Paddy Carter
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paddycarter.bsky.social
Paddy Carter
@paddycarter.bsky.social
Head of development economics at British International Investment, formerly CGD, ODI, lapsed academic economist and macroeconomics hobbyist.
https://sites.google.com/site/paddycarter/
(pre-emptive apology for being a dork but) this is the "voters not being able to see the counterfactual" problem, the mother of which was Biden delivering the world's best response to Covid by far and getting diddly squat credit from voters, I presume for same reason you point to here
November 27, 2025 at 12:10 PM
I dont know that justifies lending your labour to a very nasty enterprise
November 22, 2025 at 3:51 PM
I see a lot of people arguing good people should not be on X I don't know why those arguments don't also apply to working at the Telegraph
November 22, 2025 at 3:42 PM
is moving a city really easier than building a lot of desalination plants asap? there are Gulf countries with a lot of expertise here, the ability to use solar power is improving. Tehran has 15m people, Saudi Arabia has 35m and desal provides 1/2 its water.
November 21, 2025 at 4:53 PM
I guess it also does not solve the UK problem that wind generation is geographically distant from consumption, which unless transmission if fixed might we we want grid scale storage nearer the site of generation?
November 20, 2025 at 11:30 AM
of course it remains to be seen if this business will flourish or go bust, but the reduction in upfront costs they are offering, compared to buying a (smaller) powerwall, according to that article, looks like a big deal. But maybe it needs Texas sunshine
November 20, 2025 at 11:26 AM
could a similar initiative see the cops respond more effectively to "my phone/laptop has been stolen and find my device shows it's in this house"?
November 20, 2025 at 10:21 AM
I have bad news about cognitive performance in your 50s 😧
November 19, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Geneva convention on sport and recreation for prisoners of war:

ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treat...
ihl-databases.icrc.org
November 19, 2025 at 4:15 PM
yes I suppose you need to offset whatever return premium private actors demand. Whole point of PFI was that under traditional public procurement, private contractors have an incentive to cut all the corners they can get away with, PFI was supposed to change their incentives.
November 19, 2025 at 11:47 AM
there are also complicated questions about whether the government ought to act as if it's risk neutral or whether it ought to build a risk premium into its calculations
November 19, 2025 at 11:43 AM
I wonder the extent to which "sympathetic to Palestinians" is "Islamo" in these guys minds
November 19, 2025 at 11:40 AM
but looking at investments as one-off cases isn't the whole picture, you also need to think about how much you can get done overall under different choices, and that gets very complicated if you think that PFI causes some public capabilities to atrophy and others to strengthen
November 19, 2025 at 11:35 AM