Jakob Terp-Hansen
@jakobterp.bsky.social
USA-kommentator. Redaktør, USAPol.dk. Skribent på POV International. Find ugentligt nyhedsbrev her: https://usapol.dk/nyhedsbrev
“(..) in conversations with three former DHS officials—who served in both the Biden and Trump administrations and are still in touch with current staff—it was made clear that Trump is indeed considering moving on from Noem.”
🚨SCOOP: I’ve got inside information on Noem’s perilous job security, and sources who tell me her time heading DHS could be coming to an end soon.
www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-dhs-... only via @thebulwark.com
www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-dhs-... only via @thebulwark.com
Trump Weighs Moving on From Noem
The DHS secretary has overseen the president’s most controversial domestic initiative. But her future is increasingly in doubt.
www.thebulwark.com
December 6, 2025 at 10:48 PM
“(..) in conversations with three former DHS officials—who served in both the Biden and Trump administrations and are still in touch with current staff—it was made clear that Trump is indeed considering moving on from Noem.”
I maj interviewede jeg Alexander Gray, der arbejdede som stabschef i NSC i Trumps første periode, om præsidentens udenrigspolitik. Set i lyset af den nye nationale sikkerhedsstrategi er hans pointer og definition af Trumpdoktrinen måske værd at genbesøge (jeg skriver mere om strategien senere):
Er der en Trump-doktrin? Ja, siger tidligere rådgiver til USAPol.dk – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
December 6, 2025 at 1:43 PM
I maj interviewede jeg Alexander Gray, der arbejdede som stabschef i NSC i Trumps første periode, om præsidentens udenrigspolitik. Set i lyset af den nye nationale sikkerhedsstrategi er hans pointer og definition af Trumpdoktrinen måske værd at genbesøge (jeg skriver mere om strategien senere):
I den seneste tid har Donald Trump givet det endnu et forsøg at få afsluttet krigen i Ukraine. Men tættere på fred eller en afslutning er vi alligevel slet ikke kommet, vurderer @jkaarsbo.bsky.social, der er gæst i årets sidste podcast fra USAPol.
Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
December 5, 2025 at 9:56 AM
I den seneste tid har Donald Trump givet det endnu et forsøg at få afsluttet krigen i Ukraine. Men tættere på fred eller en afslutning er vi alligevel slet ikke kommet, vurderer @jkaarsbo.bsky.social, der er gæst i årets sidste podcast fra USAPol.
Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
En god samtale og interessante analyser af Tucker Carlson, Epsteinsagen, spørgsmålet om “peak Trump” med mere i The Rachman Review:
Splits in the Maga movement
Why America’s Trump supporters are falling out
www.ft.com
December 4, 2025 at 12:07 PM
En god samtale og interessante analyser af Tucker Carlson, Epsteinsagen, spørgsmålet om “peak Trump” med mere i The Rachman Review:
Van Epps (R) vinder specialvalget i Tennessee. En sejr på cirka 9 procentpoint er mere end de 5, jeg gættede på, men afspejler stadig en klar demokratisk overpræstation i distriktet.
Tennessee Seventh Congressional District Special Election Results 2025: Behn vs. Van Epps
Get live results and maps from the 2025 Tennessee congressional special election.
www.nytimes.com
December 3, 2025 at 8:17 AM
Van Epps (R) vinder specialvalget i Tennessee. En sejr på cirka 9 procentpoint er mere end de 5, jeg gættede på, men afspejler stadig en klar demokratisk overpræstation i distriktet.
Lidt om det forestående specialvalg i Tennessee og mine forventninger:
I dag skal Republikanerne undgå en katastrofe i Tennessee – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
December 2, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Lidt om det forestående specialvalg i Tennessee og mine forventninger:
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
ICYMI — Inside Elections moved TN-07 from Solid Republican to Lean Republican two weeks ago. New poll last week from Emerson shows a dead heat in the Trump +22 seat. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
December 1, 2025 at 1:41 PM
ICYMI — Inside Elections moved TN-07 from Solid Republican to Lean Republican two weeks ago. New poll last week from Emerson shows a dead heat in the Trump +22 seat. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Skrev for et par dage siden om, hvordan Trump har mistet opfattelsen af hans økonomiske håndtering som væsentligt trumfkort:
Trump har mistet væsentligt trumfkort – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
November 27, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Skrev for et par dage siden om, hvordan Trump har mistet opfattelsen af hans økonomiske håndtering som væsentligt trumfkort:
Republikansk favoritværdighed endnu, men skulle Demokraterne vinde (og dermed erobre en plads i Repræsentanternes Hus), må det betegnes som en katastrofe eller noget nær dette for Republikanerne.
Emerson poll | 11/22-11/24 LV
Tennessee’s 7th congressional special election (Trump +22)
(Leaners pushed)
🟥Matt Van Epps 49.4%
🟦Aftyn Behn 47.0%
Others 3.5%
emersoncollegepolling.com/tennessee-7t...
Tennessee’s 7th congressional special election (Trump +22)
(Leaners pushed)
🟥Matt Van Epps 49.4%
🟦Aftyn Behn 47.0%
Others 3.5%
emersoncollegepolling.com/tennessee-7t...
Tennessee 7th District 2025 Special Election Poll: Republican Van Epps and Democrat Behn Locked In Tight Race - Emerson Polling
Voters Split on Trump’s Job Performance as Economic Issues Top Voters’ Concerns A new Emerson…Full Release & Results
emersoncollegepolling.com
November 26, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Republikansk favoritværdighed endnu, men skulle Demokraterne vinde (og dermed erobre en plads i Repræsentanternes Hus), må det betegnes som en katastrofe eller noget nær dette for Republikanerne.
Stor juridisk nyhed: “A federal judge dismissed the indictments against former FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James on Monday.”
Judge throws out cases against Trump political enemies James Comey and Letitia James, citing unlawful appointment of Lindsey Halligan.
https://cnn.it/4rk3deF
https://cnn.it/4rk3deF
November 24, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Stor juridisk nyhed: “A federal judge dismissed the indictments against former FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James on Monday.”
Ifølge NOTUS udtrykker en “kilde tæt på Trump” om Texas-senator Ted Cruz: “(…) he’s used his role to stifle Trump’s priorities. Ted is quickly going the way of MTG, and I can only imagine what fresh nickname Trump comes up with now to end Ted’s career for the second time.“
The White House Believes Ted Cruz Is Working to Undermine Trump Due to His 2028 Ambitions
The administration sees the positions Cruz has taken as Commerce Committee chair as directly tied to a possible presidential run and as ways to distinguish himself from a potential 2028 rival, Vice Pr...
www.notus.org
November 20, 2025 at 11:26 AM
Ifølge NOTUS udtrykker en “kilde tæt på Trump” om Texas-senator Ted Cruz: “(…) he’s used his role to stifle Trump’s priorities. Ted is quickly going the way of MTG, and I can only imagine what fresh nickname Trump comes up with now to end Ted’s career for the second time.“
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Is studying and teaching about US House procedure, ie leadership tools and "negative agenda control", really worth a career? Sometimes I wonder. But then a footnote of congressional procedure can flip the governing party on its head on a scandal that is increasingly defining this White House.
"I suspect this vote will be, probably, unanimous," Mike Johnson says ahead of the House voting to pass a bill to force DOJ to release its Epstein files -- a bill Mike Johnson has been fighting to block for months.
November 18, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Is studying and teaching about US House procedure, ie leadership tools and "negative agenda control", really worth a career? Sometimes I wonder. But then a footnote of congressional procedure can flip the governing party on its head on a scandal that is increasingly defining this White House.
Skrev i sidste uge om det politiske klima i kølvandet på lokalvalgene. Det er godt for Demokraterne, men hvor godt? Jeg så på forskellige indikatorer:
Hvor godt er det politiske klima for Demokraterne? – USAPol.dk
Billedet af valgnatten var tydeligt, og resultaterne blev selvfølgelig også noteret af Republikanerne.
usapol.dk
November 18, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Skrev i sidste uge om det politiske klima i kølvandet på lokalvalgene. Det er godt for Demokraterne, men hvor godt? Jeg så på forskellige indikatorer:
“A federal magistrate judge said on Monday that the criminal case against James B. Comey, the former F.B.I. director, could be in serious trouble because of a series of apparent errors committed in front of the grand jury by Lindsey Halligan.”
Judge Says Justice Dept. May Have Committed ‘Misconduct’ in Comey Case
www.nytimes.com
November 17, 2025 at 6:47 PM
“A federal magistrate judge said on Monday that the criminal case against James B. Comey, the former F.B.I. director, could be in serious trouble because of a series of apparent errors committed in front of the grand jury by Lindsey Halligan.”
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Evidence of racial polarization in Georgia last week. In one race, a White D ran against a Black R; the inverse was true in the other. So, where did the White D over-perform the Black D? In whiter areas.
November 14, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Evidence of racial polarization in Georgia last week. In one race, a White D ran against a Black R; the inverse was true in the other. So, where did the White D over-perform the Black D? In whiter areas.
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Ron Paul 2008 was a response to the perceived failures of GWB. Bernie 2016 was a response to the perceived failures of Obama. Presumably there will be an insurgent Republican in 2028 who’s a response to Trump.
November 15, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Ron Paul 2008 was a response to the perceived failures of GWB. Bernie 2016 was a response to the perceived failures of Obama. Presumably there will be an insurgent Republican in 2028 who’s a response to Trump.
“(..) Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Caine and other senior officials briefed the president on military options for the coming days, the sources said.”
Scoop: Military officials on Weds presented Trump with updated options for potential operations in Venezuela, including land strikes, per sources. Hegseth, Caine at White House yday afternoon for briefings. No final decision made, two of the sources told @cbsnews.com
www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-v...
www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-v...
Top officials present Trump with military options for Venezuela in the coming days
The potential operations for Venezuela presented to Trump included options for strikes on land, multiple sources said.
www.cbsnews.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:36 PM
“(..) Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Caine and other senior officials briefed the president on military options for the coming days, the sources said.”
Demokraterne fik noget ud af regeringsnedlukningen også i meningsmålingerne. Men de målinger er nok glemt om et år. Samtidig fik partiet ingen aftale i forhold til sundhedspolitikken og har nu i stedet fået et nyt internt slagsmål. Det er svært at sige, at afslutningen på forløbet har været god.
November 11, 2025 at 7:47 AM
Demokraterne fik noget ud af regeringsnedlukningen også i meningsmålingerne. Men de målinger er nok glemt om et år. Samtidig fik partiet ingen aftale i forhold til sundhedspolitikken og har nu i stedet fået et nyt internt slagsmål. Det er svært at sige, at afslutningen på forløbet har været god.
En æra er (snart) forbi: Nancy Pelosi genopstiller ikke til Repræsentanternes Hus.
News: Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi has announced she is not running for re-election in 2026
This will be her last term in office
www.notus.org/democrats/na...
This will be her last term in office
www.notus.org/democrats/na...
Nancy Pelosi Announces Her Retirement From Congress
While not a surprise, it’s an end to her historic and long career as a lawmaker and Democratic leader.
www.notus.org
November 6, 2025 at 2:56 PM
En æra er (snart) forbi: Nancy Pelosi genopstiller ikke til Repræsentanternes Hus.
Her er så en dårlig nyhed for Demokraterne.
Dem Jared Golden says he will not run for re-election in ME-02. Passes on running for higher office earlier this year. Cites incivility in politics etc.
www.bangordailynews.com/2025/11/05/o...
www.bangordailynews.com/2025/11/05/o...
Jared Golden: I won’t seek reelection. Here’s why.
"What I could accomplish in this increasingly unproductive Congress pales in comparison to what I could do in that time as a husband, a father and a son."
www.bangordailynews.com
November 5, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Her er så en dårlig nyhed for Demokraterne.
I nat slog Demokraterne tilbage et år efter det værste præsidentvalg i 20 år. Her er seks nedslag i valgnatten.
En indsigt fra artiklen: I 2024 vandt Trump Passaic County i NJ - det county med den største hispanicbefolkning i staten.
I år vandt Mikie Sherrill (D) det område med 15.
En indsigt fra artiklen: I 2024 vandt Trump Passaic County i NJ - det county med den største hispanicbefolkning i staten.
I år vandt Mikie Sherrill (D) det område med 15.
Demokraterne slår tilbage: Her er seks nedslag i lokalvalgene – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
November 5, 2025 at 5:40 PM
I nat slog Demokraterne tilbage et år efter det værste præsidentvalg i 20 år. Her er seks nedslag i valgnatten.
En indsigt fra artiklen: I 2024 vandt Trump Passaic County i NJ - det county med den største hispanicbefolkning i staten.
I år vandt Mikie Sherrill (D) det område med 15.
En indsigt fra artiklen: I 2024 vandt Trump Passaic County i NJ - det county med den største hispanicbefolkning i staten.
I år vandt Mikie Sherrill (D) det område med 15.
“An early forecast for the 2026 midterms — based on the historical predictive power of Virginia’s governor elections — suggests a national environment that looks something like D+8 to D+9, compared to the D+3 to D+4 in polls today.”
Seven data-driven lessons from the 2025 elections
Democrats outran their polls and swept statewide races from Georgia to New Jersey, on an agenda of affordability and a broad anti-Trump backlash
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 5, 2025 at 2:04 PM
“An early forecast for the 2026 midterms — based on the historical predictive power of Virginia’s governor elections — suggests a national environment that looks something like D+8 to D+9, compared to the D+3 to D+4 in polls today.”
Status her kl. 06.45. Demokraterne vinder:
- Guvernørvalg i NJ og VA
- Viceguvernørvalg i VA og AG-valg i VA
- Fastholder tre højesteretspladser i Pennsylvania
- Går massivt frem i House of Delegates i Virginia
- Går frem i General Assembly i NJ
- Vinder to Public Service Commissioner-valg i GA
- Guvernørvalg i NJ og VA
- Viceguvernørvalg i VA og AG-valg i VA
- Fastholder tre højesteretspladser i Pennsylvania
- Går massivt frem i House of Delegates i Virginia
- Går frem i General Assembly i NJ
- Vinder to Public Service Commissioner-valg i GA
November 5, 2025 at 5:45 AM
Status her kl. 06.45. Demokraterne vinder:
- Guvernørvalg i NJ og VA
- Viceguvernørvalg i VA og AG-valg i VA
- Fastholder tre højesteretspladser i Pennsylvania
- Går massivt frem i House of Delegates i Virginia
- Går frem i General Assembly i NJ
- Vinder to Public Service Commissioner-valg i GA
- Guvernørvalg i NJ og VA
- Viceguvernørvalg i VA og AG-valg i VA
- Fastholder tre højesteretspladser i Pennsylvania
- Går massivt frem i House of Delegates i Virginia
- Går frem i General Assembly i NJ
- Vinder to Public Service Commissioner-valg i GA
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Jay Jones (D) wins the race for Virginia attorney general, NBC News projects.
November 5, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Jay Jones (D) wins the race for Virginia attorney general, NBC News projects.