Stephen Clermont
@sjclermont.bsky.social
Democratic Pollster. Cat parent. Irresponsibly glib.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephen-clermont-505aba1/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephen-clermont-505aba1/
Nancy Mace is still in the mix for the runoff. It's good, though, that her fav-unfav is 30%-49% but none of these other candidates have set the state on fire.
December 2, 2025 at 6:17 PM
Nancy Mace is still in the mix for the runoff. It's good, though, that her fav-unfav is 30%-49% but none of these other candidates have set the state on fire.
23% of South Carolina GOP primary voters disapproving of the job Trump is doing is something. Not sure what it is because I overestimated the meaning of the zombie Nikki Haley voters that gave her 20-25% after she dropped out. It's definitely not nothing
December 2, 2025 at 6:15 PM
23% of South Carolina GOP primary voters disapproving of the job Trump is doing is something. Not sure what it is because I overestimated the meaning of the zombie Nikki Haley voters that gave her 20-25% after she dropped out. It's definitely not nothing
How it started. How it's going.
November 19, 2025 at 11:35 AM
How it started. How it's going.
Don't buy Bitcoin?
November 17, 2025 at 4:03 PM
Don't buy Bitcoin?
The pollsters for the Sherrill, Spanberger, and Mamdani campaigns were women. So why are the only Democratic pollsters on this panel at this prominent event all men?
November 16, 2025 at 1:51 PM
The pollsters for the Sherrill, Spanberger, and Mamdani campaigns were women. So why are the only Democratic pollsters on this panel at this prominent event all men?
This is totally healthy and sustainable. Why do you ask?
November 12, 2025 at 4:24 PM
This is totally healthy and sustainable. Why do you ask?
Yay. The election is truly over
November 7, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Yay. The election is truly over
Someone needs to check because Speaker Johnson certainly doesn't know what time it is
November 5, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Someone needs to check because Speaker Johnson certainly doesn't know what time it is
Interesting poll results here given Jay Jones is going to win by 6
November 5, 2025 at 4:40 AM
Interesting poll results here given Jay Jones is going to win by 6
So much for the "multi-racial working class Republican Party" in Ezra Klein's mind. One election does not define politics in a never ending straight line.
November 5, 2025 at 2:21 AM
So much for the "multi-racial working class Republican Party" in Ezra Klein's mind. One election does not define politics in a never ending straight line.
Because playing it safe has worked so well for Democrats
November 2, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Because playing it safe has worked so well for Democrats
The campaign was active and fighting in the same 7 states.
November 2, 2025 at 6:01 PM
The campaign was active and fighting in the same 7 states.
Donald the Dove agitating for another war.
November 1, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Donald the Dove agitating for another war.
Feels like a dream but the Nats did win the World Series and Nats fans were on point in game 5
November 1, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Feels like a dream but the Nats did win the World Series and Nats fans were on point in game 5
Nice of JD to acknowledge Usha's free will. I put the over/under of her converting to Christianity at the start of the 2027 Iowa State Fair
October 30, 2025 at 12:49 PM
Nice of JD to acknowledge Usha's free will. I put the over/under of her converting to Christianity at the start of the 2027 Iowa State Fair
Can we stop saying this? Whatever the tariff rate is with China today is significantly higher than when Trump took office and we are all paying it.
October 30, 2025 at 12:08 PM
Can we stop saying this? Whatever the tariff rate is with China today is significantly higher than when Trump took office and we are all paying it.
The cynicism in this statement is just breathtaking
October 28, 2025 at 12:55 PM
The cynicism in this statement is just breathtaking
How is Andrew Cuomo any less of a perpetual candidate than Curtis Sliwa?
October 26, 2025 at 3:29 PM
How is Andrew Cuomo any less of a perpetual candidate than Curtis Sliwa?
We are 10 years into this nightmare. When is the New York Fucking Times just going to fucking stop with this horseshit?
October 25, 2025 at 1:41 PM
We are 10 years into this nightmare. When is the New York Fucking Times just going to fucking stop with this horseshit?