Ted Knutson
@mixedknuts.bsky.social
Founder, StatsBomb, Variance Incorporated.
@thetransferflow
Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
@thetransferflow
Daily Rumours newsletter https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Frmr: Brentford FC, Pinnacle, SB
Let me just check in on how Xavi Simons at Spurs is adapting to the Prem- ohhhhh no.
It's been a while since we've seen a hatched of unrealised dreams this stark.
It's been a while since we've seen a hatched of unrealised dreams this stark.
December 1, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Let me just check in on how Xavi Simons at Spurs is adapting to the Prem- ohhhhh no.
It's been a while since we've seen a hatched of unrealised dreams this stark.
It's been a while since we've seen a hatched of unrealised dreams this stark.
Doing Variance Betting analysis for the weekend and uh... this is remarkable on Chelsea and Man City.
November 28, 2025 at 2:38 PM
Doing Variance Betting analysis for the weekend and uh... this is remarkable on Chelsea and Man City.
Antoine Semenyo, Bournemouth 24-25 vs 25-26.
Hrm...
Hrm...
November 19, 2025 at 11:18 AM
Antoine Semenyo, Bournemouth 24-25 vs 25-26.
Hrm...
Hrm...
I can't stop reading these.
This is like reality TV (that I NEVER watch) crossed with politics, crossed with NASCAR, and I can't stop watching the crashes.
This is like reality TV (that I NEVER watch) crossed with politics, crossed with NASCAR, and I can't stop watching the crashes.
November 19, 2025 at 9:04 AM
I can't stop reading these.
This is like reality TV (that I NEVER watch) crossed with politics, crossed with NASCAR, and I can't stop watching the crashes.
This is like reality TV (that I NEVER watch) crossed with politics, crossed with NASCAR, and I can't stop watching the crashes.
More from Oriole including scallop tiradito, hispi cabbage, pumpkin with GREEN CURRY ICE CREAM, and monkfish.
November 15, 2025 at 12:59 PM
More from Oriole including scallop tiradito, hispi cabbage, pumpkin with GREEN CURRY ICE CREAM, and monkfish.
Have had two very notable meals in London lately.
Last night was Oriole in Covent Garden, which was fantastic and had some of the best cocktails I have EVER had.
Cooking and flavours were also on point. Going to visit again asap.
Last night was Oriole in Covent Garden, which was fantastic and had some of the best cocktails I have EVER had.
Cooking and flavours were also on point. Going to visit again asap.
November 15, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Have had two very notable meals in London lately.
Last night was Oriole in Covent Garden, which was fantastic and had some of the best cocktails I have EVER had.
Cooking and flavours were also on point. Going to visit again asap.
Last night was Oriole in Covent Garden, which was fantastic and had some of the best cocktails I have EVER had.
Cooking and flavours were also on point. Going to visit again asap.
Through 11 matches, the Premier League's most unplayable attacker this season is this guy, and it's not actually that close.
Yes, it helps to play with Haaland, but Doku is 1.5 times more dangerous with the ball around the box than anyone else in the league this season.
Yes, it helps to play with Haaland, but Doku is 1.5 times more dangerous with the ball around the box than anyone else in the league this season.
November 10, 2025 at 10:46 AM
Through 11 matches, the Premier League's most unplayable attacker this season is this guy, and it's not actually that close.
Yes, it helps to play with Haaland, but Doku is 1.5 times more dangerous with the ball around the box than anyone else in the league this season.
Yes, it helps to play with Haaland, but Doku is 1.5 times more dangerous with the ball around the box than anyone else in the league this season.
"What do you think of Brentford's Igor Thiago?"
Well, I had zero clue what to think after a full-season injury layoff coming into the league and now... seems fine?
It's okay not to have strong opinions on players!
Well, I had zero clue what to think after a full-season injury layoff coming into the league and now... seems fine?
It's okay not to have strong opinions on players!
November 10, 2025 at 8:43 AM
"What do you think of Brentford's Igor Thiago?"
Well, I had zero clue what to think after a full-season injury layoff coming into the league and now... seems fine?
It's okay not to have strong opinions on players!
Well, I had zero clue what to think after a full-season injury layoff coming into the league and now... seems fine?
It's okay not to have strong opinions on players!
Did Delilah last night (excellent food and immaculate vibes).
Now off the strip for pho.
Now off the strip for pho.
November 7, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Did Delilah last night (excellent food and immaculate vibes).
Now off the strip for pho.
Now off the strip for pho.
NYC you were awesome, as always.
Vegas next!
Vegas next!
November 6, 2025 at 4:13 PM
NYC you were awesome, as always.
Vegas next!
Vegas next!
I grabbed a Love at First Spice, which is pretty glorious. And a Foggier Window, which is nice but probably needs a Death by ABV sticker on it.
November 4, 2025 at 9:01 PM
I grabbed a Love at First Spice, which is pretty glorious. And a Foggier Window, which is nice but probably needs a Death by ABV sticker on it.
What are you trying?
November 4, 2025 at 8:55 PM
What are you trying?
One of my happy places. (But I gotta exercise a ton when I am here bc the food is TOO GOOD.)
November 1, 2025 at 1:01 PM
One of my happy places. (But I gotta exercise a ton when I am here bc the food is TOO GOOD.)
Ate at Atoboy last night. It was good and weird. Best dish was probably the squash, followed by the fluke and the ribs.
Still want to get into Atomix some day.
Still want to get into Atomix some day.
October 31, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Ate at Atoboy last night. It was good and weird. Best dish was probably the squash, followed by the fluke and the ribs.
Still want to get into Atomix some day.
Still want to get into Atomix some day.
Working on the Variance Betting analysis for the weekend and genuinely not sure how much I should penalise Brentford for how bad West Ham are.
October 24, 2025 at 10:58 AM
Working on the Variance Betting analysis for the weekend and genuinely not sure how much I should penalise Brentford for how bad West Ham are.
Every time I bet on a Real Madrid match this season, you know you are riding the shots variance train.
28 shots at home to Juventus - 2.43 expected goals. It feels like football in 2010 all over again.
28 shots at home to Juventus - 2.43 expected goals. It feels like football in 2010 all over again.
October 23, 2025 at 9:08 AM
Every time I bet on a Real Madrid match this season, you know you are riding the shots variance train.
28 shots at home to Juventus - 2.43 expected goals. It feels like football in 2010 all over again.
28 shots at home to Juventus - 2.43 expected goals. It feels like football in 2010 all over again.
Yep, this was fun and traumatic.
31 shots to 15. 0-3.
31 shots to 15. 0-3.
October 22, 2025 at 11:06 AM
Yep, this was fun and traumatic.
31 shots to 15. 0-3.
31 shots to 15. 0-3.
Olympiakos' defense in the league through seven matches.
Well done, lads!
Now you have Barcelona...
Well done, lads!
Now you have Barcelona...
October 21, 2025 at 7:18 AM
Olympiakos' defense in the league through seven matches.
Well done, lads!
Now you have Barcelona...
Well done, lads!
Now you have Barcelona...
Want to see an xG race chart that will probably piss off both sets of fans?
*wakes up on Monday morning*
*chooses violence*
*wakes up on Monday morning*
*chooses violence*
October 20, 2025 at 7:13 AM
Want to see an xG race chart that will probably piss off both sets of fans?
*wakes up on Monday morning*
*chooses violence*
*wakes up on Monday morning*
*chooses violence*
I kind of missed teaching stuff in person.
October 15, 2025 at 5:57 AM
I kind of missed teaching stuff in person.
Related to Man Down stuff... some of you might need to be a little more flexible when you try to find your Purpose in life.
October 8, 2025 at 8:19 AM
Related to Man Down stuff... some of you might need to be a little more flexible when you try to find your Purpose in life.
Let's just check in on how Mohamed Salah is doing this season at Liverpool.
October 6, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Let's just check in on how Mohamed Salah is doing this season at Liverpool.