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Dan Kennett

@dankennett.co.uk

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Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · Dec 27

Been meaning to do this for a while but not got round to it, a public information thread on DUELS, particularly ground duels. They're being used more and more in the mainstream (which is good) but I don't think many understand the detail. Thread: 🧵

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 22h

The first step in changing it is admitting we got it wrong.
A good chunk of leave voters are gonna have to do that before it's viable

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 23h

The first step in changing it is admitting we got it wrong.
A good chunk of leave voters are gonna have to do that before its viable

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 23h

It's a long time until the next election Johnny

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 23h

Ha ha! But seriously check out those albums 84-91 so much good material never released as singles

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 1d

💯

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 1d

Mate...
Achtung Baby a classic but Pop and Zooropa?
Think the peak run of albums was Unforgettable Fire to Achtung Baby

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 1d

Even the gammon who voted Leave purely for Immigration reasons know it

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 1d

FINALLY a political message from the government that I'm ready to run through brick walls for me
Repeat after me:
Brexit was a clusterfuck
Brexit was an omnishambles
Brexit was the biggest act of self-harm in British history

Best for Britain @bestforbritain.org · 1d

Brexit has been destructive to our economy, and has cost us £140 BILLIONS already.

Rachel Reeves: "The impact of Brexit is severe and long lasting."

Check out our Brexit cost tracker: https://www.bestforbritain.org/brexit_impact

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 2d

It's both!
The buildup needs to improve AND the OOP needs to improve

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 2d

I know you are being facetious but the actual problem is at 0-0
We aren't creating enough in attack and we are conceding too much in defence. Other than that its really good

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 2d

The issue when tied is mostly on the attacking side. Only 1.3 xg p90 which is 1.1 below last season
On the defensive side we are 1.2 xga p90 vs 0.8 last season

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 2d

No adjustments but last years data is whole season including the dead rubbers when we had a worse defensive record than Southampton

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 2d

two men are sitting in front of a crowd talking about strategy

ALT: two men are sitting in front of a crowd talking about strategy

media.tenor.com

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 2d

XG difference in each Game State.
Arsenal have improved but still a step below #lfc last season.
Meanwhile LFC have lost their superpower and have no control over games.

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 2d

% of PL matches spent in each Game State
#LFC and #AFC last 2 seasons
Arsenal virtually unchanged, #LFC 30% lower

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

The problem with UP is that Analysing matches gets in the way of nerdery

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

Is there demand for an advanced footy nerdery pod?

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

Positive obv values for complete passes in own half are tiny, like 0.001
But a bad one could be -0.1 or lower!
That's x100 more impactful

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

And a lot more than last season. It's only typically centre forwards who have a negative pass OBV
Ibou actually has the highest pass% in the team with 91.5% , its just that his incompletions are worse than before
Here's the lowest pass OBVs in the PL this season

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

It's about £6k a year cheaper than a hudl license...
You also get the pressures that used to be on fbref plus xPassing and their XG data

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

Doesn't it make you ponder about why a player can have 2k progressive metres (and 29 PP) yet an overall negative pass OBV?
@gregoryjanks.bsky.social

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

Yes

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

This is an example of what you get (last season PL)

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

No viz at all, just match totals by player. Quant data

Dan Kennett @dankennett.co.uk · 7d

Episode 6 of The Hack

a cartoon of a chef with a needle in his mouth is playing at 4:32

ALT: a cartoon of a chef with a needle in his mouth is playing at 4:32

media.tenor.com