Tsuyoshi Goroku
@tgoroku.bsky.social
Associate Prof. at Nishogakusha University (Tokyo): History, NATO, European Security, Alliance Politics, Deterrence & Arms Control.
Foodie🥘Travel🏖Music🎧 Banya🧖♂️Photo: Ishigaki-island, JP
Foodie🥘Travel🏖Music🎧 Banya🧖♂️Photo: Ishigaki-island, JP
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Tsuyoshi Goroku
@tgoroku.bsky.social
· Sep 4
UTokyo ROLES Survey – Sep 2025
UTokyoROLESSurvey: SecurityAllianceandForeignEngagementResearch(SAFER)projectAimandScopeofthi...
roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp
📢Excited to share the results of the Japanese public opinion survey on foreign and security issues by UTokyo ROLES. It covers public perceptions of threats, relations with the US, nuclear issues and so on.
The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...
The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...
3. Memorandum From the Vice President’s Deputy Assistant for National Security Affairs (Watson) to Vice President Bush history.state.gov/historicaldo...
Historical Documents - Office of the Historian
history.state.gov 3.0 shell
history.state.gov
October 26, 2025 at 11:24 AM
3. Memorandum From the Vice President’s Deputy Assistant for National Security Affairs (Watson) to Vice President Bush history.state.gov/historicaldo...
2022年 自民・高市氏「有事の核持ち込み」党内議論検討 www.sankei.com/article/2022...
自民・高市氏「有事の核持ち込み」党内議論検討
自民党の高市早苗政調会長は２日の記者会見で、米国の核兵器を自国領土内に配備して共同運用する「核共有（ニュークリア・シェアリング）」について「日本の領域内に核兵…
www.sankei.com
October 21, 2025 at 11:11 AM
2022年 自民・高市氏「有事の核持ち込み」党内議論検討 www.sankei.com/article/2022...
Coordination office marks first step in U.S. Forces Japan’s shift to ‘warfighting’ command www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/07...
Coordination office marks first step in U.S. Forces Japan’s shift to ‘warfighting’ command
The launch of the new joint command team is the fruit of a multiyear effort to reshape and streamline U.S.-Japan operations.
www.japantimes.co.jp
October 17, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Coordination office marks first step in U.S. Forces Japan’s shift to ‘warfighting’ command www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/07...
岩屋外務大臣の「欧州・インド太平洋パートナーズ会合」への出席 www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/files/...
www.mofa.go.jp
October 16, 2025 at 9:45 AM
岩屋外務大臣の「欧州・インド太平洋パートナーズ会合」への出席 www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/files/...
『国際問題』最新号は「液状化するNATOートランプ2.0政権下の大西洋同盟」特集。全編無料DL可。
「揺らぐ米国の「核の傘」への信頼：第2次トランプ政権と欧州における核抑止」を寄稿。トランプ政権発足後の欧州における核抑止を巡る動きを歴史を振り返りつつ概観しました。
www2.jiia.or.jp/BOOK/
「揺らぐ米国の「核の傘」への信頼：第2次トランプ政権と欧州における核抑止」を寄稿。トランプ政権発足後の欧州における核抑止を巡る動きを歴史を振り返りつつ概観しました。
www2.jiia.or.jp/BOOK/
電子版国際問題(2025年10月 No.727)
焦点:「液状化するNATOートランプ2.0政権下の大西洋同盟ー」
www2.jiia.or.jp
October 15, 2025 at 9:06 AM
『国際問題』最新号は「液状化するNATOートランプ2.0政権下の大西洋同盟」特集。全編無料DL可。
「揺らぐ米国の「核の傘」への信頼：第2次トランプ政権と欧州における核抑止」を寄稿。トランプ政権発足後の欧州における核抑止を巡る動きを歴史を振り返りつつ概観しました。
www2.jiia.or.jp/BOOK/
「揺らぐ米国の「核の傘」への信頼：第2次トランプ政権と欧州における核抑止」を寄稿。トランプ政権発足後の欧州における核抑止を巡る動きを歴史を振り返りつつ概観しました。
www2.jiia.or.jp/BOOK/
Japan to send SDF personnel to Lithuania for demining in war-hit Ukraine mainichi.jp/english/arti...
Japan to send SDF personnel to Lithuania for demining in war-hit Ukraine - The Mainichi
TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Japan plans to send two Ground Self-Defense Force personnel to Lithuania to teach Ukrainian soldiers how to remove land mines as part
mainichi.jp
October 15, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Japan to send SDF personnel to Lithuania for demining in war-hit Ukraine mainichi.jp/english/arti...
Japan shows NATO support with first fighter jet deployment to Canada, Europe www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/10...
Japan shows NATO support with first fighter jet deployment to Canada, Europe
The mission, which involved four F-15Js along with two refueling and two transport aircraft, demonstrates the Air Self-Defense Force’s long-distance operational capabilities.
www.japantimes.co.jp
October 15, 2025 at 1:50 AM
Japan shows NATO support with first fighter jet deployment to Canada, Europe www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/10...
GREGORY H. WINGER, MIGUEL ALBERTO GOMEZ, AND LAUREN SUKIN,
Washington’s Ironclad Commitments Are Rusting in the Indo-Pacific warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
Washington’s Ironclad Commitments Are Rusting in the Indo-Pacific warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
Washington’s Ironclad Commitments Are Rusting in the Indo-Pacific
The recent wave of meetings between U.S. officials and allies in the Indo-Pacific have been studies in the duality of American diplomacy under President
warontherocks.com
September 26, 2025 at 3:03 PM
GREGORY H. WINGER, MIGUEL ALBERTO GOMEZ, AND LAUREN SUKIN,
Washington’s Ironclad Commitments Are Rusting in the Indo-Pacific warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
Washington’s Ironclad Commitments Are Rusting in the Indo-Pacific warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
After 14 years, I think the time has come to acknowledge that the "Rebalance to Asia" has failed.
I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.
A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.
A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
September 11, 2025 at 10:54 AM
After 14 years, I think the time has come to acknowledge that the "Rebalance to Asia" has failed.
I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.
A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization.
A thread on my new piece for RSIS...
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
'"As Long As It Takes": What does it mean to commit to Ukraine's security?'
We are thrilled to welcome Sir Lawrence Freedman (@ldfreedman.bsky.social) to Queen Mary to deliver our 4th distinguished Hennessy Lecture on 8 October, 6:30.
Get your free ticket here!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/as-long-as...
We are thrilled to welcome Sir Lawrence Freedman (@ldfreedman.bsky.social) to Queen Mary to deliver our 4th distinguished Hennessy Lecture on 8 October, 6:30.
Get your free ticket here!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/as-long-as...
'As Long As It Takes': What does it mean to commit to Ukraine's security?
Join the Mile End Institute for our fourth distinguished Hennessy Lecture by the legendary Professor of War Studies, Sir Lawrence Freedman!
www.eventbrite.co.uk
September 9, 2025 at 10:44 AM
'"As Long As It Takes": What does it mean to commit to Ukraine's security?'
We are thrilled to welcome Sir Lawrence Freedman (@ldfreedman.bsky.social) to Queen Mary to deliver our 4th distinguished Hennessy Lecture on 8 October, 6:30.
Get your free ticket here!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/as-long-as...
We are thrilled to welcome Sir Lawrence Freedman (@ldfreedman.bsky.social) to Queen Mary to deliver our 4th distinguished Hennessy Lecture on 8 October, 6:30.
Get your free ticket here!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/as-long-as...
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
Precisely. At some point, perhaps soon, Europe will face a hard choice: 1. do nothing & watch Russia grinding through Ukraine & getting closer to NATO territory, but keep Trump happy; 2. ignore Trump & deploy troops (or at least aircraft) to help Ukraine stop Putin. I'm for 2, but risks either way.
I hate to be the grump at the party. But this is all about Starmer/Macron trying to show relevance to Trump. This force is never gonna happen because 1. Russia will never say yes and if they did 2. US ain't going to go to war with Russia if it fires some missiles at some Euro troops in Ukraine. 🤷♂️
On troop deployment:
Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
September 4, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Precisely. At some point, perhaps soon, Europe will face a hard choice: 1. do nothing & watch Russia grinding through Ukraine & getting closer to NATO territory, but keep Trump happy; 2. ignore Trump & deploy troops (or at least aircraft) to help Ukraine stop Putin. I'm for 2, but risks either way.
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
On troop deployment:
Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
September 4, 2025 at 2:29 PM
On troop deployment:
Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
📢Excited to share the results of the Japanese public opinion survey on foreign and security issues by UTokyo ROLES. It covers public perceptions of threats, relations with the US, nuclear issues and so on.
The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...
The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...
UTokyo ROLES Survey – Sep 2025
UTokyoROLESSurvey: SecurityAllianceandForeignEngagementResearch(SAFER)projectAimandScopeofthi...
roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp
September 4, 2025 at 8:38 AM
📢Excited to share the results of the Japanese public opinion survey on foreign and security issues by UTokyo ROLES. It covers public perceptions of threats, relations with the US, nuclear issues and so on.
The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...
The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...
📢今年8月6-8日に実施した外交・安全保障問題に関する日本の世論調査の結果を公開。
昨年8月・今年2月に続く3回目の調査。過去と比べ、脅威認識や核に対する姿勢など大部分で大きな変化はありませんが、対米関係については変化がみられます。
詳細は以下リンクから👉https://roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/publication/20250904ja
昨年8月・今年2月に続く3回目の調査。過去と比べ、脅威認識や核に対する姿勢など大部分で大きな変化はありませんが、対米関係については変化がみられます。
詳細は以下リンクから👉https://roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/publication/20250904ja
September 4, 2025 at 8:36 AM
📢今年8月6-8日に実施した外交・安全保障問題に関する日本の世論調査の結果を公開。
昨年8月・今年2月に続く3回目の調査。過去と比べ、脅威認識や核に対する姿勢など大部分で大きな変化はありませんが、対米関係については変化がみられます。
詳細は以下リンクから👉https://roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/publication/20250904ja
昨年8月・今年2月に続く3回目の調査。過去と比べ、脅威認識や核に対する姿勢など大部分で大きな変化はありませんが、対米関係については変化がみられます。
詳細は以下リンクから👉https://roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/publication/20250904ja
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
In view of Trump's stated preference for Ukraine to cede unoccupied lands for "peace", I am re-upping my February essay:
"For European NATO countries serious about their own security, self-pity is a dead end and introspection has become useless."
www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-memora...
"For European NATO countries serious about their own security, self-pity is a dead end and introspection has become useless."
www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-memora...
NATO faces its Daladier moment following Munich
The Memorandum | No. 07.2025
www.britainsworld.org.uk
August 16, 2025 at 3:22 PM
In view of Trump's stated preference for Ukraine to cede unoccupied lands for "peace", I am re-upping my February essay:
"For European NATO countries serious about their own security, self-pity is a dead end and introspection has become useless."
www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-memora...
"For European NATO countries serious about their own security, self-pity is a dead end and introspection has become useless."
www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-memora...
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
“The poll found that support for Ukraine among the American public is at its highest since early 2023.” The American public gets it even if Trump doesn’t.
As Trump and Putin Are Poised to Meet: For First Time, Most Americans Want to Back Ukraine for ‘as Long as It Takes’
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/for-...
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/for-...
August 14, 2025 at 8:49 PM
“The poll found that support for Ukraine among the American public is at its highest since early 2023.” The American public gets it even if Trump doesn’t.
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
A piece I've written for KCL's 'Our Divided Planet' forum on the Alaska summit and why it matters even though it's very unlikely to achieve its state goals: www.kcl.ac.uk/trump-putin-...
What the Trump-Putin summit could mean for global diplomacy
The Trump-Putin summit in Alaska is an important moment in the US’s relations with Russia, with Ukraine, and with their NATO allies, and a significant one for broader questions of international…
www.kcl.ac.uk
August 14, 2025 at 6:22 PM
A piece I've written for KCL's 'Our Divided Planet' forum on the Alaska summit and why it matters even though it's very unlikely to achieve its state goals: www.kcl.ac.uk/trump-putin-...
Reposted by Tsuyoshi Goroku
Gesehen bei @umland.bsky.social und @tvpworld.bsky.social
Trump’s envoy misinterpreted Putin’s demands as concessions: media
Witkoff was apparently confused as to which country’s forces should withdraw.
tvpworld.com
August 9, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Gesehen bei @umland.bsky.social und @tvpworld.bsky.social
イタリアもNPT加盟に際して欧州オプションの条件をつけていたのか。
August 2, 2025 at 9:47 AM
イタリアもNPT加盟に際して欧州オプションの条件をつけていたのか。
Łukasz Kulesa 2021, Weapons of Mass Debate - Polish Deterrence with Russia in the Line of Sight
www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...
www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...
Weapons of Mass Debate - Polish Deterrence with Russia in the Line of Sight
Analysis by Łukasz Kulesa, Deputy Head of Research at the Polish Institute of International Affairs, for Institut Montaigne.
www.institutmontaigne.org
August 2, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Łukasz Kulesa 2021, Weapons of Mass Debate - Polish Deterrence with Russia in the Line of Sight
www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...
www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...
