Lightnews — Scholar-powered news

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 16h

Nauru, constitutional referendum:
➤ Eligible voters: ~8,845
➤ Polls open: 7AM—6PM local
➤ One Proposed amendment:
• Change parliamentary terms from 3 years to 4 years
➤ Passing requirement: approval by at least two thirds of voters

➤oceaniaelects.com/nauru

#Nauru

1

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 16h

Nauru, parliamentary election:

➤ Polls open: 9AM—6PM local
➤ Eligible voters: ~8,845
➤ Govt: non-partisan under President Adeang (ind.)
➤ Voting age: 20
➤ 19 seats
➤ 60 candidates
➤ Voting system: Dowdall system—multi-member ranked

➤oceaniaelects.com/nauru

#Nauru

2

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 18h

New Zealand, Progress results:

Christchurch mayoral election

Mauger (Ind.-*): 57.8% (+12.7)
Templeton (Ind.-*): 36.8% (new)
Healey (Ind.-*): 1.6% (new)
Nitro (Ind.-*): 1.5% (+0.6)
Anderson (Ind.-*): 1.2% (new)
...

+/- vs. 2022 result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 18h

New Zealand, Progress results:

Wellington mayoral election

Little (Labour-Centre-left): 56.9% (+56.9)
Tiefenbacher (Ind.-*): 14.6% (+14.6)
Chung (Ind.-*): 11.4% (-3.0)
Baker (Ind.-*): 7.8% (+7.8)
Calvert (Ind.-*): 5.2% (+5.2)
...

+/- vs. 2022 result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1 3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 18h

New Zealand, Progress results:

Auckland mayoral election

Brown (Ind.-*): 54.3% (+9.4)
Leoni (Ind.-*): 20.9% (+20.9)
Johnston (Ind.-*): 8.0% (+6.8)
Stam (Ind.-*): 3.9% (+3.9)
Alcock (Ind.-*): 3.3% (+2.0)
...

+/- vs. 2022 result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1 2

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 3d

New Zealand, Curia poll:

Preferred prime minister

Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 21% (+3)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 20% (-2)
...

+/- vs. 31 August - 02 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 3d

New Zealand, Curia poll:

Seat projection

Labour (Centre-left): 40 (-2)
National (Centre-right): 38 (-4)
Green (Green): 15 (+2)
NZ First (*): 13 (+3)
...

+/- vs. 31 August - 02 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

4

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 3d

New Zealand, Curia poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 31% (-3)
National (Centre-right): 30% (-3)
Green (Green): 12% (+1)
NZ First (*): 11% (+3)
ACT (Libertarian): 7%
...

+/- vs. 31 August - 02 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

5

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 6d

New Zealand, Verian poll:

Māori ward referendum, Wellington

Keep: 59%
Remove: 41%

Fieldwork: 04-06 September 2025
Sample size: 403

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1 3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 9d

Australia, Essential Research poll:

Two-Party Preferred

ALP (Centre-left): 54% (-1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47% (+2)

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: September 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

1

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 9d

Australia, Essential Research poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 37% (+2)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 29% (-3)
ONP (Right): 14% (+8)
GRN (Green): 12%
TOP (Right): 2%

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: September 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

2

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 9d

New Zealand, Verian poll:

Wellington mayoral election

Little (Labour-Centre-left): 58% (new)
Chung (Ind.-*): 16% (+2)
Tiefenbacher (Ind.-*): 10% (new)
...

+/- vs. 2022 election

Fieldwork: 04-06 September 2025
Sample size: 403

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

5

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 10d

New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll:

Seat projection

National (Centre-right): 39 (+3)
Labour (Centre-left): 36 (-6)
Green (Green): 17
ACT (Libertarian): 11 (-2)
...

+/- vs. 28 July - 24 August 2025

Fieldwork: 25 August - 21 September 2025
Sample size: 870

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

2

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 10d

New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll:

National (Centre-right): 32% (+3)
Labour (Centre-left): 29% (-5)
Green (Green): 14%
ACT (Libertarian): 9% (-2)
...

+/- vs. 28 July - 24 August 2025

Fieldwork: 25 August - 21 September 2025
Sample size: 870

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 15d

Australia (Queensland): Deputy Leader of KAP (Conservative) and MP for Hinchinbrook, Nick Dametto, resigns from regional parliament to run in the upcoming Townsville mayoral by-election, triggered by the resignation of the incumbent mayor Troy Thompson.
➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

2

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 16d

Australia, Roy Morgan poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 34%
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 30%
GRN (Green): 12%
ONP (Right): 10%

+/- vs. 28 July - 24 August 2025

Fieldwork: 25 August - 21 September 2025
Sample size: 5,084

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 19d

New Zealand, Talbot Mills poll:

Preferred prime minister

Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 25% (-1)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 20% (-1)

+/- vs. 01-10 August 2025

Fieldwork: 01-10 September 2025

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1 2 3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 19d

New Zealand, Talbot Mills poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 35% (+1)
National (Centre-right): 31% (-1)
Green (Green): 10% (-1)
NZ First (*): 10% (+1)
ACT (Libertarian): 7% (-1)
Māori (Indigenous): 4%

+/- vs. 01-10 August 2025

Fieldwork: 01-10 September 2025

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1 4

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 24d

Federated States of Micronesia: Former President Joseph Urusemal (*) has passed away, aged 74. Born on Woleai, Yap, Urusemal served in Congress before becoming the sixth FSM president, serving from 2003 to 2007.

➤oceaniaelects.com/federated-states-of-micronesia/

#Micronesia #FSM

3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 24d

New Zealand, Official result:

Tāmaki Makaurau by-election

Kaipara (Māori-Indigenous): 65.4% (+25.3)
Henare (Labour-Centre-left): 32.3% (-7.6)
Tamaki (Vision NZ-Right): 1.6% (-1.7)
Mantene (Ind.-*): 0.4% (new)
...

+/- vs. 2023 election result

➤ http://oceaniaelects.com/australia

3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 25d

New Zealand, Reid Research poll:

Preferred prime minister

Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 23%
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 20% (+1)
Peters (NZ-First-*): 9%
...

+/- vs. 23-30 May 2025

Fieldwork: 04-12 September 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 25d

New Zealand, Reid Research poll:

Seat projection

Labour (Centre-left): 42
National (Centre-right): 40 (+2)
Green (Green): 13 (-1)
NZ First (*): 11
...

+/- vs. 23-30 May 2025

Fieldwork: 04-12 September 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 25d

New Zealand, Reid Research poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 34% (+1)
National (Centre-right): 33% (+2)
Green (Green): 11% (-1)
NZ First (*): 9%
ACT (Libertarian): 7%
...

+/- vs. 23-30 May 2025

Fieldwork: 04-12 September 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 26d

Australia: Former advisor to Pauline Hanson, Sean Bell, has been nominated by One Nation (ONP, Right) to fill the Senate casual vacancy for New South Wales, following the resignation of Warwick Stacey.

➤ oceaniaelects.com/Australia
#auspol #Australia

3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 27d

Australia, Newspoll poll:

Two-Party Preferred

ALP (Centre-left): 58% (+2)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 42% (-2)

+/- vs. 11-14 August 2025

Fieldwork: 08-11 September 2025
Sample size: 1,283

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

1