Billy Bob
@dxnerd.bsky.social
Weather, cricket, radio and music nerd. Presenter on 88.9 Braidwood FM, covering from the Southern Tablelands to the South Coast of NSW.
Probably not qualified to contribute in any meaningful way to the public sphere- take that, Jurgen!
Probably not qualified to contribute in any meaningful way to the public sphere- take that, Jurgen!
The SSTs off parts of the South Coast have taken a dive recently due to the constant W-SW winds. This is probably going to suppress rain below 35 degrees south even when the easterlies return, a good example of the negative feedback of the negative SAM.
November 18, 2025 at 3:57 AM
The SSTs off parts of the South Coast have taken a dive recently due to the constant W-SW winds. This is probably going to suppress rain below 35 degrees south even when the easterlies return, a good example of the negative feedback of the negative SAM.
We need a negative SAM that's off the charts to bring those polar easterlies north, giving eastern NSW a good drink (and maybe sea level snow). The King Of Wishful Thinking? The wind says 'Go West', naturally.
November 18, 2025 at 3:25 AM
We need a negative SAM that's off the charts to bring those polar easterlies north, giving eastern NSW a good drink (and maybe sea level snow). The King Of Wishful Thinking? The wind says 'Go West', naturally.
I had -4.6 at Bungendore, though not an official BOM site of course. Likely at least a short term record also, as that's below the Goulburn AP Nov record. Goulburn AP was a bit too far north for the coldest temps this time round.
November 11, 2025 at 11:48 PM
I had -4.6 at Bungendore, though not an official BOM site of course. Likely at least a short term record also, as that's below the Goulburn AP Nov record. Goulburn AP was a bit too far north for the coldest temps this time round.
Nice for Mount Ginini, although it's above 1700 m ASL it's very exposed. I usually record lower absolute lows at only 700 m. Last night was mostly disturbed with T850 around -2 to -3, so was colder at elevation.
October 28, 2025 at 7:27 AM
Nice for Mount Ginini, although it's above 1700 m ASL it's very exposed. I usually record lower absolute lows at only 700 m. Last night was mostly disturbed with T850 around -2 to -3, so was colder at elevation.
And the reason Braidwood is often the same temperature (or even cooler) than Bungendore in a NW wind despite the leeward position of the former.
October 20, 2025 at 8:23 AM
And the reason Braidwood is often the same temperature (or even cooler) than Bungendore in a NW wind despite the leeward position of the former.
The Hottest 100 for librarians!
October 2, 2025 at 1:05 AM
The Hottest 100 for librarians!
Also results in Broken Hill being colder than Canberra on many occasions.
August 25, 2025 at 6:02 AM
Also results in Broken Hill being colder than Canberra on many occasions.
Welcome to the windy season, maybe with accompanying storms in places on Wednesday depending on the exact timing of the front.
August 25, 2025 at 5:59 AM
Welcome to the windy season, maybe with accompanying storms in places on Wednesday depending on the exact timing of the front.
WA smokes the east when it comes to incursion of cold air at tropical latitudes. You don't see speckle off Yeppoon much.
August 25, 2025 at 5:58 AM
WA smokes the east when it comes to incursion of cold air at tropical latitudes. You don't see speckle off Yeppoon much.
Was extremely dry when I visited back in April and bloody warm as well. Good to see the westerlies doing their thing.
July 12, 2025 at 5:27 AM
Was extremely dry when I visited back in April and bloody warm as well. Good to see the westerlies doing their thing.
Awful. Australia and Canada are comparable in just about everything, now you can add wild(bush)fires to the list.
July 12, 2025 at 5:25 AM
Awful. Australia and Canada are comparable in just about everything, now you can add wild(bush)fires to the list.
The more WNW'ly systems also favour snow/rain in the Canberra area, due to the strong rain shadow cast by the Brindabellas with SW'ly systems. To get snow at low elevations around the ACT though, fluky precip bands straight from the south are the best bet.
July 10, 2025 at 1:14 AM
The more WNW'ly systems also favour snow/rain in the Canberra area, due to the strong rain shadow cast by the Brindabellas with SW'ly systems. To get snow at low elevations around the ACT though, fluky precip bands straight from the south are the best bet.
Convection over the (now subtropical) waters of the Tasmanian Tasman Sea?
July 6, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Convection over the (now subtropical) waters of the Tasmanian Tasman Sea?
In true AM style, very understated. The CG rate was right up there even by summer standards today.
July 6, 2025 at 10:22 AM
In true AM style, very understated. The CG rate was right up there even by summer standards today.
Spot on. Spring-like weather has started around July 20 in recent years, though it's dubbed 'fake Spring' in the cooler climes of Canberra.
July 6, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Spot on. Spring-like weather has started around July 20 in recent years, though it's dubbed 'fake Spring' in the cooler climes of Canberra.
Right over the warm patch of SSTs which is no surprise; the patch of subtropical 21-22C SSTs extends nearly to 35S offshore. The ECL might erode these anomalies at least temporarily, much like a TC does in the tropics.
July 2, 2025 at 7:59 AM
Right over the warm patch of SSTs which is no surprise; the patch of subtropical 21-22C SSTs extends nearly to 35S offshore. The ECL might erode these anomalies at least temporarily, much like a TC does in the tropics.
Some freezing fog around Warri (near Braidwood) this morning also, all trees white.
June 16, 2025 at 6:21 AM
Some freezing fog around Warri (near Braidwood) this morning also, all trees white.
Fog has persisted all day against the Brindabellas. I don't think today's low maxima under the fog will survive the 0900 reset tomorrow, though.
June 16, 2025 at 6:20 AM
Fog has persisted all day against the Brindabellas. I don't think today's low maxima under the fog will survive the 0900 reset tomorrow, though.
Morwell is also quite coastal in general, though somewhat cut off from the ocean by a nearby range.
May 22, 2025 at 1:13 AM
Morwell is also quite coastal in general, though somewhat cut off from the ocean by a nearby range.
My town near Canberra (700 m/2296 ft/valley floor) hasn't fallen below -2.5C so far this season. Some of these places that are beating this are near sea level, e.g. Morwell. Normally at this time of year it's cloudier and wetter in VIC, SA and drier in NSW.
May 22, 2025 at 1:10 AM
My town near Canberra (700 m/2296 ft/valley floor) hasn't fallen below -2.5C so far this season. Some of these places that are beating this are near sea level, e.g. Morwell. Normally at this time of year it's cloudier and wetter in VIC, SA and drier in NSW.
Leaving masterfully clear skies over Masterton.
May 7, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Leaving masterfully clear skies over Masterton.
You could localise it further. 'Severe drought continues in Tumut, whilst Braidwood is sodden.'
May 6, 2025 at 3:12 AM
You could localise it further. 'Severe drought continues in Tumut, whilst Braidwood is sodden.'
And that's summer like convective cumulus over the Brindabellas. I had a rogue -2C in Bungendore but aside from that, nothing resembling the cool season yet. When the snowfields shut up shop and Thredbo is cheaper, I'll be moving.
April 26, 2025 at 2:21 AM
And that's summer like convective cumulus over the Brindabellas. I had a rogue -2C in Bungendore but aside from that, nothing resembling the cool season yet. When the snowfields shut up shop and Thredbo is cheaper, I'll be moving.
Awful. Endless heat and not a drop of rain so far this month. It's a dry climate but not the desert (ironically, the real deserts are wetter atm). Here in Bungendore it's a couple of degrees cooler, part of the reason I live out here. Braidwood better though!
April 13, 2025 at 3:07 AM
Awful. Endless heat and not a drop of rain so far this month. It's a dry climate but not the desert (ironically, the real deserts are wetter atm). Here in Bungendore it's a couple of degrees cooler, part of the reason I live out here. Braidwood better though!
Will it do a Paul Kelly, that is the question- 'from little things...'
January 1, 2025 at 12:33 AM
Will it do a Paul Kelly, that is the question- 'from little things...'