The Rini
@rinimetrics.bsky.social
Econometric model to predict the daily performance of stock market indices and assets.
OMXS30 for now, Stockholm.
Not investment advice.
#stockmarket
OMXS30 for now, Stockholm.
Not investment advice.
#stockmarket
Pinned
The Rini
@rinimetrics.bsky.social
· Sep 9
Updated the Rini performance for the last months.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Opinion:
Jack Dorsey is more of an economist than most economists we know (we are econometricians).
www.tradingview.com/news/cointel...
Jack Dorsey is more of an economist than most economists we know (we are econometricians).
www.tradingview.com/news/cointel...
Jack Dorsey’s Square has just opened up 4M merchants to Bitcoin
Payment processor Square has launched its Bitcoin payment feature for sellers, allowing them to opt in and accept Bitcoin (BTC) at checkout through its point-of-sale system.Jack Dorsey, co-founder of ...
www.tradingview.com
November 12, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Opinion:
Jack Dorsey is more of an economist than most economists we know (we are econometricians).
www.tradingview.com/news/cointel...
Jack Dorsey is more of an economist than most economists we know (we are econometricians).
www.tradingview.com/news/cointel...
Today OMXS30 opened at a new ATH.
It also reached a new intraday ATH.
We went long and sold with a profit.
It should finish above the opening price in the absence of a <0 shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
It also reached a new intraday ATH.
We went long and sold with a profit.
It should finish above the opening price in the absence of a <0 shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
November 12, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Today OMXS30 opened at a new ATH.
It also reached a new intraday ATH.
We went long and sold with a profit.
It should finish above the opening price in the absence of a <0 shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
It also reached a new intraday ATH.
We went long and sold with a profit.
It should finish above the opening price in the absence of a <0 shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Have recovered all losses - doable task.
Yesterday, Tuesday, the Rini produced a bull (M13 valid and Type IV).
We will categorize Monday's signal as a bull, too, from now on (M13 valid, >0 shock).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Yesterday, Tuesday, the Rini produced a bull (M13 valid and Type IV).
We will categorize Monday's signal as a bull, too, from now on (M13 valid, >0 shock).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
We recovered half of Friday's loss.
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 12, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Have recovered all losses - doable task.
Yesterday, Tuesday, the Rini produced a bull (M13 valid and Type IV).
We will categorize Monday's signal as a bull, too, from now on (M13 valid, >0 shock).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Yesterday, Tuesday, the Rini produced a bull (M13 valid and Type IV).
We will categorize Monday's signal as a bull, too, from now on (M13 valid, >0 shock).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
The newer M13 condition (bull again) switched on 21 times so far in 2025, 17 of which were correct, i.e. 81% prediction success.
Two wrong signals can be avoided.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Two wrong signals can be avoided.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Silver:
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
November 12, 2025 at 11:38 AM
The newer M13 condition (bull again) switched on 21 times so far in 2025, 17 of which were correct, i.e. 81% prediction success.
Two wrong signals can be avoided.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Two wrong signals can be avoided.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Silver:
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
November 11, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Silver:
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Confession.
The one variable that does not matter for daily close/open prices and the range is volume.
Plausible explanations:
1. Indeed, it does not matter for the daily measures (but perhaps matters for intraday moves, lower data than daily).
2. The functions of volume we tried do not matter.
The one variable that does not matter for daily close/open prices and the range is volume.
Plausible explanations:
1. Indeed, it does not matter for the daily measures (but perhaps matters for intraday moves, lower data than daily).
2. The functions of volume we tried do not matter.
November 10, 2025 at 10:34 AM
Confession.
The one variable that does not matter for daily close/open prices and the range is volume.
Plausible explanations:
1. Indeed, it does not matter for the daily measures (but perhaps matters for intraday moves, lower data than daily).
2. The functions of volume we tried do not matter.
The one variable that does not matter for daily close/open prices and the range is volume.
Plausible explanations:
1. Indeed, it does not matter for the daily measures (but perhaps matters for intraday moves, lower data than daily).
2. The functions of volume we tried do not matter.
We recovered half of Friday's loss.
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 10, 2025 at 9:01 AM
We recovered half of Friday's loss.
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Trading an econometric model under construction is difficult because the information displayed changes often so that the trader has to adapt again and again to new Rini trading rules.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
It is a bear and we understood why:
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Friday 07.11.25.
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 7, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Trading an econometric model under construction is difficult because the information displayed changes often so that the trader has to adapt again and again to new Rini trading rules.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
It is a bear and we understood why:
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Friday 07.11.25.
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 7, 2025 at 5:07 PM
It is a bear and we understood why:
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Friday 07.11.25.
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 7, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Friday 07.11.25.
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
It is correct only because there was a <0 shock from the US (private job data - no government data due to shutdown).
Otherwise this was a bullish day (for Bitcoin and US indices as well).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Otherwise this was a bullish day (for Bitcoin and US indices as well).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Thursday 06.11.25.
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
November 6, 2025 at 7:48 PM
It is correct only because there was a <0 shock from the US (private job data - no government data due to shutdown).
Otherwise this was a bullish day (for Bitcoin and US indices as well).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Otherwise this was a bullish day (for Bitcoin and US indices as well).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Thursday 06.11.25.
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
November 6, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Thursday 06.11.25.
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
It was correct!
The Rini M3 for Ethereum does not have the same predictive success as for Bitcoin.
BUT we can trade the Bitcoin M3 (bull) for Ethereum as well because this period they move together.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
The Rini M3 for Ethereum does not have the same predictive success as for Bitcoin.
BUT we can trade the Bitcoin M3 (bull) for Ethereum as well because this period they move together.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Sold with about 3% return.
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
The M3 condition has switched on for Bitcoin today (the Rini signals are valid for a single trading day).
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
November 6, 2025 at 10:38 AM
It was correct!
The Rini M3 for Ethereum does not have the same predictive success as for Bitcoin.
BUT we can trade the Bitcoin M3 (bull) for Ethereum as well because this period they move together.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
The Rini M3 for Ethereum does not have the same predictive success as for Bitcoin.
BUT we can trade the Bitcoin M3 (bull) for Ethereum as well because this period they move together.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Indeed a strong bull.
Another correct Rini prediction.
Mistake not to trade this one.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Another correct Rini prediction.
Mistake not to trade this one.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
The Swedish central bank paused as expected:
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
November 5, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Indeed a strong bull.
Another correct Rini prediction.
Mistake not to trade this one.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Another correct Rini prediction.
Mistake not to trade this one.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Sold with about 3% return.
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
The M3 condition has switched on for Bitcoin today (the Rini signals are valid for a single trading day).
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
November 5, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Sold with about 3% return.
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
Gold at 3800 USD would be an entry point.
Not saying it will reach that price - just that we would buy there.
Just an opinion.
Not saying it will reach that price - just that we would buy there.
Just an opinion.
November 5, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Gold at 3800 USD would be an entry point.
Not saying it will reach that price - just that we would buy there.
Just an opinion.
Not saying it will reach that price - just that we would buy there.
Just an opinion.
The M3 condition has switched on for Bitcoin today (the Rini signals are valid for a single trading day).
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
November 5, 2025 at 11:01 AM
The M3 condition has switched on for Bitcoin today (the Rini signals are valid for a single trading day).
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
The Swedish central bank paused as expected:
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
November 5, 2025 at 10:57 AM
The Swedish central bank paused as expected:
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
Reached 2734.24.
Pure discussion - not trading.
According to the Rini intervals it is less likely the index reaches 2737.
Looks confined around -1% and downwards.
The Rini absolute min is at 2700 (-2%).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
According to the Rini intervals it is less likely the index reaches 2737.
Looks confined around -1% and downwards.
The Rini absolute min is at 2700 (-2%).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 4, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Reached 2734.24.
It reached about 2710, which is about .20% more to the downside but reversed.
It's now close to -1%.
Had you traded this, you'd first incur a loss but then a profit.
It's now close to -1%.
Had you traded this, you'd first incur a loss but then a profit.
It might reverse, though, if it reaches 2715.
It is sensitive to US futures as the shock emanates from the US.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
It is sensitive to US futures as the shock emanates from the US.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 4, 2025 at 11:08 AM
It reached about 2710, which is about .20% more to the downside but reversed.
It's now close to -1%.
Had you traded this, you'd first incur a loss but then a profit.
It's now close to -1%.
Had you traded this, you'd first incur a loss but then a profit.
The shock originates in the US government shutdown which starts hurting the economy (benefits, bank liquidity, etc).
It's about uncertainty - market participants do not like uncertainty.
Please notice how European indices move with US futures.
Observe.
It's about uncertainty - market participants do not like uncertainty.
Please notice how European indices move with US futures.
Observe.
Tuesday 04.11.25.
There is clearly a negative shock from the US (look at futures).
Question is if it gets absorbed there or lingers.
Do not have to trade a shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
There is clearly a negative shock from the US (look at futures).
Question is if it gets absorbed there or lingers.
Do not have to trade a shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 4, 2025 at 10:43 AM
The shock originates in the US government shutdown which starts hurting the economy (benefits, bank liquidity, etc).
It's about uncertainty - market participants do not like uncertainty.
Please notice how European indices move with US futures.
Observe.
It's about uncertainty - market participants do not like uncertainty.
Please notice how European indices move with US futures.
Observe.
As we move towards a bear market (we do not know when), it will become clear why the Rini is superior:
Keep cash and employ it in both directions according to the daily signals.
Use leverage with indices but not with single stocks.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin
Keep cash and employ it in both directions according to the daily signals.
Use leverage with indices but not with single stocks.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin
November 4, 2025 at 8:38 AM
As we move towards a bear market (we do not know when), it will become clear why the Rini is superior:
Keep cash and employ it in both directions according to the daily signals.
Use leverage with indices but not with single stocks.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin
Keep cash and employ it in both directions according to the daily signals.
Use leverage with indices but not with single stocks.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin
Tuesday 04.11.25.
There is clearly a negative shock from the US (look at futures).
Question is if it gets absorbed there or lingers.
Do not have to trade a shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
There is clearly a negative shock from the US (look at futures).
Question is if it gets absorbed there or lingers.
Do not have to trade a shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
November 4, 2025 at 7:57 AM
Tuesday 04.11.25.
There is clearly a negative shock from the US (look at futures).
Question is if it gets absorbed there or lingers.
Do not have to trade a shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
There is clearly a negative shock from the US (look at futures).
Question is if it gets absorbed there or lingers.
Do not have to trade a shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Correct!
The dominant move was upwards (we traded with a profit).
Later in the day, the index fell but not below the early min (contagion US).
A bear would also be profitable here.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
The dominant move was upwards (we traded with a profit).
Later in the day, the index fell but not below the early min (contagion US).
A bear would also be profitable here.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Monday 03.11.25.
The Rini baseline signal is a clear bull but sensitive to shocks.
We have already traded with a 10% return (the negative opening price was a gift to enter).
The Rini intervals indicate that the current intraday min (2753.66) is probably the daily min.
09:35:12 3 Nov 2025
The Rini baseline signal is a clear bull but sensitive to shocks.
We have already traded with a 10% return (the negative opening price was a gift to enter).
The Rini intervals indicate that the current intraday min (2753.66) is probably the daily min.
09:35:12 3 Nov 2025
November 4, 2025 at 7:55 AM
Correct!
The dominant move was upwards (we traded with a profit).
Later in the day, the index fell but not below the early min (contagion US).
A bear would also be profitable here.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
The dominant move was upwards (we traded with a profit).
Later in the day, the index fell but not below the early min (contagion US).
A bear would also be profitable here.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
We suspect that Bitcoin and the likes will not recover before the US government shutdown gets resolved.
Additionally, talk of no or slow rate cuts in the imminent future do not help either.
Just an opinion.
Additionally, talk of no or slow rate cuts in the imminent future do not help either.
Just an opinion.
November 3, 2025 at 3:42 PM
We suspect that Bitcoin and the likes will not recover before the US government shutdown gets resolved.
Additionally, talk of no or slow rate cuts in the imminent future do not help either.
Just an opinion.
Additionally, talk of no or slow rate cuts in the imminent future do not help either.
Just an opinion.