Collins Watch
@collinswatch.bsky.social
2.6K followers 20 following 3K posts
Keeping an eye on Maine's senior senator and Maine politics since 2006. Send tips/thoughts to [email protected]. susancollinswatch.substack.com
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collinswatch.bsky.social
Seems like @janetmills4me.bsky.social is probably a fake account? What a weird thing to do. #MEpolitics
treatslinger.bsky.social
Scam. That photo is from Nov 9, 2022 on her Facebook acct. Click the photo to see the date. Screenshot from her official FB acct.
collinswatch.bsky.social
Is this real? Kinda-sorta announcing on Saturday night at 10:40pm in a post that doesn't say what you're running for?

An impostor account, maybe? #MEpolitics
janetmills4me.bsky.social
Maine people sent a clear message. We will continue to move forward, and won’t go back. We will continue to fight problems, and not one another. This night belongs to all of us. Thank you, Maine! I love you!
collinswatch.bsky.social
Hope he doesn't show. It would be dishonest. #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Also true that all a ME-SEN Democratic candidate needs to win the race is hold the Kamala Harris coalition. Or even a little less! That's it!

People can disagree whose strengths that plays toward, but it's not the case that you necessarily need to "turn" large numbers of MAGA folks. #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
An effort to consolidate crowds, make sure everyone is there together and folks don't straggle in and out over the course of the day? Guessing things won't end pricesly at the end time.
collinswatch.bsky.social
Which one of these will Jared Golden be at?

Ha ha just kidding! #MEpolitics via @pinetreeactivism.org
collinswatch.bsky.social
The idea that Jared Golden having the backing of the Democratic party establishment makes him more rather than less likely to win a Democratic primary in 2026 seems...contestable.
collinswatch.bsky.social
What about Matt Dunlap?
dunlapforcongress.bsky.social
Our district needs a fighter who will stand up to Trump. And right now Jared Golden is caving to Trump every chance he gets. Maine’s 2nd deserves better than a choice between Jared Golden and Paul LePage, and Matt Dunlap is that choice.

Learn more at mattdunlapforuscongress.com #ME02
collinswatch.bsky.social
The flip side of this is that the opposition to Mills seems pretty 'baked in' because she's such a known quantity.

Maybe Platner can make inroads with those folks...but there will be tens of millions of dollars spent to undermine his efforts...so it's hard to say?
collinswatch.bsky.social
It'd be genuinely helpful if someone'd ask *either* Angus King why it makes sense to support and give bipartisan cover to a GOP funding bill if Republicans are just gonna cut ("rescission") spending they don't like thru a partisan process afterward.

You are literally ceding your power. #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Holy smokes who's running this campaign? #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Would agree that it's not ideal.
collinswatch.bsky.social
Jared Golden never talks about this stuff -- let alone tries to do anything about it. Either he's OK with it, doesn't really care or doesn't think it's part of the job.

Whatever the reason, it's disqualifying.

His silence seems even louder with a viable alternative in the picture. #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Look we're trying to keep an open mind re: who'd be the best ME-SEN candidate. And we think a primary's a great way to sort it out.

But let's be honest: Mills keeps doing worrisome stuff.

Calling *senators* for support? A top-down approach ain't working in 2025. How's that not obvious? #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Not the most important point but this drumbeat of Mills pre-announcements is reminiscent of establishment Dems constantly invoking the phrase "kitchen table issues" instead of just talking about them like Mamdani does.

Stop telling us what you're to do (announce) and just do it! Sheesh! #MEpolitics
to.do
collinswatch.bsky.social
Gotta say, the drumbeat of leaks out of Janet Mills camp about her prospective run -- reassuring folks over and over and over that, yes, she really is interested -- doesn't make a whole lot of sense to us.

The whole effort has a "Please guys, don't forget about me!" energy to it. #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Notice the 'No On 1' signs at Graham Platner's event tonight in Brewer.

Wouldn't be a bad idea if every Dem running for Gov/Sen/Rep (lots of 'em!) spent a good chunk of time this month pushing a "No On 1" message.

(Except, maybe, Jared Golden who's probably 'Yes on 1' for all we know?) #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Yeah if Angus King is going to parade his nepobaby candidate son around the Capitol then it's a legitimate question to *both* men why the older guy is doing such a poor job of standing up to creeping authoritarianism. #MEpolitics
joesudbay.bsky.social
Hi @anguskingiii.bsky.social, since you're with him, can you convince your father/top supporter to stop voting with Trump and Republicans? He keeps doing it and he knows better - or should
ericmgarcia.bsky.social
Spotted: Angus King introducing Ron Wyden to his son Angus King III, who is running for Governor
collinswatch.bsky.social
Maybe Angus King keeps capitulating to Trump because he's preoccupied with nepotism? #MEpolitics h/t @joesudbay.bsky.social
ericmgarcia.bsky.social
Spotted: Angus King introducing Ron Wyden to his son Angus King III, who is running for Governor
Angus King, an old white man with a moustache, standing next to Angus King III, a younger white man in a black suit, next to Ron Wyden, an older white man in a charcoal blazer
collinswatch.bsky.social
Like I wrote earlier, you probably only need 30,000 votes to win. Dems or indys.

That's 300 volunteers locking in 100 votes each (over many months) or 1,000 volunteers securing 30 votes each. Take your pick. #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Susan Collins brought this on. #MEpolitics
justinbaragona.bsky.social
Besides linking Tylenol in pregnant women to autism, RFK Jr. now says circumcision is part of the reason why kids are autistic.

"Children who are circumcised early have double the rate of autism, and it's highly likely because they're given Tylenol. None of this is positive..."
collinswatch.bsky.social
It's a kind of demented tautology: "You have to be like Jared Golden to win because Jared Golden has won."

Doesn't take a philosophy professor to find the logical holes in that...and yet the same thin case gets pushed over and over, year after year. #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Like, even if you think Golden is more likely than Dunlap to beat LePage (not remotely clear from our vantage point!) you still have to concede Matt provides more value to Team D than Jared...so it's still worth backing Dunlap even he carries more risk. (Which it's not clear he does!) #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
We asked Jain this stuff cuz folks who argue it's worth Dems having Jared Golden in DC based on "wins above replacement" or whatever never seem to grapple with costs of him being there.

Case for him even harder to make with alternative like Dunlap available who isn't toxic to the brand. #MEpolitics
collinswatch.bsky.social
Photo of @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social with a @shennabellows.bsky.social sticker on his laptop at Bowdoin in 2014!

In favor of defeating Susan Collins before defeating Susan Collins was cool. (Photo via @nytimes.com: tinyurl.com/mtf4wzm2) #MEpolitics