with RISP
keithlaw.bsky.social
That's if you need 1 run. It lowers your expected run total for the inning but increases your odds of scoring one run. The Brewers needed 3 or more.
keithlaw.bsky.social
one slap single ... still leaves you down a run, on the road. Earl Weaver wrote about how dumb this was fifty years ago. It's still dumb.
keithlaw.bsky.social
Ortiz had a .276 OBP this year, a down season, and .299 in his career. In the aggregate, he's got at least 35%-40% chance of either reaching base or moving the runners with a ball in play in that situation. Much better than a sac bunt designed to surrender an out for a lower expected run output
keithlaw.bsky.social
that's obviously randomness
keithlaw.bsky.social
oh buddy, analytics departments are not "an excel sheet and AI hub."
keithlaw.bsky.social
Reducing your run expectancy for the inning is what’s wrong with it. Giving away an out for no gain!
keithlaw.bsky.social
Pat Murphy thinks he’s still coaching in the Pac 10, sac bunting down 3
game log from the top of the 5th inning in tonight’s Cubs-Brewers playoff game, showing that the Brewers’ Joey Ortiz sac bunted runners to second and third, followed by Yelich striking out and Chourio popping out so they didn’t score at all
keithlaw.bsky.social
definitely not. You just need to use any of several methods to create steam. And time.
keithlaw.bsky.social
I watched the game, thanks.
keithlaw.bsky.social
it’s been a thing for a few years now … i’m completely in favor, I think most people from a more analytical background also back it
keithlaw.bsky.social
“Deserved” based on what? What insight do you have on the inner workings there, like the responsibilities of specific people? You’ve also missed a few dozen terminations, which is because you don’t have sources in the org or the experience of working in a FO to understand.
keithlaw.bsky.social
appreciate that. just saying that’s one person among hundreds is all
keithlaw.bsky.social
That didn’t happen.
keithlaw.bsky.social
Don’t confuse a single social media post with our hundreds of writers. Thanks.
keithlaw.bsky.social
I am judging him on his decisions, nothing more. Intentionally walking Ohtani cost them the lead and probably the series.