7/ Instead, the previously underinvestigated channel of parental time investments is most consistent with my results. The randomness in displacement distance generates quasi-exogenous variation in labour-supply reductions. Longer moves → larger reductions in parents’ work → better child outcome.

6/ Mechanisms considered in the literature fail to explain the observed pattern. Entry moves are, if anything, to slightly worse place effects (à la Chetty–Hendren). Net-of-housing disposable resources change little; pure income channel is unlikely to explain children’s sizable long-run gains.

4/ I then use an exposure design to measure the impact on long-term child outcomes, comparing those who enter earlier vs. later. Oversubscribed programs and long waitlists, make timing manipulation virtually impossible. Earlier entry → higher adult earnings, more post-sec, less safety-net use.

2/ I begin by studying the impact of RGI on adults using a matched event study framework. RGI entry cuts parents’ labour earnings by $2,400 (~20%). Employment falls 6 p.p., and hours drop 7.3% among job stayers. Meanwhile, yearly rent falls by ~$3,500.

1/ Hi #EconSky, I’m a #EconJobMarket candidate from @ubcvse.bsky.social

I study the effect of Rent-Geared-to-Income (RGI) housing in Toronto & Montréal using parent–child-linked administrative tax data.

Thread below🧵

2019 Federal.

2025 Ontario.

Mainstreet's infamous convergence with other pollsters' numbers in the last two weeks of an election.
While all pollsters are stable or see a slight drop for liberals, Mainstreet magically goes from +2PCC to +5PLC just before election day 🙃 #polcan

2019 Federal election.
Not as striking, but the pattern is still there.

2025 Ontario Numbers.

Je vais pouvoir regarder le match des #habs sans remords

These numbers are hard to reconcile with the LFS figures. Older folks didn't increase hours worked (they slightly reduced their labour supply), and their hourly wage didn't trend significantly different from the working-age population. I did not deflate the median wage so inflation is included here