David
@puca.bsky.social
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puca.bsky.social
While we wait for some kind of news, a quick revisit of the visible aircraft activity off the coast of Pankovo, Novaya Zemlya on 14 August, with animations using Sentinel 2 bands 2, 3, 4 & 8, as suggested by @spacefromspace.com
puca.bsky.social
A new "TEMPO DANGER AREA" NOTAM from GND-UNL extending up along the west coast of Novaya Zemlya, with a small GND-UNL airspace closure on the NE coast of the Kanin Peninsula, for OCT 12.

@thelookout.bsky.social @jjdroxford.bsky.social @thomasnilsen.bsky.social
puca.bsky.social
For all the seismic shifts in Ireland and beyond over the last decade, I still have a hard time picturing the Defence Forces ever being properly equipped to defend the state.

Really hope I am wrong though and these potential moves toward real-world military capabilities come to pass.
Reposted by David
beijingpalmer.bsky.social
after careful study, I believe only people born between 1975 and 1995 should be allowed to use the internet
puca.bsky.social
Update on this: the NOTAMs associated with the possible SLBM test are still in place with the same dates, however the other curious NOTAM group have been removed.
puca.bsky.social
Some updates on Russian NOTAMs:
Possible SLBM launch apparently pushed back again, now to 9-12 OCT.

And a group of NOTAMs that I don't quite know what to make of.

Did these late yesterday and never got around to posting (hence date)

@jjdroxford.bsky.social @thelookout.bsky.social
Reposted by David
viper13.bsky.social
A most interesting flight path for RRR7209, Rivet Joint, RC-135W. I can't remember a Rivet Joint intelligence gathering aircraft taking this course in the past. After following almost all of the Norwegian coastline they flew through Finland and are proceeding through the Baltics.
A most interesting flight path for RRR7209, Rivet Joint, RC-135W. I can't remember a Rivet Joint intelligence gathering aircraft taking this course in the past. After following almost all of the Norwegian coastline they flew through Finland and are proceeding through the Baltics.
puca.bsky.social
I'm glad to see it has the bumps for a Defensive Aids Suite like the maritime variants.
puca.bsky.social
Some updates on Russian NOTAMs:
Possible SLBM launch apparently pushed back again, now to 9-12 OCT.

And a group of NOTAMs that I don't quite know what to make of.

Did these late yesterday and never got around to posting (hence date)

@jjdroxford.bsky.social @thelookout.bsky.social
puca.bsky.social
Goodbye Pankovo pier, for another year 🫡
puca.bsky.social
Makes sense with the conditions at sea.
Maritime patrol aircraft in the area.
puca.bsky.social
Transport variant C295 on its delivery flight to Ireland.
puca.bsky.social
@vesselspotter.bsky.social Sabina (IMO: 9524451) has slowed to 5.5kts 🤷
puca.bsky.social
They certainly went through general motions of "something happening" today; all monitoring vessels went to positions on the east and west coasts.
Tug "Mars" departed south, Teriberka arrived back at Pankovo.
Did they test? I've no idea whatsoever.
I think I've grown weary of looking at clouds.
puca.bsky.social
An attempt at animating the position reports
puca.bsky.social
NOTAM Q3177/25 will be replaced by Q3605/25 from 21:00 tonight.
Perhaps noteworthy, Q3176/25 which covered the pad - amongst other things - does not appear to have a replacement and will time out at 20:59 tonight.
puca.bsky.social
Appears that an Irish Air Corps C295 maritime patrol aircraft may have taken a look at Bond and Vikram this afternoon.
(deleted previous post - names wrong!)
puca.bsky.social
It's now exactly two years since Putin said:
"A final successful test has been held of Burevestnik - a global-range nuclear-powered cruise missile."

Which begs the question: what are they doing up there now? Testing a production variant?
Or, still simply trying to get the thing to work reliably.
puca.bsky.social
I thought test season might have been wrapping up after vessels congregated in Matochkin Shar & Gribovaya Bay. (& tug MARS arrived)

However, some vessels now appear to be returning to monitoring positions & Sentinel 2 shows the test monitoring aircraft still at Rogachevo.

Back to wait and see...
puca.bsky.social
Possibly, but it is difficult to say with any certainty.
Reposted by David
spectrecrouton.bsky.social
After a brief return to the Mediterranean Sea, RF Navy Baltic Fleet Goryn-class salvage/rescue tug Yakov Grebelskiy (likely with Black Sea Fleet Kilo-class diesel-electric submarine Novorossiysk) is now heading north in the Atlantic Ocean
puca.bsky.social
Pushed back again
puca.bsky.social
I thought test season might have been wrapping up after vessels congregated in Matochkin Shar & Gribovaya Bay. (& tug MARS arrived)

However, some vessels now appear to be returning to monitoring positions & Sentinel 2 shows the test monitoring aircraft still at Rogachevo.

Back to wait and see...
puca.bsky.social
Rusting oil drums are ubiquitous to sites around Novaya Zemlya - initially thought this was an explosion epicenter, but think now tracks are from vehicles which constructed a mound at the site.

Reminiscent of some monitoring locations shown in Tsar Bomba film but distances seem off, so not sure.