@wavebidder.bsky.social
Applied Mathematician turned infectious disease forecaster. Generally EA aligned.
December 2, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Reposted
This report is excellent, look at this chart
December 2, 2025 at 1:58 PM
This report is excellent, look at this chart
Reposted
who decided to call it Secret Santa when Nondisclosure Claus was right there
December 1, 2025 at 10:55 PM
who decided to call it Secret Santa when Nondisclosure Claus was right there
Back when I was re-reading Book of the New Sun I was wondering whether you could turn Black 4.0 into a dye as part of a Severian costume.
December 1, 2025 at 10:35 PM
Back when I was re-reading Book of the New Sun I was wondering whether you could turn Black 4.0 into a dye as part of a Severian costume.
Reposted
the man said "a sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic" and that came true in the dumbest way possible
December 15, 2024 at 6:28 PM
the man said "a sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic" and that came true in the dumbest way possible
The future is the Musicman in new mediums again and again
every innovation in communication or transportation enables new types of betrayal
December 1, 2025 at 6:11 PM
The future is the Musicman in new mediums again and again
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was idly curious if you could get a 2d6 probability curve as a single die and the answer is: yes, it's a "hendecahedron" that looks like this, and they work when 3D printed
hbaktash.github.io/projects/put...
hbaktash.github.io/projects/put...
November 28, 2025 at 2:04 PM
was idly curious if you could get a 2d6 probability curve as a single die and the answer is: yes, it's a "hendecahedron" that looks like this, and they work when 3D printed
hbaktash.github.io/projects/put...
hbaktash.github.io/projects/put...
Reposted
I named my fists Common and Sense because I'm about to bring the Paine
I named my fists Blood and Meridian because I’m fixing to Judge your ass.
I named my fists Moby and Dick because I am about to whale on you.
December 1, 2025 at 1:40 PM
I named my fists Common and Sense because I'm about to bring the Paine
Reposted
Not friend shaped, burn it with fire shaped
December 1, 2025 at 5:37 AM
Not friend shaped, burn it with fire shaped
can't be a secret agent of the papists if you're literally the pope!
December 1, 2025 at 5:18 AM
can't be a secret agent of the papists if you're literally the pope!
Reposted
My most cancellable take is that most all-way stops should be converted to yields, and rolling stops by cars or drivers are both fine.
All-way stops are just the symptoms of a broken traffic safety approach.
All-way stops are just the symptoms of a broken traffic safety approach.
May 24, 2025 at 12:26 PM
My most cancellable take is that most all-way stops should be converted to yields, and rolling stops by cars or drivers are both fine.
All-way stops are just the symptoms of a broken traffic safety approach.
All-way stops are just the symptoms of a broken traffic safety approach.
Reposted
an idea I've been kicking around is that, across a lot of domains, we've cut down the friction in search costs dramatically and instead of improving the quality of matches it just makes us all exhausted
November 30, 2025 at 9:09 PM
an idea I've been kicking around is that, across a lot of domains, we've cut down the friction in search costs dramatically and instead of improving the quality of matches it just makes us all exhausted
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"a man calling himself 'beast' is bribing men and women to participate in unholy games" you would tell that to any arbitrary person in europe for centuries and they would not need any further convincing to say it was the doing of the Adversary
November 30, 2025 at 4:53 AM
"a man calling himself 'beast' is bribing men and women to participate in unholy games" you would tell that to any arbitrary person in europe for centuries and they would not need any further convincing to say it was the doing of the Adversary
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just want to add that "carpetbagger" is a white supremacist slur; it was directed first at northerners who left home to try to help build a multi-racial south. 1
Missed this stream?
Join us for the next one, we're live on Twitch & YouTube every week!
Join us for the next one, we're live on Twitch & YouTube every week!
November 30, 2025 at 5:04 AM
just want to add that "carpetbagger" is a white supremacist slur; it was directed first at northerners who left home to try to help build a multi-racial south. 1
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The Owl of Minerva has mistaken her reflection for a rival owl and beaned herself on a glass pane
November 30, 2025 at 3:54 AM
The Owl of Minerva has mistaken her reflection for a rival owl and beaned herself on a glass pane
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Okay I'm feeling like a damn fool today so I'll contribute to the Machine Learning Discourse, Pat's standard rule of false dichotomy* nonwithstanding:
November 26, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Okay I'm feeling like a damn fool today so I'll contribute to the Machine Learning Discourse, Pat's standard rule of false dichotomy* nonwithstanding:
land back means cheaper housing! how? don't worry about it
Frankly i think like 90% of canada's problems with housing is just letting this happen with indigenous developers and moving on
November 27, 2025 at 2:07 PM
land back means cheaper housing! how? don't worry about it
is the average of all dates on which this occurs also irrational?
March 14th is a pretender to the throne. The real pie day is the day before Thanksgiving.
November 27, 2025 at 5:48 AM
is the average of all dates on which this occurs also irrational?
Reposted
fortnite is parkour skinner box
balatro is menus skinner box
return of the obra dinn is menus mystlike
outer wilds is parkour mystlike
balatro is menus skinner box
return of the obra dinn is menus mystlike
outer wilds is parkour mystlike
November 26, 2025 at 11:33 PM
fortnite is parkour skinner box
balatro is menus skinner box
return of the obra dinn is menus mystlike
outer wilds is parkour mystlike
balatro is menus skinner box
return of the obra dinn is menus mystlike
outer wilds is parkour mystlike
Reposted
A 60-year old man in Germany became the seventh person with HIV to be announced free of the virus after receiving a stem-cell transplant
go.nature.com/48C68Ib
go.nature.com/48C68Ib
Seventh patient ‘cured’ of HIV: why scientists are excited
A man in Germany is HIV-free after receiving stem cells that are not resistant to the virus.
go.nature.com
November 26, 2025 at 5:38 PM
A 60-year old man in Germany became the seventh person with HIV to be announced free of the virus after receiving a stem-cell transplant
go.nature.com/48C68Ib
go.nature.com/48C68Ib
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scorn was an effective weapon for the monkey jpeg NFT shit because it was effectively a status good, generative AI is a tool that millions get utility out of daily and you can't sneer your way out of that.
November 26, 2025 at 5:29 PM
scorn was an effective weapon for the monkey jpeg NFT shit because it was effectively a status good, generative AI is a tool that millions get utility out of daily and you can't sneer your way out of that.
Hoping Catherine Lucey will have this day
Good morning to Brazilian reporter Manuela Borges, who’s been waiting eleven years for this petty moment. ❤️ 🇧🇷
November 26, 2025 at 2:38 PM
Hoping Catherine Lucey will have this day
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Complaints about Buddhist monks being just thugs and bandits are a pretty persistent theme in 16th century Japanese writing, to the point where you see a lot of admiration for the Jesuits specifically for being actually pious and ascetic.
November 25, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Complaints about Buddhist monks being just thugs and bandits are a pretty persistent theme in 16th century Japanese writing, to the point where you see a lot of admiration for the Jesuits specifically for being actually pious and ascetic.
Reposted
For a yr, I've been working on a series for The New Atlantis about the vast systems that underlie our lives. Our ancestors built them up over decades to fend off hunger, thirst, darkness and disease. But too few of us know about them—and they're all at risk. The conclusion is now available online:
Why We Are Better Off Than a Century Ago
Our ancestors built grand public systems to conquer hunger, thirst, darkness, and squalor. That progress can be lost if we forget it.
www.thenewatlantis.com
November 25, 2025 at 8:59 PM
For a yr, I've been working on a series for The New Atlantis about the vast systems that underlie our lives. Our ancestors built them up over decades to fend off hunger, thirst, darkness and disease. But too few of us know about them—and they're all at risk. The conclusion is now available online: