Alan Wager
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dralanwager.bsky.social
Alan Wager
@dralanwager.bsky.social
Politics, public opinion and public policy at the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change.

Email: [email protected]
Reposted by Alan Wager
Oh look. They’ve actually drawn a diagram for all the people stupid enough to need a bloody diagram.
Elon Musk and his Russian friends call for the abolishment of the EU
December 6, 2025 at 6:05 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
The essence of Blue Labour thought is that somewhere in Downing Street there is a button marked “reindustrialise” that Tony Blair could have pressed, but instead he opted for the “more Woke Studies” button.
My brother in Christ, reindustrialization is based on international capital flows, not dumbass ideas to move down the value chain by turning colleges into vocational schools. You do realize that modern industry is almost always *high* skilled automation?

Read your Michael Pettis, you utter clown.
No reindustrialising? Our academic institutions are a part of the problem, overproducing elites and funnelling them into bullshit unproductive jobs. Half the universities need to close or become vocational colleges. You didn't even mention productivity.

Brexit is in the past. That ship has sailed.
December 5, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Spot on. What’s the plan?
This is vile and so so wrong. GB News is the TV version of X.

Extreme racism like this should not be platformed as ‘news.’

It is absolutely disgusting and another attempt to drag ‘debate’ to the right and destabilise our democracy.
GB News now broadcasting calls to remove the ethnic minority MPs from parliament
December 3, 2025 at 8:38 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
“A pact or merger also helps Reform overcome one of the biggest doubts that people have about voting for it –namely its sheer inexperience. Nigel Farage as prime minister and Robert Jenrick as chancellor? Be afraid – be very afraid.”
Even tactical voting will not help Labour survive a Tory-Reform pact
Nigel Farage has been quick to deny reports that, before the next general election, he intends to do a deal with the Conservatives – but if the right-wing parties ever formalised such an arrangement, ...
www.independent.co.uk
December 3, 2025 at 7:29 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
Misleading write-up - it's true that there is a crisis in A&E, but this is not because of "soaring demand".

The RCN report itself shows that A&E attendances are only 3% higher than in 2019, while 12+ hour waits are 8,033% higher.

www.theguardian.com/society/2025...
Numbers leaving A&E without treatment triples in six years
Soaring demand has led to ‘shocking’ rise in untreated patients leaving NHS emergency departments in England, data shows
www.theguardian.com
December 3, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
Time for day 2 of the "British General Election of 2024" advent calender. Who won & lost the campaign last summer? Which parties gained ground in polls? Who fell back? In the next post, we find out but first: here's a thread detailing how you can claim your discounted copy! bsky.app/profile/robf...
Looking forward to a much briefed bumper hamper of politics? No, not the Budget, The British General Election of 2024! We had a wonderful all star launch event in London last night, with representatives of all five Britain-wide parties, and now I have a special launch gift for you...read on! 1/?
December 2, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
Excitingly, my book now has a cover. You can see it here, where you can also now pre-order!

www.bitebackpublishing.com/books/no-sec...
No Second Chances
Between 2016 and 2019, a unique coalition assembled within British politics. Combining Corbynite campaigners and Conservative Cabinet ministers, celebrities and grassroots activists, seasoned politica...
www.bitebackpublishing.com
December 2, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
But Chis Mason called this 'for us' yesterday. I don't understand .
Miles not backing down on this point despite repeated questioning. Reeves did need to find substantial tax increases. Contradicts a huge amount of the media coverage in last two days.
December 2, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
Today's 70% fall in net migration to 205,000 was not one of the six stories in BBC ten o'clock news.

Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters

Down by 140k isn't thought to be.

Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
November 27, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
It’s worth noting that on the figures from earlier today - which seem very credible to me - the lost tax revenue as a result of Brexit could have covered the forecast downgrade and all new spending commitments more than twice over.
November 26, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
Are you an immigrant and want to understand our crazy society better? Then listen to MORE JAM TOMORROW!
November 24, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
But that said, this David Sheppard piece was very wise

www.ft.com/content/5480...
Why Rachel Reeves won’t raise income tax
An unpopular government cannot afford to be branded dishonest by the public
www.ft.com
November 14, 2025 at 10:03 AM
Reposted by Alan Wager
"What is certain, and felt instinctively by almost everybody, is that things cannot go on in their present way" – The Times, May 1975

“It is difficult to imagine a previous period when such an all-pervasive hopelessness was exhibited at all levels of British life” – Professor Stephen Haseler, 1975
November 14, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Reposted by Alan Wager
Some Labour insiders think Team Starmer were following the Brownite playbook… but the outcome was significantly different. Great piece by @ecourea.bsky.social & co

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
November 13, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Reposted by Alan Wager
I wonder if the United States can learn anything from the last time a major industrialized country decided to isolate itself from the rest of the world?

Almost a decade after the Brexit vote, GDP in the UK is around 6-8% lower relative to peer countries. (Source: www.nber.org/papers/w34459)
November 11, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
Striking chart from Chris Clarke of total net satisfaction with all 3 main party leaders: voters have gone off them since 2010 parables.substack.com
October 23, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
In half an hour
⏰ TOMORROW ⏰

🌍 Global instability has become the new normal and our multilateral system seems increasingly fragile

Join our expert panel @anandmenon.bsky.social, Fiona Hill, Rana Mitter, Margaret MacMillan and @fromtga.bsky.social as they discuss key challenges👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
UKICE Lunch Hour: Confronting foreign policy challenges - UK in a changing Europe
UK in a Changing Europe has assembled a panel of some of the world's top experts to analyse on the key foreign policy challenges we face.
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 11, 2025 at 12:27 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
You cannot imagine the chaos unpicking salary sacrifice schemes for pension contributions would cause the NHS, especially at the senior levels. Absolutely insane idea.
November 11, 2025 at 10:49 AM
Good on Ed Davey – speaking up for and defending Britain’s institutions in the face of nefarious actors.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The first step towards saving our precious BBC: remove Robbie Gibb from the board | Ed Davey
The BBC belongs to all of us, and it is under attack as never before. The government must defend it from its enemies, within and without, says Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey
www.theguardian.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:20 PM
😂
I do like how, in the bit of Prescott's memo where he criticises the BBC for editing together different parts of Trump's speech, his own quote of "what Trump actually said" is... edited together from different parts of his speech.
November 10, 2025 at 9:54 AM
Reposted by Alan Wager
This is the most abysmal, pathetic thing. The BBC head resigning because the corporation is not supine *enough* to the far-right.
🔴 Breaking I Davie faced mounting criticism that a Panorama documentary misled viewers by editing a speech by Donald Trump

➡️ Read more: trib.al/I0iw7aP
November 9, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
New York millionaires: threatening to flee the city since 2009
November 7, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Reposted by Alan Wager
Prime minister confident social media ban will work and will empower Australia’s parents - ABC News www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
'The world is watching': PM says he's confident social media ban will work
Anthony Albanese says he is confident Australia's social media age limit will be a success when it begins next month.
www.abc.net.au
November 7, 2025 at 3:13 PM