Tapio Schmidt
@finmuc.bsky.social
Energy Economics researcher @FfE_Muenchen
and sustainability enthusiast. 🇪🇺 🇩🇪 🇫🇮 #energystems #operationsresearch #hydrogen #bev
and sustainability enthusiast. 🇪🇺 🇩🇪 🇫🇮 #energystems #operationsresearch #hydrogen #bev
With the current government coalition negotiations in Germany a bidding zone review, i.e. bidding zone split, just became slightly more probable.
SPD in favor, CDU still against it.
SPD in favor, CDU still against it.
March 26, 2025 at 8:26 AM
With the current government coalition negotiations in Germany a bidding zone review, i.e. bidding zone split, just became slightly more probable.
SPD in favor, CDU still against it.
SPD in favor, CDU still against it.
Wonder where the future European hydrogen demand will be located and what is driving it?
@ffe-sciencebased.bsky.social had a look it in the #TransHyDe project. The map shows at NUTS-3 level:
-regional hotspots
-infrastructure demands
More details at the event in Berlin/online
shorturl.at/EeZLb
@ffe-sciencebased.bsky.social had a look it in the #TransHyDe project. The map shows at NUTS-3 level:
-regional hotspots
-infrastructure demands
More details at the event in Berlin/online
shorturl.at/EeZLb
March 24, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Wonder where the future European hydrogen demand will be located and what is driving it?
@ffe-sciencebased.bsky.social had a look it in the #TransHyDe project. The map shows at NUTS-3 level:
-regional hotspots
-infrastructure demands
More details at the event in Berlin/online
shorturl.at/EeZLb
@ffe-sciencebased.bsky.social had a look it in the #TransHyDe project. The map shows at NUTS-3 level:
-regional hotspots
-infrastructure demands
More details at the event in Berlin/online
shorturl.at/EeZLb
6/5
Here is the original chart with the numbers from @rautiainen on X.
Strong demand reduction (1) at high DA prices (2) can be seen even though temperature (4) is low.
Here is the original chart with the numbers from @rautiainen on X.
Strong demand reduction (1) at high DA prices (2) can be seen even though temperature (4) is low.
January 8, 2024 at 7:12 PM
6/5
Here is the original chart with the numbers from @rautiainen on X.
Strong demand reduction (1) at high DA prices (2) can be seen even though temperature (4) is low.
Here is the original chart with the numbers from @rautiainen on X.
Strong demand reduction (1) at high DA prices (2) can be seen even though temperature (4) is low.
The aggregated curves shows the tight and steep situation on the day-ahead market and how much lower prices would have been hypothetically with actual demand.
Obviously the question remains, whether a price signal of 150 €/MWh would have caused this big demand flex.
4/5
Obviously the question remains, whether a price signal of 150 €/MWh would have caused this big demand flex.
4/5
January 8, 2024 at 7:03 PM
The aggregated curves shows the tight and steep situation on the day-ahead market and how much lower prices would have been hypothetically with actual demand.
Obviously the question remains, whether a price signal of 150 €/MWh would have caused this big demand flex.
4/5
Obviously the question remains, whether a price signal of 150 €/MWh would have caused this big demand flex.
4/5
The challenge to forecast that day's demand is shown by the TSO's forecast vs. the actual demand. Deviations of up to 1,4 GW = 10% of total load.
Previous data was missing as prices and temps set records. (And TSO Forecast is calculated before DA auction)
VIZ:@KHanschmidt
3/5
Previous data was missing as prices and temps set records. (And TSO Forecast is calculated before DA auction)
VIZ:@KHanschmidt
3/5
January 8, 2024 at 7:02 PM
The challenge to forecast that day's demand is shown by the TSO's forecast vs. the actual demand. Deviations of up to 1,4 GW = 10% of total load.
Previous data was missing as prices and temps set records. (And TSO Forecast is calculated before DA auction)
VIZ:@KHanschmidt
3/5
Previous data was missing as prices and temps set records. (And TSO Forecast is calculated before DA auction)
VIZ:@KHanschmidt
3/5
Da haben dann relativ kleine Kraftwerkausfälle große Preiskonsequenzen bei so knapper Situation.
Morgen darf kein AKW oder keine größere Übertragungsleitung ausfallen.
Morgen darf kein AKW oder keine größere Übertragungsleitung ausfallen.
January 4, 2024 at 8:19 PM
Da haben dann relativ kleine Kraftwerkausfälle große Preiskonsequenzen bei so knapper Situation.
Morgen darf kein AKW oder keine größere Übertragungsleitung ausfallen.
Morgen darf kein AKW oder keine größere Übertragungsleitung ausfallen.
Die Kraftwerkausfälle tragen zur Situation bei, aber ursächlich ist primär die hohe Nachfrage aufgrund Temperaturen um die -30 Grad im Großteil des Landes.
January 4, 2024 at 8:16 PM
Die Kraftwerkausfälle tragen zur Situation bei, aber ursächlich ist primär die hohe Nachfrage aufgrund Temperaturen um die -30 Grad im Großteil des Landes.
Demand is high due to the cold weather and quite a few fossil power plants are having outages and making supply tight.
January 4, 2024 at 8:12 PM
Demand is high due to the cold weather and quite a few fossil power plants are having outages and making supply tight.
Will the emission accounting with GREET include upstream emissions of renewable energy? Would have quite an impact on the level of tax credit received.
RED II DA neglects those upstream emissions.
0 kg/kg or 2.2 kg/kg makes a huge difference in the IRA. www.ffe.de/wp-content/u...
RED II DA neglects those upstream emissions.
0 kg/kg or 2.2 kg/kg makes a huge difference in the IRA. www.ffe.de/wp-content/u...
December 22, 2023 at 9:47 PM
Will the emission accounting with GREET include upstream emissions of renewable energy? Would have quite an impact on the level of tax credit received.
RED II DA neglects those upstream emissions.
0 kg/kg or 2.2 kg/kg makes a huge difference in the IRA. www.ffe.de/wp-content/u...
RED II DA neglects those upstream emissions.
0 kg/kg or 2.2 kg/kg makes a huge difference in the IRA. www.ffe.de/wp-content/u...
Maybe we should simply accept that comparing LCOE of current electricity generation types is not possible or useful.
There is a reason why we use complex energy system models instead of planning the energy system model with annual duration curves or LCOE.
There is a reason why we use complex energy system models instead of planning the energy system model with annual duration curves or LCOE.
December 20, 2023 at 9:23 AM
Maybe we should simply accept that comparing LCOE of current electricity generation types is not possible or useful.
There is a reason why we use complex energy system models instead of planning the energy system model with annual duration curves or LCOE.
There is a reason why we use complex energy system models instead of planning the energy system model with annual duration curves or LCOE.
Primary, secondary, final, and....
...useful energy!
Colleagues from @ffe-sciencebased.bsky.social @bdew and @AGEBeV published interactive charts that show what happens "after final energy". Check it out!
ag-energiebilanzen.de/wie-energiee...
...useful energy!
Colleagues from @ffe-sciencebased.bsky.social @bdew and @AGEBeV published interactive charts that show what happens "after final energy". Check it out!
ag-energiebilanzen.de/wie-energiee...
December 15, 2023 at 1:33 PM
Primary, secondary, final, and....
...useful energy!
Colleagues from @ffe-sciencebased.bsky.social @bdew and @AGEBeV published interactive charts that show what happens "after final energy". Check it out!
ag-energiebilanzen.de/wie-energiee...
...useful energy!
Colleagues from @ffe-sciencebased.bsky.social @bdew and @AGEBeV published interactive charts that show what happens "after final energy". Check it out!
ag-energiebilanzen.de/wie-energiee...
Around 1 GW of additional demand to the forecasted demand currently.
Saunas seem to be hot on blacl friday in 🇫🇮.
Saunas seem to be hot on blacl friday in 🇫🇮.
November 24, 2023 at 2:07 PM
Around 1 GW of additional demand to the forecasted demand currently.
Saunas seem to be hot on blacl friday in 🇫🇮.
Saunas seem to be hot on blacl friday in 🇫🇮.
TSO fingrid will make purchases on the intraday to balance the system tmrw.
Will definetely be not the average day tmrw for everyone on the intraday market.
umm.nordpoolgroup.com#/messages/55...
Will definetely be not the average day tmrw for everyone on the intraday market.
umm.nordpoolgroup.com#/messages/55...
November 23, 2023 at 6:36 PM
TSO fingrid will make purchases on the intraday to balance the system tmrw.
Will definetely be not the average day tmrw for everyone on the intraday market.
umm.nordpoolgroup.com#/messages/55...
Will definetely be not the average day tmrw for everyone on the intraday market.
umm.nordpoolgroup.com#/messages/55...
Black Friday day ahead: 🇫🇮 will see 10 hours of -500€/MWh due to a bidding error of a market participant offering erroneously more than 5 GW.
Let‘s see whether Finnish saunas will glow. More seriously: Definetely an interesting day tmrw.
Details on the case on x:
x.com/jrnnback/sta...
Let‘s see whether Finnish saunas will glow. More seriously: Definetely an interesting day tmrw.
Details on the case on x:
x.com/jrnnback/sta...
November 23, 2023 at 6:26 PM
Black Friday day ahead: 🇫🇮 will see 10 hours of -500€/MWh due to a bidding error of a market participant offering erroneously more than 5 GW.
Let‘s see whether Finnish saunas will glow. More seriously: Definetely an interesting day tmrw.
Details on the case on x:
x.com/jrnnback/sta...
Let‘s see whether Finnish saunas will glow. More seriously: Definetely an interesting day tmrw.
Details on the case on x:
x.com/jrnnback/sta...
Interessant finde ich , dass das LFS-H2 Szenario mit Einsatz H2 in der Wärme keinen signifikant abweichenden Speicherbedarf vom LFS-Strom hat. Einerseits muss hier vermutlich mehr H2 rückverstromt werden vs. H2 für Wärme im Winter zu speichern.
November 7, 2023 at 2:45 PM
Interessant finde ich , dass das LFS-H2 Szenario mit Einsatz H2 in der Wärme keinen signifikant abweichenden Speicherbedarf vom LFS-Strom hat. Einerseits muss hier vermutlich mehr H2 rückverstromt werden vs. H2 für Wärme im Winter zu speichern.
Jos Saksaa ymmärrät (tai DeepL toimii) tässä on hyvä raportti kuluttajan näkökulmasta.
Lisähinta tällä hetkellä vielä kokoluokkaa 3-5 t€ jos ostat kaksisuuntaisen laturin.
www.ffe.de/wp-content/u...
Lisähinta tällä hetkellä vielä kokoluokkaa 3-5 t€ jos ostat kaksisuuntaisen laturin.
www.ffe.de/wp-content/u...
November 7, 2023 at 10:59 AM
Jos Saksaa ymmärrät (tai DeepL toimii) tässä on hyvä raportti kuluttajan näkökulmasta.
Lisähinta tällä hetkellä vielä kokoluokkaa 3-5 t€ jos ostat kaksisuuntaisen laturin.
www.ffe.de/wp-content/u...
Lisähinta tällä hetkellä vielä kokoluokkaa 3-5 t€ jos ostat kaksisuuntaisen laturin.
www.ffe.de/wp-content/u...
Netzbetreiber (VNB) legt das SLP fest. Und Lieferant muss nach diesem liefern.
Um abzuweichen bräuchte man zertifiziert „moderne Messeinrichtung“.
So verstehe ich das.
Um abzuweichen bräuchte man zertifiziert „moderne Messeinrichtung“.
So verstehe ich das.
November 3, 2023 at 5:38 PM
Netzbetreiber (VNB) legt das SLP fest. Und Lieferant muss nach diesem liefern.
Um abzuweichen bräuchte man zertifiziert „moderne Messeinrichtung“.
So verstehe ich das.
Um abzuweichen bräuchte man zertifiziert „moderne Messeinrichtung“.
So verstehe ich das.
Great chart to visualize this correlation/heterogeneity of onshore wind by @lukstroem (currently only on X).
November 2, 2023 at 11:12 AM
Great chart to visualize this correlation/heterogeneity of onshore wind by @lukstroem (currently only on X).
Wo ich gerade noch hänge sind die quasi identischen Beschaffungskosten für Strom und Wasserstoff im Jahr 2045.
Mögliche Erklärung: Für Wasserstoff wurde mit Gestehungskosten gerechnet, während Strom mit Marktpreisen prognostiziert wird.
Mögliche Erklärung: Für Wasserstoff wurde mit Gestehungskosten gerechnet, während Strom mit Marktpreisen prognostiziert wird.
October 31, 2023 at 10:43 AM
Wo ich gerade noch hänge sind die quasi identischen Beschaffungskosten für Strom und Wasserstoff im Jahr 2045.
Mögliche Erklärung: Für Wasserstoff wurde mit Gestehungskosten gerechnet, während Strom mit Marktpreisen prognostiziert wird.
Mögliche Erklärung: Für Wasserstoff wurde mit Gestehungskosten gerechnet, während Strom mit Marktpreisen prognostiziert wird.
Not only IEA. This is from one of the IPCC IAMs.
For 2050 15 EJ of BECCS (=4000 TWh)
For 2050 15 EJ of BECCS (=4000 TWh)
October 30, 2023 at 3:44 PM
Not only IEA. This is from one of the IPCC IAMs.
For 2050 15 EJ of BECCS (=4000 TWh)
For 2050 15 EJ of BECCS (=4000 TWh)
Even though the quality of the charts is not great. But here the clear difference in usage of CCS in the power sector can still be seen.
October 30, 2023 at 11:34 AM
Even though the quality of the charts is not great. But here the clear difference in usage of CCS in the power sector can still be seen.
Beginning of a new era:
Twitter/X is replaced by Bluesky.
And my 45 year old analogue Ferraris meter is replaced by a digital meter.
Looking forward to both changes!
P.s. Obviously the new digital meter will not be online. This is Germany 2023.
Twitter/X is replaced by Bluesky.
And my 45 year old analogue Ferraris meter is replaced by a digital meter.
Looking forward to both changes!
P.s. Obviously the new digital meter will not be online. This is Germany 2023.
October 20, 2023 at 3:23 PM
Beginning of a new era:
Twitter/X is replaced by Bluesky.
And my 45 year old analogue Ferraris meter is replaced by a digital meter.
Looking forward to both changes!
P.s. Obviously the new digital meter will not be online. This is Germany 2023.
Twitter/X is replaced by Bluesky.
And my 45 year old analogue Ferraris meter is replaced by a digital meter.
Looking forward to both changes!
P.s. Obviously the new digital meter will not be online. This is Germany 2023.
In the field of #energy, we face the same old lies and #myths every day. Especially when it comes to new technologies and transformation. This holds true for the pros and cons! We should stick to the sometimes inconvenient truth! #factbaseddecisionmaking is the only solution!
October 19, 2023 at 8:28 AM
In the field of #energy, we face the same old lies and #myths every day. Especially when it comes to new technologies and transformation. This holds true for the pros and cons! We should stick to the sometimes inconvenient truth! #factbaseddecisionmaking is the only solution!