Yu-Ming Liou
@yumingliou.bsky.social
Unfrozen caveman political economist. In my day, we didn't have fancy tools like causal identification, but we knew how to ask: “cui bono?"
Former political scientist. Now I do research for an internet thing. The good one, though.
Washington, DC
Former political scientist. Now I do research for an internet thing. The good one, though.
Washington, DC
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
the balance hasn't remained constant, but people have long wrongly seen the NYT as a liberal publication that feels the need to bend over backwards for conservatives to fight bias charges, when in fact it's a conservative publication aimed at convincing liberals. they're more open about that now
December 8, 2025 at 7:40 PM
the balance hasn't remained constant, but people have long wrongly seen the NYT as a liberal publication that feels the need to bend over backwards for conservatives to fight bias charges, when in fact it's a conservative publication aimed at convincing liberals. they're more open about that now
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
this is great - an actual serious challenge from someone with established progressive credentials and a longstanding presence in state politics
it's an uphill road - all primary challenges are - but hickenlooper has voted with trump more than you'd expect and his numbers are slipping
it's doable
it's an uphill road - all primary challenges are - but hickenlooper has voted with trump more than you'd expect and his numbers are slipping
it's doable
Democratic state Sen. Julie Gonzales on Monday announced she is running to unseat U.S. Sen. John Hickenlooper in 2026, aiming to ride a wave of liberal and progressive dissatisfaction with Democratic leadership to an upset primary victory.
By @chasewoodruff.bsky.social
By @chasewoodruff.bsky.social
State Sen. Julie Gonzales launches primary challenge against Sen. Hickenlooper | Colorado Newsline
Democratic state Sen. Julie Gonzales announced she is running to unseat U.S. Sen. John Hickenlooper in 2026.
coloradonewsline.com
December 8, 2025 at 6:18 PM
this is great - an actual serious challenge from someone with established progressive credentials and a longstanding presence in state politics
it's an uphill road - all primary challenges are - but hickenlooper has voted with trump more than you'd expect and his numbers are slipping
it's doable
it's an uphill road - all primary challenges are - but hickenlooper has voted with trump more than you'd expect and his numbers are slipping
it's doable
Got sampled for an SMS-to-web poll yesterday. It’s probably not hard for people who know me to guess what my vote preference for DC mayor is, but just saying…
@janeese4dc.bsky.social ‘s pollster really needs to read Graham and Coppock 2021.
academic.oup.com/poq/article-...
@janeese4dc.bsky.social ‘s pollster really needs to read Graham and Coppock 2021.
academic.oup.com/poq/article-...
Janeese4DC (@janeese4dc.bsky.social)
DC Mayoral Candidate. DC Native. PJs Mom. Ward 4 Councilmember. Proud DCPS & HUSL Alum. People First 💜💖💚
janeese4dc.bsky.social
December 8, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Got sampled for an SMS-to-web poll yesterday. It’s probably not hard for people who know me to guess what my vote preference for DC mayor is, but just saying…
@janeese4dc.bsky.social ‘s pollster really needs to read Graham and Coppock 2021.
academic.oup.com/poq/article-...
@janeese4dc.bsky.social ‘s pollster really needs to read Graham and Coppock 2021.
academic.oup.com/poq/article-...
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
I think it's unfair to compare the Democratic Party to UK Labour under Starmer. I think it's absolutely true that the mainstream centrist press, exemplified by the NYT, wants the Democratic Party to be the UK Labour Party under Starmer, though.
December 7, 2025 at 8:14 PM
I think it's unfair to compare the Democratic Party to UK Labour under Starmer. I think it's absolutely true that the mainstream centrist press, exemplified by the NYT, wants the Democratic Party to be the UK Labour Party under Starmer, though.
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
I really doubt it’s worth the expenditure of political capital, but chiropractic is fraud and there’s an excellent case to ban it on the merits
Wow it’s almost like the pseudoscience founded by a quack in the 19h century (who claimed that a ghost taught him how to manipulate bones) might have a lot in common with the brainworms-and-raw milk crowd.
How Chiropractors Became the Backbone of MAHA
Why they love Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — and he loves them.
www.politico.com
December 7, 2025 at 8:19 PM
I really doubt it’s worth the expenditure of political capital, but chiropractic is fraud and there’s an excellent case to ban it on the merits
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
There is no sight that more efficiently puts the lie to immigration “court” than the common sight of children “representing themselves.” Children too small to climb into the chair, children in pajamas who don’t know where they are, children not yet old enough to speak.
Three-year-old child forced to serve as her own attorney in Tucson immigration court
More than a dozen undocumented minors were forced to make their case in front of an immigration judge as the Trump administration ramps up removal proceedings.
coppercourier.com
December 6, 2025 at 5:18 PM
There is no sight that more efficiently puts the lie to immigration “court” than the common sight of children “representing themselves.” Children too small to climb into the chair, children in pajamas who don’t know where they are, children not yet old enough to speak.
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
Birthright citizenship is probably not integral to liberal democracy, but it is integral to *American* liberal democracy. Our vision of what we are as a country, as a nation beyond an ethnicity, requires it.
December 6, 2025 at 3:43 PM
Birthright citizenship is probably not integral to liberal democracy, but it is integral to *American* liberal democracy. Our vision of what we are as a country, as a nation beyond an ethnicity, requires it.
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
Study after study shows campaign ads barely move the needle. So where does money’s real power come from? I ranked the five ways money corrupts politics—from least to most corrosive. What I’ve learned from 15 years of tracking political money:
Money Doesn't Buy Elections. It Does Something Worse.
Campaign ads barely move the needle. The real influence is hiding in plain sight.
open.substack.com
December 6, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Study after study shows campaign ads barely move the needle. So where does money’s real power come from? I ranked the five ways money corrupts politics—from least to most corrosive. What I’ve learned from 15 years of tracking political money:
Occasionally, we are reminded that Donald Trump is a born-and-bred New Yorker.
December 5, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Occasionally, we are reminded that Donald Trump is a born-and-bred New Yorker.
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
The fact that a second strike like that in an armed conflict is definitely a war crime should not completely negate the fact that *there is no war* and ALL the strikes are cold-blooded murder. The whole chain of command are murderers.
December 5, 2025 at 1:20 AM
The fact that a second strike like that in an armed conflict is definitely a war crime should not completely negate the fact that *there is no war* and ALL the strikes are cold-blooded murder. The whole chain of command are murderers.
This is a really cool (and timely) experiment!
I’ll admit that I’m biased in favor of the idea that “corruption” is a winning frame for Democrats, but pretty strong results (in a survey experiment)!
I’ll admit that I’m biased in favor of the idea that “corruption” is a winning frame for Democrats, but pretty strong results (in a survey experiment)!
The graph below shows the effect. Treatment with the question about the CZ pardon (full text in previous post) reduced perception that Democrats are more corrupt by 6.6 pp.
The point is, these are malleable perceptions, and as the breakout by party id shows, even malleable among partisans
The point is, these are malleable perceptions, and as the breakout by party id shows, even malleable among partisans
December 4, 2025 at 9:19 PM
This is a really cool (and timely) experiment!
I’ll admit that I’m biased in favor of the idea that “corruption” is a winning frame for Democrats, but pretty strong results (in a survey experiment)!
I’ll admit that I’m biased in favor of the idea that “corruption” is a winning frame for Democrats, but pretty strong results (in a survey experiment)!
Police unions mentioned:
December 4, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Police unions mentioned:
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
This is disgusting, un-American, and evil. And the men standing there and grinning are pathetic pieces of dogshit
Trump: "It’s a hellhole right now. And those Somalians should be out of here. They've destroyed our country. And all they do is complain, complain, complain. You have her. She’s always talking about the Constitution provides me with – go back to your own country and figure out your constitution."
December 3, 2025 at 11:00 PM
This is disgusting, un-American, and evil. And the men standing there and grinning are pathetic pieces of dogshit
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social - more than 1 in 5 young men who voted for Trump now regret it, including almost half his Independent supporters. This less-ideological, less-online population is appalled by Trump's policies.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
Who Are the Young Men Who Regret Their Trump Vote?
According to most available data, Trump’s approval ratings are dropping across the electorate. Young men tell a similar story.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com
December 3, 2025 at 1:56 PM
The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social - more than 1 in 5 young men who voted for Trump now regret it, including almost half his Independent supporters. This less-ideological, less-online population is appalled by Trump's policies.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
In fact, “Xinjiang” (literally “New Frontier”) came to be predominantly Uyghur Muslim by population and culture due to an *earlier* genocide perpetrated by an earlier Chinese government (the Qing dynasty).
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzungar...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzungar...
December 3, 2025 at 3:05 AM
In fact, “Xinjiang” (literally “New Frontier”) came to be predominantly Uyghur Muslim by population and culture due to an *earlier* genocide perpetrated by an earlier Chinese government (the Qing dynasty).
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzungar...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzungar...
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
Statehood for D.C. is an ethical obligation at this point, required to protect the rights of our residents to govern ourselves against such out-of-state troops being sent to patrol our city.
NEW: Republican-led states, in a new filing at the D.C. Circuit, say D.C. residents are irrelevant, D.C. belongs to everyone else. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
The filing is led by the South Carolina and West Virginia attorneys general. Both states sent troops to DC.
The filing is led by the South Carolina and West Virginia attorneys general. Both states sent troops to DC.
December 2, 2025 at 8:51 PM
Statehood for D.C. is an ethical obligation at this point, required to protect the rights of our residents to govern ourselves against such out-of-state troops being sent to patrol our city.
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
a kind of funny thing about this thesis is that it's basically the same as the whole Ygelsias et al. 'moderate on cultural issues to win' thing with the serial numbers filed off. but for some reason this is based economic populism and not pathetic centrist selling out
December 1, 2025 at 5:00 PM
a kind of funny thing about this thesis is that it's basically the same as the whole Ygelsias et al. 'moderate on cultural issues to win' thing with the serial numbers filed off. but for some reason this is based economic populism and not pathetic centrist selling out
Apart from everything else, white supremacists can’t even name their terrorist group without plagiarizing from Al Qaeda?!
Spanish police said on Monday they had broken up the country's first known cell linked to The Base, a white supremacist group designated as a terrorist organisation by the European Union
www.reuters.com/business/med...
www.reuters.com/business/med...
Spain dismantles cell linked to neo-Nazi terrorist group The Base
Spanish police said on Monday they had broken up the country's first known cell linked to The Base, a white supremacist group designated as a terrorist organisation by the European Union.
www.reuters.com
December 1, 2025 at 4:01 PM
Apart from everything else, white supremacists can’t even name their terrorist group without plagiarizing from Al Qaeda?!
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
This is actually quite brilliant, up to and including the final sentence 🔥
December 1, 2025 at 11:09 AM
This is actually quite brilliant, up to and including the final sentence 🔥
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
You people have got to stop saying this kind of thing. I’m sorry that 15 years ago a CS professor said something obnoxious in a faculty meeting but the idea that humanities degrees are “not tied to capitalism” while STEM degrees are is some of the purest bullshit I’ve ever seen in my life.
November 30, 2025 at 8:09 PM
You people have got to stop saying this kind of thing. I’m sorry that 15 years ago a CS professor said something obnoxious in a faculty meeting but the idea that humanities degrees are “not tied to capitalism” while STEM degrees are is some of the purest bullshit I’ve ever seen in my life.
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
Senator Kelly is correct.
Plus a Public Service Announcement:
KEY section of Department of Defense's Law of War Manual is 18.3.2.1.
The VERY rule on the "requirement" to refuse illegal orders gives as its paradigmatic example of what is "clearly illegal:
"orders to fire upon the shipwrecked."
Plus a Public Service Announcement:
KEY section of Department of Defense's Law of War Manual is 18.3.2.1.
The VERY rule on the "requirement" to refuse illegal orders gives as its paradigmatic example of what is "clearly illegal:
"orders to fire upon the shipwrecked."
November 30, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Senator Kelly is correct.
Plus a Public Service Announcement:
KEY section of Department of Defense's Law of War Manual is 18.3.2.1.
The VERY rule on the "requirement" to refuse illegal orders gives as its paradigmatic example of what is "clearly illegal:
"orders to fire upon the shipwrecked."
Plus a Public Service Announcement:
KEY section of Department of Defense's Law of War Manual is 18.3.2.1.
The VERY rule on the "requirement" to refuse illegal orders gives as its paradigmatic example of what is "clearly illegal:
"orders to fire upon the shipwrecked."
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
From Frederick Douglass's 1867 "Composite Nation" speech, a defense of Chinese migration to the United States at a time when anti-Chinese sentiment was intensifying.
teachingamericanhistory.org/document/our...
teachingamericanhistory.org/document/our...
November 28, 2025 at 7:01 PM
From Frederick Douglass's 1867 "Composite Nation" speech, a defense of Chinese migration to the United States at a time when anti-Chinese sentiment was intensifying.
teachingamericanhistory.org/document/our...
teachingamericanhistory.org/document/our...
Reposted by Yu-Ming Liou
Given the justification was in part because they might communicate with someone, pete could ask Heinz-Wilhelm Eck and his XO what the law of armed conflict says about that, except oops, the allies shot them dead in 1945 after a trial
WaPo with reporting that Pete gave an explicit order to JSOC during the first strike post impact to immediately follow up in order to, and I quote, "kill them all"
November 28, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Given the justification was in part because they might communicate with someone, pete could ask Heinz-Wilhelm Eck and his XO what the law of armed conflict says about that, except oops, the allies shot them dead in 1945 after a trial