@tkmerchant.bsky.social absolutely crushing his exit talk!! Congrats, Tom!

We find: NCP assessments could miss large impacts to values by ignoring disturbances (results below - e.g. risks of up to 50% losses) -- and common ecological metrics of stability fall short of predicting these impacts -- especially when considering dynamic human responses to disturbance.

We demonstrate our approach quantifying impacts to timber and recreational enjoyment from extreme windstorms in a mid-latitude forest of Northern Minnesota. But provide a roadmap for applying our approach across different social-ecological systems, eg. 👇

To address our questions, our interdisciplinary team of ecologists and economist developed a new approach that formalizes what's in this figure 👇 & integrate knowledge from disturbance ecology and from approaches that value ecosystems in economic and cultural terms.

The review process, which was excellent, prompted us to call for community-driven best practices in causal inference in ecology. We put some ideas in Box 4 to kick off that discussion. Curious what others think or would add! @jebyrnes.bsky.social @rmcelreath.bsky.social @juliajones.bsky.social

Wildlife contributes to human well-being and values in visible and invisible ways that are under-recognized or dominated by conflict narratives. We review these critical contributions and what research and policy is needed to protect them: www.nature.com/articles/s44...

4) there a plenty of misconceptions with causal inference that often arise; we address a few in Box 5. Looking forward, we provide a workflow to aid in choosing among different designs given goals, assumptions, and datasets. 5/n

Foundations and future directions for causal inference in ecological research, forthcoming w/ @katherinesiegel.bsky.social: tinyurl.com/4mm57zzd.
We wrote it based on our experience teaching causal inference to ecologists w/ some stuff we wish other papers had reviewed to share w/ the students
1/n

Me trying to keep up with the computational abilities of students and postdocs in my lab! @ktmanley.bsky.social @tylerlmcintosh.bsky.social @meghanthayden.bsky.social @lucyvankleunen.bsky.social 😂😅

End of semester lab cookie bake off ! I’m lucky to be working with this dream team who also happen to be great bakers! 🥳🤩🤩

Welcome to bluesky,
@tylerlmcintosh.bsky.social
who is a 1st year PhD student co-advised with Jennifer Balch
@cu-esiil.bsky.social
@earthlabcu.bsky.social
studying social-ecological risk and resilience in the face of natural hazards (esp wildfire) in a changing world!

Welcome to bluesky, @tylerlmcintosh.bsky.social who is a 1st year PhD student co-advised with Jennifer Balch @cu-esiil.bsky.social @earthlabcu.bsky.social studying social-ecological risk and resilience in the face of natural hazards (esp wildfire) in a changing world!

Requisite pretty picture of Boulder