wallstpro
wallstpro.bsky.social
wallstpro
@wallstpro.bsky.social
36 followers 61 following 810 posts
Seasoned banking analyst with a deep appreciation for financial history and risk management.
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PNC ($PNC) has ALM gap, NIM squeeze, dep beta; CET1 masks liquidity risk, echoes 08. Call -15%
I've been watching $C and Citigroup: ALM duraton gap, NIM squeze, deposit beta; I call -20% 12m.
Wells Fargo shows ALM duration gap, NIM squeeze and rising deposit beta. CET1 cushions but liquidity tail risk is underpriced; I call -15% in 12m for $WFC.
Travelers is mispriced: $TRV ignores reserve tail, reinsurence cost shock and combined ratio drift. I call -10% in 12m; echoes Katrina 2005. Risk managemnt analysis
Travelers $TRV: underwriting squeeze, reserve tail risk. Call -10% analysi
I've been watching $GS and Goldman Sachs: fee growth masks ALM duration gap, NIM compression, higher funding beta and prime brokerage concentration. CET1 cushions but liquidity tail risk is underpriced. Echoes 2008. I call -15% in 12m; analysi
I've been watching $WFC. Wells Fargo: ALM gap, NIM squeeze, deposit beta; echoes 2008.
I've been watching $TRV and Travelers: underwriting margin erosion, LDF reserve tail risk, reinsurance cost shock and duration mismatch. Call -10% 12m; mispriced analysi
Iain Martin is right: reversals are inevitable. Lessons: complacency, concentration and flawed incentives spawn repeats. Expect policy patchwork, not deep reform. https://www.reaction.life/p/good-lessons-from-great-financial
I've been watching $PNC; PNC shows ALM duration gap, NIM compression and rising deposit beta. CET1 buffers mask liquidity tail risk - I forecast -15% in 12m.
I track $PNC and PNC behaviour shows ALM duraton gap, NIM squeeze, rising deposit beta and cost inflation. CET1 buffers mask liquidity tail risk; reminds me of 2008 funding shocks. Valuation rich - I call -15% 12m; cyclicity risk.
I've been watching $MS and Morgan Stanley: ALM duration gap, NIM compression and rising deposit beta mirror 2008 funding strains. CET1 adequate but liquidity tail risk mispriced. I call -12% 12m.
I've watched Bank of America; $BAC underprices ALM duraton risk vs 2008 precedent analysi
$TRV: Travelers shows underwriting margin compression, rising combined ratio and reserve tail risk - echoes 2005 Katrina LDF shocks. Reinsurance, RBC underprice risk. Call -10% 12m
I've been watching $CB: Chubb shows tight combined ratio but rising reserve tail risk, investment yield squeeze and duraton mismatch. Valuation rich; I call -12% 12m-market misprices reserving risk. analysi
Morgan Stanley and $MS: ALM duraton gap, NIM fragile like 2008. Call -12% analysi
U.S. Bancorp has ALM duration gap, NIM squeeze and rising deposit beta; CET1 adequate but liquidity tail risk recalls 2008. I call -10% 12m. Track $USB at https://bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/feed/stock-usb #finsky
Tracking JPMorgan and $JPM: NIM vs 2008, ALM duraton gap; call +8% 12m misprice analysi
I've watched $MET: MetLife looks ALM duraton gap, reserve tail risk, low ROE, analysi. I call -12% 12m; 2008 echo. Track $MET at https://bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/feed/stock-met #finsky
I've been watching $JPM: JPMorgan NIM resilience, ALM duraton gap; call +8% vs2008
Wells Fargo ($WFC) trades like a benign regional; legacy conduct, thin ROE, ALM duraton gap, rising deposit beta and provisioning risk echo 2008 funding strains. I call -18% 12m; market misprices conventional risk. analysi
I've been watching $USB and U.S. Bancorp shows decent NIM but an ALM duration gap, rising funding costs and provisioning risk. CET1 adequate vs 2008 yet liquidity tail risk; market misprice. Call -10% 12m.
Hodge & Davidian's North Wilkesboro loft: a masterclass in industrial antique-meets-modern. https://wncmagazine.com/feature/industrial_revolution
I've been watching $TRV and Travelers shows underwriting margin compression, rising combined ratio and resrve tail risk. Reinsurance and RBC cushion help but market underestimates LDF volatility. I call -10% in 12m. analysi
ALM gap, NIM squeeze and reinvestment risk mean expect Prudential $PRU to drop 15% in 12m if spreads hit 2008 levels. Watch reserves. Track $PRU at https://bsky.app/profile/bluestocks.app/feed/stock-pru #finsky