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🎯 Gibbs’ production with Monty was not worthy of the RB3 pick. The interior OL has turnover- C Frank Ragnow retired. I have no issue drafting Gibbs at this price, but I’ll likely take a WR instead.

7️⃣ Draft Advice
Gibbs offers one of the highest floors in fantasy.
If Montgomery fades or gets hurt? You’re holding the league-winner.
Montgomery is the heart and soul of the offense. He’s not likely going away.

5️⃣ Team Context Helps
If Detroit’s defense bounces back, expect more game control → more rushing volume overall.
That could mean enough work for BOTH RBs to hit value—even in a timeshare.

6️⃣ 2025 Best/Worst Case
✅ Best Case: Full takeover → RB1 overall
❌ Worst Case: Timeshare → RB3–RB6 finish

4️⃣ 2025 Outlook: Monty Complicates Things
Montgomery’s still around (re-signed)

Will Lions stick with a 1A/1B split?

Or will they unleash Gibbs as the clear No. 1?

Gibbs is the better player—but roles matter.

3️⃣ With Montgomery Healthy = Capped Ceiling
In 13 shared games:
~12 carries/game

1–4 receptions

15+ PPR points consistently, 18.3 average

But only 3 games over 20 points

Just 2 games with 100+ rushing yards

🎯 Super safe floor, but limited ceiling.

2️⃣ Gibbs Without Montgomery = Nuclear
After Monty’s Week knee injury:
5 games (incl. playoffs)

32.0 PPR points/game

Never under 25 points

105+ rushing yards in 4 straight

🔥 Overall RB1 pace.

1️⃣ 2024 Season Recap
1,412 rushing yards

16 rushing TDs

52 receptions, 517 rec yards, 4 rec TDs

88th percentile broken tackles

65th percentile YAC

✅ Explosiveness. ✅ Efficiency. ✅ Volume when it mattered.

📌 The Bottom Line:
Pickens finally has a real QB.
Prescott gets another weapon.
Metcalf wins by default.
Tolbert heads to fantasy exile.

5️⃣ Meanwhile in Pittsburgh…

🤯 Mason Rudolph is now the QB1
📈 DK Metcalf moves back into the WR24 mix
There’s no real target competition — Calvin Austin, Roman Wilson, and Robert Woods won’t demand volume.

4️⃣ Biggest loser?
Jalen Tolbert 😞

He had 6+ targets in 4 games last year and topped 80+ yards in 3 of them.
Pickens just took his job.

3️⃣ Fantasy fallout ⬇️

✅ CeeDee Lamb: Still a top-3 WR
📈 Dak Prescott: Was going outside QB15 — now in play as a top-12 QB
📈 George Pickens: Drafted outside WR36 post-draft — now rising toward WR30 with top-24 upside

2️⃣ Now he gets a QB upgrade with Dak Prescott 🔼

And while CeeDee Lamb owns the short/intermediate game…
Pickens can thrive as a downfield weapon 🚀
There are enough targets for both to eat.

1️⃣ The Cowboys acquired Pickens from the Steelers for a 3rd-round pick + pick swap.

Pickens’ career in Pittsburgh:
📊 58 rec / 947 yds / 4 TDs per year
👎 His QBs: Pickett, Trubisky, Rudolph, Wilson, Fields