Paul Coelho
banner
individkid.bsky.social
Paul Coelho
@individkid.bsky.social
Tech Bro, Reply Guy, Corporate Grunt, Urban Biker, Plastic Climber, Former Hiker, Car Free, Child Free, Climate Concerned, Math Lover, Economic Skeptic, Systems Thinker, Art Lover, Code Perfecter, Music Lover
Pinned
My problem with anti-doomists is that they do not value dissemination of the truth. I don’t doubt they believe the lie that emissions have flattened, but I don’t think they know why they believe that.
Not only are renewables greenwashing that trick fools into thinking they are helping by increasing energy use, they are also extractive like fossil fuel. It is no less capitalist to extract energy from the sky than to extract it from the ground. Socialism is a compromise; only degrowth is enough.
November 14, 2025 at 10:06 AM
I'm still waiting for my cudos for believing Doughnut Economics instead of traditional economics about supply "demand" metaphysics. Any sh*t I got was welcome, but plenty of doomists got a lot of sh*t for predicting renewables would merely increase energy use. The keeling curve debunks you all.
When I started to criticize wild promises for carbon dioxide capture & removal in 2022, I took *so much shit* from the energy modelers and journalists promoting it, but those same people are silent now that even the scientists who first imagined the tech are increasingly mounting the same criticism.
November 13, 2025 at 4:13 PM
We always knew money sways justice. I guess we sort of knew power sways justice. Now we know money plus power sways justice a lot. I find it rich when people claim SCOTUS is detached from politics; they'd change their tune very fast if they believed the USof$ were a democracy.
What sick dogshit place are we living in where "child sex trafficking and pedophilia" is an "issue" and not a "put everyone in jail and throw away the whole jail" situation
Enten: "Trump is 39 below water on the Epstein case. 39 points in the negative! My goodness gracious. What Trump has been selling on the Epstein files, the Epstein case, the American people have not been buying at all ... less than half of Republicans are buying it. This is his worst issue by far"
November 13, 2025 at 3:59 PM
Gotta wonder about a system in which police decide whether to take someone to the mental ward, and stressed nurses decide whether to administer chemical lobotomies. I could be wrong, but I assume mental wards are funded per-capita. We need Housing First and Land Back instead of market rate.
Housing First approaches to homelessness, that prioritize getting a stable roof over people's heads before addressing trauma from the streets & other issues, prove to lead to long term stability. Rounding every homeless person up for forced mental health care which is incarceration is not the way!
I'm a mad person who's lived on the streets & knows a lot of mad people & I know that people like me are disproportionately inclined to homelessness & I don't like when that gets taken out of the conversation. But our reality is that late stage American capitalism can push anyone to the streets.
November 13, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Anyone but Wiener would be great, but this guy uses the overcompensation of computer engineers to do good, a candidate after my own heart. I can't claim to do good, but I can aspire to not do harm. That's why the existence of oil companies is so frustrating to me, something Wiener actively ignores.
“I used to work as a programmer and so I actually have knowledge here,” he said. “That means when a tech CEO comes in front of me at a congressional hearing and they try to bullshit me, I’ll call their BS.”
November 12, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Polls are influenced by the barrage of NYT articles about polls. Reality is not influenced by polls or the NYT. Dunning Kruger has been debunked; expertise matters to voters, but advertising has soured voters to the brainless business conservatism that NYT champions.
youtu.be/KNQ_5dbByI0?...
The Case for Centrism Does Not Hold Up
YouTube video by Current Affairs
youtu.be
November 12, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Yes, and there are economic truths that have become self evident since. The keeling curve proves that corporations grow parabolically without regard to price, regulation, competition, taxation, or corruption. The only way to secure our rights is by destroying some irresponsible companies.
81 years ago, FDR proposed a second Bill of Rights to guarantee every American the right to employment, healthcare, education, housing, and a living income. His words are as relevant now as they were then. Watch.
November 12, 2025 at 4:36 PM
It's only lame ducks that vote against ACA? I don't believe in coincidence.
November 11, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Ted Cruz was a layup, but Tucker Carlson seems scary. I still think any random leftist would eat Tucker Carlson for lunch, but that's just because reality changes, so conservatives have no leg to stand on.
youtu.be/fBs-FSBZjEA?...
The 1 BRUTAL Interview Technique That Works Every Time
YouTube video by Rationality Rules
youtu.be
November 11, 2025 at 6:02 PM
"Emissions growth may be slowing...." Uh no, the keeling curve is a parabola, so by conservation of matter, emissions are not slowing. The sawtooth shape of the parabolic keeling curve proves there is no delay between emissions and the keeling curve. Ocean absorption depends linearly on atmosphere.
November 8, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Yes, initiated is the right word. I’m loathe to admit wealthy people have any more power than poor, but the personification of inequality is significant. We only elected Musk because we did not know we were electing Musk. Probably 60% favor equality in principle, and 99% favor it in practice.
The world’s first trillionaire initiated a move that has left more than half a million people dead, most of whom are children.
November 7, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Here is a trolly problem YIMBYs will fail. Choose two units at $10 per unit, or one unit at $5 per unit. They’ll gladly give you $5 per unit tomorrow, if you’ll just loan them $10 per unit today.
November 6, 2025 at 10:50 PM
What is the difference between left-YIMBY and right-YIMBY, and where does NIMBY fit in that Venn diagram? I think first we have to distinguish between YIMBY and NIMBY, because YIMBYs invariably move the goal post, and refer to personal experience, instead of providing a definition.
November 6, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Yes, and the YIMBY measures that passed will make Mamdani's task more difficult, because market rate YIMBYs are not affordability YIMBYs. Sustainability is if and only if affordable. I don't care which comes first, degrowth of housing prices, or degrowth of big oil; they are both degrowth.
I mean, Mamdani didn't talk about guns, abortion, education, or even fascism eith. He only talked about Gaza when he was asked.

He picked the top issues in the city — affordability and belonging — and wrote a campaign poem on them. That's what you do to win.

1.75/n
November 5, 2025 at 7:14 PM
This would be encouraging if trumpism were the disease, and not just a symptom. As always, business is the disease, as the name USof$ indicates. The collapse of Republicans merely means business does not need them any more. They have Democrats to continue deregulation and grow baby drill.
i closed out my column this week with this preemptive jab at basically every commentator currently looking for ways to say that last night didn’t count
November 5, 2025 at 3:38 PM
I’ve become more sympathetic to socialist received wisdom, because I more than most am sorry to realize neolibertarians are a lost cause. I’m becoming increasingly doubtful that market forces will create responsibility, even if we existentially delicense a representatively irresponsible company.
For those on the left who are not socialists, or who do not ally with socialist parties, I don't really understand: what exactly is the project? What is the plan?
November 3, 2025 at 8:54 PM
My just-so story is that business created the need for fire escapes. I can make it even more just-so. Europe and Japan did not need specific regulations against creating the need for fire escapes, because irresponsible business knows it would fail in Europe and Japan, because of draconian regs.
November 3, 2025 at 8:39 PM
I stopped watching Jon Stewart after he interviewed Ezra Klein, but I though maybe Kamala Harris would be important to watch? Her takes on listening to voters was fine, and her depth of feeling was evident, but she fell back on the Abundance Agenda of comparing government to business.
November 2, 2025 at 1:50 AM
I liked it better when the economy crashes near the end of the instigator's term. I vote for increasing interest rates, but don't listen to me, I'm retired. Amazon just laid off 10%? If we had a government that cares about us, it would bail out all those laid off with unemployment benefits.
November 1, 2025 at 4:59 PM
I think part of the disconnect between climate scientists and the electorate is the definition of change. To the electorate, change means a change in the shape of the keeling curve. Happy go lucky climate scientists, as opposed to this is bad climate scientists, claim things have changed.
October 31, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Reposted by Paul Coelho
Great coverage from @emorwee.bsky.social of the first entire unit to be let go at CBS News under new management: the climate team 🙃 heated.world/p/cbs-news-k...
The fall of the CBS News climate team
David Ellison, the new pro-Trump chief executive of Paramount Skydance, has dismantled the best climate change reporting team in cable news.
heated.world
October 31, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Reposted by Paul Coelho
So yes, the rate of increase of CO2 remains nonlinear even though the rate of warming is (to first order) linear. What happens next is largely a function of what society decides to do. But the temperature trend we've seen is still consistent with predictions at current carbon forcing level.
October 31, 2025 at 4:29 PM
The USof$ is named that way because even corrupt collectives like names. Take KochtapusIndustries, for example, such an appropriate proper name. Adam Smith might have meant well, but then business collectives (also known as corporations, plantations, big pirates, etc.) got their propaganda in gear.
October 31, 2025 at 2:53 PM
“In the memo, Gates included a graph that attributes a 40% reduction in energy-related CO2 emissions over the past 10 years to innovation.” Gates stretches credulity by ignoring the keeling curve which indicates no reduction in emissions.
“Mr. Gates has set up a false frame that pits improving lives against science-based temperature and emissions goals; in fact, the two are intrinsically connected”—Union of Concerned Scientists…

gizmodo.com/bill-gates-c...
Bill Gates Is Not a Friend to the Planet
Ahead of COP30, Gates calls for a shift in focus away from near-term emissions goals. Experts say that’s dangerously misguided.
gizmodo.com
October 31, 2025 at 1:50 PM
Yes, Scott Wiener is autocratic typical of YIMBYs that disempowered local government with SB 79, much as Reagan boomers disempowered cities with prop 13. Wiener abandoned SF to become a career politician, and I suspect his impatience with SF made SF worse.
"We should do a full body check before anyone runs for office now, right?"

AOC’s fmr chief of staff @saikatforcongress.bsky.social tells @mehdirhasan.bsky.social he doesn’t believe Graham Platner should withdraw from the Maine Senate race over his tattoo.

Full interview: zeteo.com/p/saikat-cha...
October 30, 2025 at 3:30 PM