Dominic Lavelle
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dominiclavelle.bsky.social
Dominic Lavelle
@dominiclavelle.bsky.social
1.3K followers 3.1K following 390 posts
I help companies plan for - and deliver - Net Zero I also volunteer for the Carbon Accounting Alliance Based in Worcester & London. Personal account. Opinions mine and mine alone.
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Some thoughts on why getting to Net Zero is easier than most people think:
That would be awesome as it means we are there now commercially and can get on with mass roll out.

Energy abundance for all 👌🔥
Awesome 🧵...
Time for 2025 updates to my annual “opinions about solar” thread. If you like these, you might like the second edition of my book, Solar Power Finance Without The Jargon. A 30% discount code WSQ0437 is valid on publisher website until end of November 2025.

www.worldscientific.com/worldscibook...
Solar Power Finance Without the Jargon
www.worldscientific.com
Totally agree. I'd also add the massive increase in car usage now prevents kids from being independent - it's often dangerous for them to go out on their own

So no youth clubs, dangerous to go out when younger... Then when these kids enter the workforce adults complain they don't have social skills
The fundamentals suggest the price of these coins will fall to zero.

So let's see if that happens ;)

(I still think Bitcoin might fall close to zero in future... I've no idea when though)
Reposted by Dominic Lavelle
I don't fully agree with this analysis. It's more nuanced than the article makes out.

Offsets are often held to a higher standard than other form of decarbonisation.

For example:

"projects with leakage, such as protecting part of a forest but effectively pushing loggers elsewhere"

1/x
The IPCC state that halting deforestation is crucial for climate change mitigation.

But protecting existing forest struggles to meet "additionally" criteria because you can't prove it would have been chopped down without the funding from offsets.

Which is silly.. we have to protect the forests.
Yes agree.

In my other examples those decarbonisation initiatives would be counted as genuine carbon reduction.

I don't know the answer, I just sense the bar offsets have to overcome - in particular around "additionally" - is not applied to other decarb initiatives.
I'm not here to defend offsets in particular, they do have issues.

But many are worthwhile projects.

I feel this nuance is missed when people imply all offsets are worthless.

5/5
The underlying point is that systematic change is needed, and all these actions nudge towards systematic change.

So for example if I invest in protecting a forest, that is inherently a good thing.

4/x
Or let's say I'm a corporate that wants to reduce my travel emissions so I ban employees taking short haul flights.

All those flights will probably take off anyway.

There are lots of other examples I could give.

3/x
Other forms of decarbonisation have the same issue...

Let's say I'm a large oil company and I decide to actually implement my ESG strategy and stop looking for new oil fields.

What will the other oil companies do?.... they will probably find the oil fields you were going to find.

Same issue.

2/x
I don't fully agree with this analysis. It's more nuanced than the article makes out.

Offsets are often held to a higher standard than other form of decarbonisation.

For example:

"projects with leakage, such as protecting part of a forest but effectively pushing loggers elsewhere"

1/x
I'm not sure what my exact point is... I think there is something in the US result that Labour members could find insightful

(And maybe even more widely how the progressive vote is always split and the dangers of that)

If I'm incorrect in any of the above please do point it out, I'm here to learn
And then there is anecdotal evidence that some Dems abstained in the presidential election due to Dem policy positions, Eg Gaza.

(To be fair this article also says many abstentions were because they were not in swing states so their vote didn't matter)

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024...
I'm guess I'm saying many dems did not get behind their party in 2024..

Either they switched parties or they did not vote.

"In the 2024 presidential election, a higher share of Donald Trump’s 2020 voters than Joe Biden’s 2020 voters turned out to vote. "

www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
Voter turnout, 2020-2024
Overall and across most demographic groups, Trump’s 2020 voters turned out at higher rates in 2024 than Biden’s did, a Pew Research Center analysis shows.
www.pewresearch.org
I'm happy to be corrected if what I said isn't right.

I thought quite a few cohorts who normally voted Democrat either didn't vote or switched to Republican?

And a lot of Democrats were pissed with the party before the election with a "both parties are as bad as each other" sentiment
The parallels with what happened with the Dems in the last U.S. election are interesting

Many "I usually vote Dem" voters decided to not get behind the Dems, because they were not perfect

This helped Republicans win.

Leading to a much worse position for those voters than if Dems had won
Out of interest, do you have a sense of where some of these "safer, rugged, prosperous places" might be?
Great performance - not seen that before.
Agree - interesting themes, which feel highly relevant in today's world.