VoteHub
@votehub.com
2.5K followers 9 following 120 posts
Your hub for election content. 🇺🇸 We map elections in detail, aggregate only top-quality polls, and offer insights to explain the political landscape. votehub.com
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votehub.com
There’s a striking gap between our current polling average and Kalshi’s corresponding market: Newsom leads with 34% odds to win the nomination, while Harris trails far behind at 5%.
kalshi.com/markets/kxpr...
Democratic nominee in 2028? | Trade on Kalshi
Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "Democratic nominee in 2028?", or trade it yourself.
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votehub.com
2028 Dem Primary (10/5/25):

🔵 Harris: 23.1%
🟡 Newsom: 20.8%
🟢 Buttigieg: 9.9%
🟣 AOC: 7.9%
votehub.com
Democrats maintain a nearly 4 point lead in the generic ballot average for the 2026 congressional elections.

Current average: 🔵 D +3.8
Change from last 4 months: 🔵 D +1.6
votehub.com
New Jersey 🍕🛣️
Vote-by-mail update
Total: 138,398 (+27,245 since 10/02)

Ballots by party registration:
🔵 Democratic 62.3% | 86,200 ballots
🔴 Republican 23.8% | 32,881 ballots
⚪️ Unaffiliated 14.0% | 19,317 ballots

Percent of ballots returned:
🔴 18.6%
🔵 16.6%
⚪️ 9.3
votehub.com
New Jersey 🍕🛣️
Vote-by-mail update
Total: 61,258 (+32,177 since 9/29)

Ballots by party registration:
🔵 Democratic 62.1% | 38,026 ballots
🔴 Republican 24.8% | 15,167 ballots
⚪️ Unaffiliated 13.2% | 8,065 ballots

Percent of ballots returned:
🔴 8.6%
🔵 7.3%
⚪️ 3.9%
votehub.com
Traders in our weekly Trump approval market on @Kalshi have turned sharply bearish. Earlier this week, there was a 72% chance his approval (44.1%) would rise by Friday morning. That’s now down to just 34%.
kalshi.com/markets/kxvo...
Trump approval up or down this week | Trade on Kalshi
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votehub.com
Check out all polling averages on our site 👇
votehub.com/polls
votehub.com
🚨 Trump's approval hits record low for 2nd term: -10.

Change from last month: 🔻 -1.7
Last 4 months: 🔻 -5.4
votehub.com
Very cool to see our partners over at Kalshi
now leading in global prediction market volume.

Reminder that updates to our averages are tradable. Check them out below 👇

Trump approval 👉 kalshi.com/markets/kxvo...

Vance favorability 👉 kalshi.com/markets/kxvo...
votehub.com
New Jersey 🛣️
Mail voting update
Total: 15,506 (+7,517 since 9/25)

Ballots cast by party registration:
🔵 Democratic 63.8% | 9,890 votes (+4,738)
🔴 Republican 23.6% | 3,664 votes (+1,826)
⚪️ Other 12.6% | 1,952 votes (+953)

Pct of ballots returned:
🔴 2.1%
🔵 1.9%
⚪️ 1.0%
votehub.com
Earlier this week, we mapped a special election in southern Arizona, where @adelitaforcongress.bsky.social was elected to the seat represented by her late father.
votehub.com
2028 Dem Primary (9/22/25):

🔵 Harris: 23.5%
🟡 Newsom: 21.0%
🟢 Buttigieg: 10.3%
🟣 AOC: 8.1%
votehub.com
The trends in recent cycles will be critical to the re-election prospects of Sen. Jon Ossoff, who is seeking a second term in 2026. Current Kalshi odds have him strongly favored following Gov. Brian Kemp's decision not to enter the race.
kalshi.com/markets/sena...
Georgia Senate race | Trade on Kalshi
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votehub.com
🌎 In 2024, the greater Atlanta area's shift underran the rest of the country, continuing an overall leftward trend for the region. The trend is powered by changing demographics and a broader suburban drift away from Republicans.
Screenshot from VoteHub's national precinct map, filtered to the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell Metropolitan Statistical Area. The map shows shifts to Republicans in predominantly Hispanic areas from 2020, with outer-ring suburbs shifting Democratic, due in large part to growing Black populations and broader suburban and exurban trends.
votehub.com
With Kalshi, you can follow markets on our Vance favorability and Trump approval.

Together with our polling averages, it adds another signal about where sentiment may be moving.
kalshi.com/markets/KXVO...
What will J.D. Vance's favorability rating be on Jan 1, 2026? | Trade on Kalshi
Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "What will J.D. Vance's favorability rating be on Jan 1, 2026?", or trade it yourself.
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