Michael Grose
@michaelgrose.bsky.social
300 followers 120 following 41 posts
Australian climate scientist - projections, attribution, impacts, communications etc. @IPCC_CH AR6 lead author (Atlas). Views are my own
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
michaelgrose.bsky.social
check out our section in AR6 Ch 1 - it was clear back then and has only further confirmed since (I did the regional analysis) www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/w...
Chapter 1: Framing, Context and Methods
.
www.ipcc.ch
michaelgrose.bsky.social
I'm trying to imagine their perspective - the entire field of climate science is corrupted, deluded or groupthink. None of it can be trusted. Only these five brave heroes can do what needs to be done. So no review or comments, lots of self citation etc. is all justified.
Pretty bold position really
Reposted by Michael Grose
amosupdates.bsky.social
Dr Michael Grose gives his talk on climate update. Six supported datasets agree in global mean temperature trends
michaelgrose.bsky.social
@bobkopp.net you may be interested that we both point to your commentary paper, I'd be interested in your feedback if you have any ☺️
michaelgrose.bsky.social
Thanks for the interest Nada, the recording is now available at the original link above 😊Hope you're doing well
michaelgrose.bsky.social
thanks to all who came along, great points made by Ben Newell on our perceptions and decision-making, and some good Q&A (although I know we only scratched the surface) - over 1300 attendees(!) reflecting the always strong interest in the topic and how we respond to it
Reposted by Michael Grose
andrewkingclimate.bsky.social
Just one more week to apply for this PhD project! Details below
andrewkingclimate.bsky.social
I'm excited to be advertising a PhD project on climate change projections under net zero emissions and overshoot scenarios! Applications close 23rd May.
Details of PhD project on projected climate changes under net zero emissions and overshoot pathways. Get in touch with any questions here or via email (andrew.king@unimelb.edu.au)
michaelgrose.bsky.social
I had a really good conversation with the journalist on this - covering humid heat vs dry heat, the limits to adaptation and all sorts of things, he is great and this is such an important issue
michaelgrose.bsky.social
Big picture - we will stabilise the climate sooner of later, so we need to understand it - and have good definitions of 'stabilise' both globally and regionally (and appropriate alternative terms).
michaelgrose.bsky.social
really interesting analysis of 2023 and 2024 in the new WMO SotC - worth a look!
hausfath.bsky.social
The new WMO State of the Climate report has a section by Gavin Schmidt and me on attributing exceptional 2023 and 2024 warmth.

We find that while 2024 can be well explained by changes in forcings and internal variability, 2023 remains more of a mystery:
Reposted by Michael Grose
michaelgrose.bsky.social
...all the details and the ‘facts’ supporting this desire can all change fluidly, inconsistencies and contradictions are all totally fine. Because it is about power and not reality – in fact it is about power over reality. It is so against our training as researchers, but very real I think
michaelgrose.bsky.social
…a world where things are simple with a bad guy vs. a good guy with a simple plan, nothing is chaotic and there are no structural problems with complex causes like climate change, injustice – someone just needs to come in and make people shut up about these. If people shut up then it will be fine...
michaelgrose.bsky.social
…but if you don’t mind spoilers, the last half goes much broader than flat earth, into Qanon etc. and in the last 10 min concluding some people deeply want ‘restorative authoritarianism’ - the wish for a strong man coming to come in, put things back ‘where they belong’…
michaelgrose.bsky.social
Thinking about the state of - things - I found this useful to watch back. If you don’t want spoilers, I recommend watching the whole thing – the first half includes a really nice demo: www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTfh...
Reposted by Michael Grose
zacklabe.com
Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week.

"...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"
NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting
Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions
www.science.org
michaelgrose.bsky.social
We have organised an online workshop for applications that will need to select subsets of models in CMIP7, and how it can be improved over CMIP6 - both scientific and technical aspects.

Please register if you're keen!
wcrp-cmip.org
We are pleased to announce an exciting virtual workshop on streamlining the model selection process in collaboration with #CORDEX, #ISIMIP, #ISMIP7 and #GlacierMIP!

🗓️ Workshop date: 5th February 2025
⏰ Workshop time: 19:00-22:00 UTC

More details and registration 👉 wcrp-cmip.org/event/model-...
michaelgrose.bsky.social
This was in my World Book encyclopedia (1980 edition) growing up - an interesting time capsule of where we thought things were going
michaelgrose.bsky.social
(sorry, Friday afternoon and I'm getting silly - great work on the interview, very clear and helpful!)
michaelgrose.bsky.social
It's amazing the strike all occurred in that red circle! Must be related to crop circles 😁