Ric O'Connell
@ricoconnell.bsky.social
3.2K followers 430 following 300 posts
ED of GridLab dot org. Clean=reliable. Earnest cyclist.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
ricoconnell.bsky.social
The lips were great too!
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Such a great film! Classic. Prescient.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
If only we had something that could transfer power between regions...? Although the map is looking pretty red everywhere - maybe ERCOT could be exporting?

🔌💡
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Gonna be a long hot night on the east coast. @gridstatus.io

Check out the prices in NYISO - almost $1,500/MWh.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Totally! It was a good point you made.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
China just surpasses 1 TW of solar - installed nearly 100 GW just last *month*

🔌💡

@jmijin.bsky.social War is evil.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
We want to make that happen here too. See the recent ESIG paper.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
@gridstatus.io - great shot of the heat wave driving up prices across the Eastern Interconnect. But Texas? Doing just fine thanks to solar, wind and storage - prices are muted even at 6:00 Central.

🔌💡

Also, war sucks.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Yes, but they need a storage buffer. So you can easily upgrade a BESS system (battery) to GFM with just a software update, but wind/solar plant would need a bit of hardware (short term storage).
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Yeah, that's not a good translation.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Jeff means IEEE 2800, not 1547
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Check out the ERCOT Large Load queue. F*ing wild. 156GW on an 80 GW system, more than *doubled* since December. 20 GW under study (pretty firm!).
ricoconnell.bsky.social
6/ Conclusion? Don't jump to them! This was not an inertia problem, but a voltage regulation problem.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
5/ The recommendations for Spain to reduce the risk of future blackouts? (1) increase battery storage, (2) increase interconnections to France. Spain will also allow inverter based resources to provide voltage control, not just synchronous machines.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
4/ In addition, some generation plants disconnected before they should have - e.g. they tripped offline when they could have “ridden through” the voltage disturbance.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
3/The system operator had not provisioned enough plants with voltage control capabilities, and some thermal plants did not provide voltage response - in fact, they responded improperly and increased voltage.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
2/ “Lack of inertia” had nothing to do with the problem, just as suspected. The issue was voltage regulation, there were earlier voltage oscillations that the system operator dampened, which further increased voltage. This over voltage then caused several plants to trip, which led to the collapse.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
The Spanish authorities circulated a report yesterday that brings some conclusion to the Spanish blackout story. Turns out it was a voltage problem, not a frequency problem.

urldefense.com/v3/__https:/...

💡🔌

🧵
Se presenta el informe del Comité de análisis de la crisis eléctrica del 28 de abril
Se presenta el informe del Comité de análisis de la crisis eléctrica del 28 de abril
urldefense.com
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Now that we know the Spanish grid instability was a voltage control issue, will Bjorn Lomborg retract his terrible OpEd in the WSJ where he blamed solar and wind and a lack of inertia?

I doubt it.

🔌💡

www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...
Opinion | The Physics Behind the Spanish Blackout
Madrid knew solar and wind power were unreliable but pressed ahead anyway.
www.wsj.com
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Pretty sure it’s chokecherry and Sierra Madre Wind, 3GW in Wyoming being developed by Phil Anchutz. Partially on BLM land.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
This has to be a carve out for the Anchutz wind project?
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Storage. Nice. Looks like Rs acknowledge we need capacity and storage is the fast option. That’s a silver lining here.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Here's Adam Keech, VP at PJM, stating that inter-regional transmission won't help PJM "because other regions don't have excess capacity" - has he not hear of coincident peak?

This is from the FERC conference on Resource Adequacy last week.
ricoconnell.bsky.social
Here's a great visual from EIA on Natural Gas prices in the short term. Check out the upper bound!