Pauline Carry
paulinecarry.bsky.social
Pauline Carry
@paulinecarry.bsky.social
Labor economist at Princeton University.

https://www.paulinecarry.com
Draft available here: drive.google.com/file/d/1G5wG...
Carry_Schoefer_Dec24.pdf
drive.google.com
December 19, 2024 at 4:32 PM
The majority of personal dismissals is distorted by deliberate cost seeking. Ans this extends beyond the choice of the separation mode.

9/9
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
We confirm that dismissals are much more likely to end as SMAs in cooperative contexts.

Example: when workers can receive UI 3 years as a bridge into retirement.

8/9
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
Mechanism 3: firms and workers have asymmetric beliefs about labor court outcomes after a dismissal.
(= disagreement on probability to win in cout or the amount).

7/9
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
Mechanism 2: dismissals are used as a discipline device
(= employers choose to impose costly punitive dismissals to foster incentives with remaining employees).

6/9
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
Mechanism 1: hostility between employers and employees
(= one of the parties is willing to lose some money for the other to incur a cost).

5/9
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
To elicit the mechanisms, we surveyed HR directors.

In 63% of dismissals, the reason is conflict (= deliberate cost seeking). Without conflict, 67% of dismissals would end as SMAs, instead of 12%.

We find 3 main drivers:

4/9
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
Yet, we find that only 12% of personal dismissals end as SMAs
—> in 88% of dismissals, the employer and the worker do not minimize separation costs.

WHY?

3/9
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
We use the opportunity to replace a personal dismissal by a cheaper «separation by mutual agreement» (SMA) in France.
Introduced in 2008, SMAs eliminate red tape costs of EPL, preclude litigation, and allow severance pay bargaining.

=> Dismissals should end with SMAs.

2/9
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM