Does not matter anymore as we have made a profit already following the Rini.

Prediction success is a nice statistic but what matters is whether following the Rini yields >0 returns.

#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

The spot price of silver complies with technical analysis.

Bitcoin does, too.

High probability (i.e. lower risk) bull 🐂 signals worth trading.

#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

It's wrong because the dominant move was upwards (although at the end the index declined but not even as much).

It's a wrong Rini during a shock day - classic.

The newer M13 switched on (bull) but it's still under observation (prefer not to trade during shocks as well).

To prove #1 we need hourly data at least (don't have them).

Perhaps there are functions that matter and have not been discovered yet.

Just because we can't establish a relationship doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

It simply means we failed to uncover it.

Precious metals are up today possibly because of Potus' announcement to hand out 2000 USD per person from tariffs (inflationary).

Bitcoin, Ethereum up as well possibly due to liquidity improvement.

#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

Recently we consistently snob and even defund fields such as philosophy and sociology but it's wrong because there are no limits or restrictions anymore according to ethics and morality.

Here is the result: The "tech bros" do whatever they want.

anthropology, economic sociology and economic history.

Human behavior, psychology and well-being are central.

Economics teaches you about Pareto improvements, inequality, social mobility, etc.

Hard sciences miss that completely, hence are unfit to decide about humanity's future.

The "tech bros" are not fit for making such decisions and should stick to writing code.

Why? Because their science is separate from anthropology, sociology and humanities in general.

On the contrary, although economics is applied math essentially, economists are taught in the framework of economic

We cannot model econometrically behaviors before they appear - we do not know they exist until then.

They appear along with new settings.

And there exist almost infinite such settings.

#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

*Because, apologies.

*Correction, we traded the bull

For example, we discovered (always out of necessity) Types III and IV after two and a half years into the Rini!

This is why we think the Rini should experience an extended bear market: New behaviors.

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During new econometric discoveries, trading stops completely because we do not know at that moment if the previous Rini is reliable anymore (have posted multiple times on this).

#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

signal appears on the Stata window automatically.

We have mentioned before that the creation of the "setting" variable is a bit tedious.

But has to be coded also for a future Rini trading algorithm.

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Unlikely, as we finished the code for Type IV and are currently preparing the new backtesting including this 4th type.

Next step is coding the "setting" variable, e.g. PBUA, so that the appropriate

#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading