Special Agent Dale Cooper Flagg
@nbacouchside.bsky.social
#rstats #NBASky | Born & raised in Maine, live in Chicago | Chicago Bulls and Sky partisan, unfortunately | Box score production chauvinist | Member of the Church of Kirilenkology 🏀| Free Palestine 🇵🇸
nbacouchside.net
nbacouchside.net
Updated through last night's games.
November 12, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Updated through last night's games.
Updated through last night.
Getting close to the point where Vegas pre-season wins totals becomes less than half the projection for most of these teams (13 games).
Getting close to the point where Vegas pre-season wins totals becomes less than half the projection for most of these teams (13 games).
November 11, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Updated through last night.
Getting close to the point where Vegas pre-season wins totals becomes less than half the projection for most of these teams (13 games).
Getting close to the point where Vegas pre-season wins totals becomes less than half the projection for most of these teams (13 games).
Missed updating this yesterday before the games (really need to automate that), but here are the updated Projected Final Standings after last night's games.
Bulls tumbling back towards mid.
Bulls tumbling back towards mid.
November 9, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Missed updating this yesterday before the games (really need to automate that), but here are the updated Projected Final Standings after last night's games.
Bulls tumbling back towards mid.
Bulls tumbling back towards mid.
Updated projections. Added one more slight tweak (added HCA to the opponent-adjusted MOV calculation, didn't move things a ton). #NBASky
November 7, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Updated projections. Added one more slight tweak (added HCA to the opponent-adjusted MOV calculation, didn't move things a ton). #NBASky
The Bulls have moved up almost 8 wins from their preseason Vegas odds-adjusted win projection through 7 games, which is pretty wild.
66% of the projection is still from Vegas's expectations.
66% of the projection is still from Vegas's expectations.
November 5, 2025 at 4:55 PM
The Bulls have moved up almost 8 wins from their preseason Vegas odds-adjusted win projection through 7 games, which is pretty wild.
66% of the projection is still from Vegas's expectations.
66% of the projection is still from Vegas's expectations.
hey guys, check this out. surely the guy on the right was traded for 3 first round picks and the guy on the left was salary dumped, right? #NBASky
November 3, 2025 at 6:32 PM
hey guys, check this out. surely the guy on the right was traded for 3 first round picks and the guy on the left was salary dumped, right? #NBASky
The Chicago Bulls are destined for 39 wins. Updated win projections after last night's games:
November 3, 2025 at 3:58 PM
The Chicago Bulls are destined for 39 wins. Updated win projections after last night's games:
Made a slight methodological tweak (including current win %, in addition to current SRS). New results!
November 3, 2025 at 5:28 AM
Made a slight methodological tweak (including current win %, in addition to current SRS). New results!
Borrowed an old method from Tom Bassine (updated to account for team & opponent 3 point shooting variance in early season samples), I built some projections based on preseason Vegas adjusted win totals, 3 point & ft point differentials from league avg (per game), and current SRS. #NBASky
Results:
Results:
November 3, 2025 at 1:45 AM
Borrowed an old method from Tom Bassine (updated to account for team & opponent 3 point shooting variance in early season samples), I built some projections based on preseason Vegas adjusted win totals, 3 point & ft point differentials from league avg (per game), and current SRS. #NBASky
Results:
Results:
me when I see someone trying to do pro Patrick Williams posts after 4 games where he has averaged 9 points, 4 rebounds, 1 assist, and 1 stock per game:
October 30, 2025 at 8:10 PM
me when I see someone trying to do pro Patrick Williams posts after 4 games where he has averaged 9 points, 4 rebounds, 1 assist, and 1 stock per game:
Looking more holistically, the Bulls shot profile surrendered suggests a 56.7% eFG% for their opponents, but instead, they are only shooting 48.4% eFG%. See below from CTG:
We can do some quick math to see the impact of that.
We can do some quick math to see the impact of that.
October 28, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Looking more holistically, the Bulls shot profile surrendered suggests a 56.7% eFG% for their opponents, but instead, they are only shooting 48.4% eFG%. See below from CTG:
We can do some quick math to see the impact of that.
We can do some quick math to see the impact of that.
Made something.
October 6, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Made something.
You can just treat yourself to homemade copycat Cheesecake Factory corn cakes with veggie chorizo, nobody can stop you
September 26, 2025 at 12:38 AM
You can just treat yourself to homemade copycat Cheesecake Factory corn cakes with veggie chorizo, nobody can stop you
Had to pay respect to a Chicago legend today. Shout out Sue.
August 30, 2025 at 12:48 AM
Had to pay respect to a Chicago legend today. Shout out Sue.
Made pistachio cake from this recipe www.notquitenigella.com/2025/08/06/p...
August 10, 2025 at 3:59 AM
Made pistachio cake from this recipe www.notquitenigella.com/2025/08/06/p...
Thank you President Trump for speaking out on the failing Chicago Bulls! (ht: @nicsanchez.bsky.social)
August 6, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Thank you President Trump for speaking out on the failing Chicago Bulls! (ht: @nicsanchez.bsky.social)
Laguna was also Mr Steal My Girl
July 15, 2025 at 8:13 PM
Laguna was also Mr Steal My Girl
My new best friend: Laguna
July 13, 2025 at 8:19 PM
My new best friend: Laguna
Friday’s Fit: X-Files Mode
July 11, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Friday’s Fit: X-Files Mode
Fried tofu in the style of kerala fried chicken and waffles
July 7, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Fried tofu in the style of kerala fried chicken and waffles
They’re saying the Bulls are back
June 28, 2025 at 2:17 PM
They’re saying the Bulls are back