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Mihnea

@miyhnea.bsky.social

1.9K followers 190 following 980 posts

Politics, history. Europe, MENA.

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Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 14h

Turks get 2 MPs though because we treat Turks and Crimean Tatars as two different things

Very fun system

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 14h

Its literally just +20 MPs for the government. They can probably even create more if needed. For example the Czechs and Slovaks are still both getting only 1 Czechoslovak MP bcs nobody bothered updating it since 1991

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 14h

Italian MP is a full father-son grift and there have been doubts about the Jewishness of the Jewish MP

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 14h

Thats universal and not even the worst one. Italian/Armenian MPs have like 700-1,400 votes

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 14h

Yup

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 15h

>Prince Andrew-Assad lobby

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

I'd bet money that its leader, Costiuc, gets arrested before the next vote

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

PAS btw is no less erratic and increasingly heavy handed in Chisinau, banning and arresting opponents under the RU threat. It very quickly targeted the new RO unionist, somewhat pro-EU party alligned with AUR in Romania, by cutting its state funding basically day 2 after the vote

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

Any further Azeri aggression must be countered fully, sadly here the US and Trump are needed as well. But imho, i just don't see an option that does not run through normalizing with Ankara

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

I fully agree. As mentioned i think these moves towards the EU are not well thought out plans but desperate attempts to bind a voter base to something behind them.

We shouldn't be fully deferential to him in all but when the option is him or basically Dodon style 5th columns

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

Its the old truth in east Europe, there is Nationalism and Europeanism alone that can act as grand electoral mobilizations. He does it out of electoral pressure as much as from belief

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

Pashinyan needs a project to offer a population who just saw its nationalist dream implode, who was abandoned by Russia which now demands the entire Armenian nation repent in humiliation that it dared dream of not being run my mafia clans

He can only offer the dream of Europe to the urban classes

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

Ankara is in one of its schizo multicultural peace moods, it should not be wasted. A normalization border opening with TR would genuinely free AR politically to follow a course besides the RU satrapy it was until now.

Aliyev is bad and unreliable though yes, further aggression must not be tolerated

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

My position is that nobody in Yerevan desires a revanchist 2nd round besides literal Kremlin 5th columns

We didn't act then but can push a historic victory, and imho a morally right one, in freeing Yerevan and bringing 2/3rds of the S. Caucasus in the EU sphere bsky.app/profile/dov....

Drow Paweł Włodkowic 🇺🇦🇱🇹🇵🇸🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 @dov.bsky.social · 1d

i dont think we should do foreign policy on the principle of "haha isn't this literally what you asked for" to the most morally bankrupt people on the planet though

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

The most hard nosed realist position is that Brussels must keep Baku neutralish and support an allied government in Yerevan to secure that final normalization with Ankara

I would've supported a strong position against AZ pre/during war but its lost now and one should see a historic opportunity here

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

My most unpopular opinion of the past 3 years is that the EU position on Armenia is the best possible one post-Karrabakh war contrary to some critics

Its exactly that "realist/realpolitik" they demanded but now ignore to yell of moral decadence and lack of high idealist morality they denounce on UA

MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 1d

🇦🇲🇪🇺 It became known when Armenia may apply for EU membership.

Armenian Foreign Minister says that the application depends on a number of factors. But it could happen soon.

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

In this i'd recommend Richard Pipes books tbh, knowing i'll get dunked on a lot, but while he is biased on October to the point of impacting the research he is imho simply terrific at presenting the weaknesses and political bomb of the Tsarist system

"Russia under the Old regime" is great here

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

The thing is the political situation had never been resolved since 1905. Kadets wanted to organize a de facto coup forcing Tsarism into a constitutional power sharing for years now, and through the war due to defeats and growing anger at the incompetence more and more conservatives joined them

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

So an urban minority, of alliances and cliques who were plotting for years by now, taking advantage of the food protests and soldiers unrest organized a de facto coup in February

If you read the memoirs of those involved, from Kerensky to Milukov you'll get that feeling of "something must be done"

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 1d

Both of you are kinda right imho. The food situation in Petrograd had gotten very, the political situation was explosive as it was beforehand, with the tensions in both Duma and population growing, gov being radically unpopular and the shock of the military defeat in Poland

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 2d

We're dark woke. We were to racist to vote far-right

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 2d

Secretly?

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 2d

Btw Chris, have you LibDems actually prepared for ruling like half the country after winning here?

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 2d

After seeing how hated Simion was by old ladies, I don't underestimate the importance of looking/acting like the perfect son-in-law for them

Mihnea @miyhnea.bsky.social · 2d

Vibes are as important as content here and he oozes creepiness