Itsovershoot
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eco-overshoot.bsky.social
Itsovershoot
@eco-overshoot.bsky.social
Recovering economist.

My substack: https://substack.com/@predicament
Reposted by Itsovershoot
#PublicServiceAnnouncement re: "climate summits":

There's only two possible outcomes to a #COP climate summit:

One: there IS agreement on a deal that doesn't mean anything.

Two: there is NO agreement on a deal that doesn't mean anything.

Both have one thing in common: they don't mean anything.
November 23, 2025 at 8:56 AM
October 25, 2025 at 12:02 PM
October 23, 2025 at 4:34 AM
"You stop waiting for things to go “back to normal” because now you know that they never will, and they shouldn’t."
Understanding Our Collapsing World
Donald Trump, climate change and all the other chaos. How we got here, where we are, and what’s actually possible from here.
predicament.substack.com
May 31, 2025 at 6:14 AM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Zelensky has given Trump everything that Trump demanded in return for absolutely nothing beyond a vague promise of some nebulous something. This is what happens when one believes the non-credible promises of a US that weaponises you for its own purposes www.ft.com/content/1890...
Ukraine agrees minerals deal with US
Kyiv hopes agreement on jointly exploring resources will improve relations with Trump administration
www.ft.com
February 25, 2025 at 11:16 PM
The old ways of thinking, the stories we were told about endless growth and progress, are shattering in real time. The fact that most people are sensing something is terribly off, even if we don’t know what to do about it, is the first step toward something new.
The Times They Are A-Changin'
This is the collapse…of the American Empire. This messy reality we’re already living through. And yes, it’s going to get a lot worse. By a few decades, or by the end of this century, it could very wel...
open.substack.com
February 26, 2025 at 5:17 AM
February 26, 2025 at 5:08 AM
February 22, 2025 at 8:44 AM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Based on carbon budgets from Lamboll et al www.nature.com/articles/s41... - updated to January 2025, the global rate for cutting CO2 inline with a 50% chance of not exceeding 1.5°C is ~19% year on year. For "well below 2°C" its ~7% each year; i.e. a technology revolution AND profound social change.
February 14, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Evening Ian.
February 11, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Those dystopian books we read in school are looking less like fiction and more like a blueprint.

No wonder they’re being banned—they want to keep us in the dark.
February 10, 2025 at 10:59 PM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Last month was the warmest January on record globally! Outside of the contiguous United States, most continental land regions were much warmer than average.

Summary of the month at climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-... using @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 data.
February 9, 2025 at 2:22 AM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
+1.75°C above pre-industrial! 🥵

January 2025 for Europe was 2.51°C above 1991-2020!
February 6, 2025 at 10:16 AM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Arctic sea-ice extent fell again yesterday and is now over 400,000 square kilometers below the previous record daily low for Feb. 2.

The heat is on!
February 3, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Red = lowest ecological integrity.

Ireland has the great honour of being probably *the* most ecologically trashed nation in all Europe. 🏆 🏆 🏆
February 3, 2025 at 6:42 AM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
January 31, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Climate and ecological breakdown are direct consequences of fossil capital’s capture of our culture and politics. Voting and buying “green” will not get us out of this deathtrap system.
January 26, 2025 at 1:01 PM
“What should give us reason to keep fighting is the fact that we still have choices. Choices about how we face collapse and how we act as it unfolds. We should work to reduce suffering, to create a more controlled and less chaotic descent.”
It’s Falling Apart — What Are We Going to Do About It?
Our world is heading toward unavoidable change. This article explores what’s coming and how we can prepare to adapt.
open.substack.com
January 24, 2025 at 2:14 PM
We’re doubling down on fossil fuels and environmental destruction with plans like Project 2025. It’s not a plan, it’s a death sentence. It’s a tragedy. It's a stunning, heartbreaking failure of leadership and humanity itself.
Drill, Baby, Drill – Waking Up in the Age of Absurdity
Disconnected from nature and addicted to comfort, humanity clings to a collapsing, unsustainable system.
open.substack.com
January 17, 2025 at 12:06 PM
January 17, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
Cuba has for years been a classic measured country able to function at a one planet lifestyle ... unlike North America ... source Global Footprint Network
January 11, 2025 at 3:07 AM
Reposted by Itsovershoot
International Law is officially dead, by the West's own hand: The Polish PM declared he will ensure the International Criminal Court's arrest warrant for Netanyahu's arrest will be ignored when he visits Poland. Meanwhile US Congress imposed sanctions on ICC officials.
January 10, 2025 at 7:50 AM
Shocking, and also, makes no difference. Net Zero is impossible for many reasons, but for one, 8 billion humans cannot exist without severe consequences on the biosphere. At least these crooks stopped pretending.
BlackRock quits climate change group in latest green climbdown
World’s largest money manager had staked out position as sustainable investment leader
www.ft.com
January 10, 2025 at 7:48 AM