columelkin.bsky.social
@columelkin.bsky.social
Reposted
⚽ New blog post - which football prediction model is the best?

Poisson, Weibull, or Negative Binomial — each has its strengths and weaknesses. Learn how to optimise them for accurate match predictions using my penaltyblog Python package.

pena.lt/y/2025/03/10...

#FootballAnalytics #DataScience
Football Prediction Models: Which Ones Work the Best?
Comparing football goals models — Poisson, Dixon-Coles, and more — to see which predicts best and how to optimize them...
pena.lt
March 16, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Reposted
7 - In their 14 Premier League games this season, Tottenham have averaged 2.3 pts/game in their lowest seven for possession (16 points), compared to 0.6 pts/game in their highest seven for possession (4 points). Style.
December 6, 2024 at 9:44 AM