Prof. Eliot Jacobson
@climatecasino.net
24K followers 910 following 3.1K posts
Retired professor of mathematics and computer science, casino consultant, author of 4 books: 3 on casino games & 1 poetry book. Now I volunteer, walk a lot & feed local critters. Climate blog: climatecasino.net Casino blog: advancedadvantageplay.com
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climatecasino.net
Great questions! I don't know.
climatecasino.net
Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 11, 2025 ~ Everything is fine.

"The invisible gas can be seen in streams of bubbles originating on the seafloor of Antarctica's Ross Sea ... describing the mechanism as 'seemingly widespread' throughout the region... "

abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
Researchers find methane leaking out of cracks in Antarctic seabed
One of the most potent greenhouse gas emissions has been discovered seeping out of cracks of the Antarctic sea floor, researchers have found.
abcnews.go.com
climatecasino.net
Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 10, 2025 ~ Joining the party.

"We have now seen three of the five worst harvests on record this decade... This is what farming with climate change looks like, as extreme weather wrecks harvests..."

www.independent.co.uk/climate-chan...
England sees second worst harvest on record, analysis shows
Provisional Government data suggests a much worse harvest than experts had so far predicted.
www.independent.co.uk
climatecasino.net
Wow, that is amazingly accurate.
climatecasino.net
I has been a very long time since I posted this list of 40 consequences of climate change. But, it's important to take note of item number 40.

I truly wish things were going to get better, but sadly, it's all just going to get more f&%ked from here.

climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-...
Top 40 Impacts of Climate Change
In this post, I list 78 current and future impacts of climate change, along with references for some of the more unexpected items.  That list was compiled scouring the web along with suggestions and c...
climatecasino.net
climatecasino.net
I don't see how that changes the narrative. Looks flatline still, even with those points removed. Maybe I just haven't had enough to drink.
climatecasino.net
Whether it's minimum extent, thickness or volume, there is no evidence that Arctic sea-ice is in rapid decline at the moment. All three variables have been stable for about the last 15 years.

Then again, Arctic sea-ice f&%kery could always get going again next year. Or the year after that.
climatecasino.net
Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 9, 2025 ~ Arctic FUBAR

"If orange rivers are the first sign, what comes next could redefine the planet’s climate system, and faster than anyone imagined. What began as an aesthetic anomaly has become a planetary alarm..."

www.ecoticias.com/en/arctic-tu...
Arctic is turning orange — It could trigger a devastating chain effect sooner than expected
In the Arctic, melting ice turns rivers orange — scientists warn this rare phenomenon could trigger a devastating chain reaction for Earth’s climate.
www.ecoticias.com
climatecasino.net
Starts in 1881 -- sorry for any confusion.
climatecasino.net
1881, sorry for any confusion.
climatecasino.net
Your 'doom quote' for today:

"Modernity is post-apocalyptic. It's been that way from the start. It is born out of devastation: the destruction of the fabric of the living world and the destruction of the weave of culture."

www.chelseagreen.com/product/at-w...
At Work in the Ruins by Dougald Hine
At Work in the Ruins offers guidance by standing firmly forward and facing the depth of the trouble we are in.
www.chelseagreen.com
climatecasino.net
My latest animation of the global surface temperature anomaly, 1851 - 2025 (current through September).
climatecasino.net
Fascism is one of the consequences of climate.
climatecasino.net
15.5C -- that was the pre-industrial 1850-1900 global maximum (actually, it was 15.48C).
climatecasino.net
The global temperature is 15.3 C now and falling.
climatecasino.net
The final data for 2025 is in, and the planet saw 152 days with the global 2m surface temperature at or above the pre-industrial maximum of 15.5°C. This is just short of 154 days in 2023 and the record 160 days in 2024.

Next year? The Climate 8-ball is temporarily furloughed.
climatecasino.net
Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 8, 2025 ~ The other overshoot.

"This is a bigger concern that I have – that we are pushing the habitability in our societies on this planet above that limit and towards maybe existential limits."

www.carbonbrief.org/experts-the-...
Experts: The key ‘unknowns’ of overshooting the 1.5C global-warming limit - Carbon Brief
On the sidelines of a conference, Carbon Brief asked a range of experts what they consider to be the key “unknowns” around overshoot.
www.carbonbrief.org
climatecasino.net
This graphic shows average Arctic sea-ice thickness (average monthly volume divided by average monthly extent, 12-month running average). October, 2017, saw the minimum, at 1.228 meters. Current is 1.267 meters and falling fast.

What's next? The Climate 8-ball is frozen solid.