Dimitar Keranov, PhD
@dimker.bsky.social
160 followers 160 following 23 posts
Political analyst with a PhD in Politology, decoding 🇧🇬 & Balkan dynamics and connecting the dots in 14 languages. Reposts and likes aren't endorsements. @gmfus.bsky.social @engagingce.bsky.social 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
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dimker.bsky.social
"🇧🇬 Bulgaria presents an opportunity for 🇨🇳 China to expand its footprint in Central and Eastern Europe—primarily through economic channels, but with growing attention to security and soft-power influence."

Read my and Asya Metodieva’s latest report:

@gmfus.bsky.social
China’s Quiet Strategy in Bulgaria: Economic Appeal, Political Constraints
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
danielhegedus.bsky.social
We had an extremely informative and in-depth election readout with Andrea Michalcová, @petraguasti.bsky.social & Vít Dostál about the domestic and EU & foreign policy implications of the 🇨🇿 elections.
Key takeaway & video in THREAD
@gmfus.bsky.social
@authlibeu.bsky.social
@engagingce.bsky.social
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
engagingce.bsky.social
📢 Figyelem, magyarországi civil szervezetek és informális csoportok!
Jelentkezzetek most a #FOREST programra, hogy fejlesszétek jogi, digitális, pénzügyi és mentális ellenállóképességeteket.
Mentorálás, képzések és kapcsolatépítési lehetőségek várnak rátok!
ℹ️Jelentkezési határidő: 2025. október 20.
Civil szervezetek megerősítése Magyarországon és Szlovákiában
Pályázati felhívás Pályázati felhívás
tinyurl.com
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
engagingce.bsky.social
📢Výzva pre všetky mimovládne organizácie a občianske iniciatívy na #Slovensku!
Prihláste sa do programu #FOREST a posilnite svoju právnu, digitálnu, finančnú a psychickú odolnosť.
Čakajú na vás mentoring, školenia a príležitosti na networking!
➡️Info: tinyurl.com/2d5txbx3
Program na posilnenie kapacít občianskej spoločnosti v Maďarsku a na Slovensku
Výzva na podávanie prihlášok Výzva na podávanie prihlášok
tinyurl.com
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
engagingce.bsky.social
📢Calling all CSOs & civic groups in #Hungary & #Slovakia!
❗️Apply until Oct 20, 2025 for #FOREST to boost your legal, digital, financial & psychological resilience.
Mentoring, trainings & networking opportunities await!
⬇️Info⬇️

@gmfus.bsky.social
FOREST
Fostering CSOs’ Resilience to Shrinking Spaces and Strengthening their Capacities through Individual Mentoring and Value Mainstreaming in Hungary and Slovakia Fostering CSOs’ Resilience to Shrinking S...
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
🇲🇩 "Moldova is confronted with a growing web of internal and external threats as well as risks to electoral integrity."

Ahead of this weekend's elections in Moldova, explore a risk assessment of electoral integrity there:
Risk Assessment: Electoral Integrity in Moldova
Russia’s continued aggression against Ukraine since February 2022 has not only destabilized European security but has also intensified hybrid threats across Eastern Europe. In the Republic of Moldova…
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
nickbouchet.bsky.social
Time to re-up our recent @gmfus.bsky.social paper by @laurentiuplesca.bsky.social setting out three election and post-election scenarios in Moldova. The final score for Alternativa and Our Party will be determinant in two of them.
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
🇲🇩 The results of Moldova’s parliamentary elections demonstrate a decisive political shift and confirm the nation's democratic resilience.

🗳️ Read Will Kingston-Cox and GMF's Laurențiu Pleșca's analysis on the Moldovan elections here:
Russia Has Lost Moldova
The results of Moldova’s parliamentary elections demonstrate a decisive political shift. Pro-Russian narratives, propaganda networks, and entrenched corruption can no longer dominate the national…
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
"From the first day of Russia’s full-scale invasion, it has been clear that the consequences of the war would not be limited to physical destruction. What Ukraine faced was a systemic breakdown of infrastructure...," writes GMF's Valeriia Ivanova.

➡️ buff.ly/RUkaNoY
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
danielhegedus.bsky.social
The #DroneWall might be necessary to maintain societal resilience but is not a strategic answer to 🇷🇺's hybrid warfare.
Instead of responding to tactical moves, Europe should address the Kremlin's strategy.
Check out my latest policy brief 🖊️ for @gmfus.bsky.social 👉 www.gmfus.org/news/drone-w...
The Drone Wall
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
🇲🇩 🇷🇺 “The goal of the Russian interference is to amplify societal distrust, to diminish the confidence that the Moldovan public has not just in its government and president, but also in its European future,” GMF's Clara Volintiru told the Guardian
The pro-European party won Moldova’s election but obstacles to join the EU remain
Russia’s campaign to amplify societal distrust continues as membership talks have stalled
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
Today, national security executive Dr. Daniel Kliman joins GMF as senior vice president for global power shifts. He will oversee a new GMF pillar on adapting the transatlantic partnership to a shifting global landscape and serve as a member of the GMF executive team. Learn more: buff.ly/KG6czAd
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
📈 In the latest roundup of the competitiveness check, GMF experts highlight new tariffs announced and the top five transatlantic trade-related developments.

➡️ Read the full roundup here: www.gmfus.org/news/competi...
Competitiveness Check—September 30 Edition
The Quick Take
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
🇨🇿 "...should ANO lead the next government, there will most likely be more continuity than change in foreign policy, even if there is a different tone and a greater focus on NATO than on the EU."

Ahead today and tomorrow's Czech elections, read an analysis by fellow Pavel Havlicek:
The World According to Andrej Babiš
According to all polls and expectations, Andrej Babiš and his ANO party will come out of Czechia’s October 3–4 parliamentary elections as the most important political force for the next four years,…
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
"Mr. Babis’s return to power would reflect an increasing polarization of voters who seesaw between illiberal populists and pro-Western democratic values, especially in Eastern Europe."

GMF Expert @danielhegedus.bsky.social featured in the New York Times:
Andrej Babis Likely to Return as Czech Prime Minister After Parliamentary Win
The party of Andrej Babis, a billionaire and a skeptic of military support to Ukraine, prevailed in parliamentary elections by focusing on the economy.
www.nytimes.com
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
🇲🇩 🇪🇺 The coming decade will determine whether Moldova completes its progress along EU accession or slips into indefinite geopolitical limbo. The stakes are existential—not only for Moldova, but for the resilience of democracy in a region under siege.

🔗@dimker.bsky.social's analysis:
Bulgaria’s Ties to Moldova’s Ethnic Minorities: A Channel for Pro-EU Engagement
Russia exploits its linguistic and cultural ties to Moldova’s ethnic minorities as part of its malign influence campaign. This policy brief highlights how Bulgaria’s little-noticed diaspora…
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
erikaschlager.bsky.social
Excellent testimony & recommendations from @gmfus.bsky.social @danielhegedus.bsky.social at the U.S. Congressional @tlhumanrights.bsky.social hearing on “Laws Regulating Foreign NGOs: Human Rights Implications” — touches on Slovakia, Bulgaria and Hungary.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=gu4B...
Laws Regulating Foreign NGOs: Human Rights Implications
YouTube video by Tom Lantos Human Rights Commission
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
georginaewright.bsky.social
What to think of Trump's 2nd state visit? In my latest piece for
@gmfus.bsky.social, I argue that it was a success -- but that doesn't mean the UK and US relationship will always be smooth. Thread: www.gmfus.org/news/calcula...
A Calculated Display
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
🇨🇳 "[China's] growing dominance in the German technology landscape threatens both Germany’s national security and its long-term economic resilience."

Read a new report from GMF's Sharinee Jagtiani, assessing the digital footprint of PRC entities in Germany’s technology ecosystem:
Risky Configuration: China’s Footprint in Germany’s Technology Stack
Germany—just like the EU as a whole—has recognized the strategic importance of reducing unilateral dependencies in digital technologies. In the face of geopolitical threats and economic uncertainty,…
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
🇩🇪 Using a five-layer “tech stack” framework—network infrastructure, data infrastructure, device, application, and governance—a new GMF Technology report maps China’s presence across Germany’s tech ecosystem, and links it to Beijing’s strategic ambitions.

Read now: www.gmfus.org/news/risky-c...
Risky Configuration: China’s Footprint in Germany’s Technology Stack
Germany—just like the EU as a whole—has recognized the strategic importance of reducing unilateral dependencies in digital technologies. In the face of geopolitical threats and economic uncertainty,…
www.gmfus.org
Reposted by Dimitar Keranov, PhD
gmfus.bsky.social
🇺🇦 "...even after rights [to active combat roles for women] were equalized, things didn’t change overnight."

GMF grantee Women's Veterans Movement supports Ukrainian female service members from active combat to reintegration. Read about their work and its impact:
No Longer Invisible: How a Veterans Organization Is Securing a Place for Women in Ukraine’s Armed Forces
The war with Russia began in 2014, yet it was not until 2018 that Ukrainian women were officially allowed to hold combat roles in the armed forces. Prior to that, they could serve in assault units…
www.gmfus.org