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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2h

Spain, GESOP poll:

PP-EPP: 29% (-2)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 18% (+2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
Junts-NI: 1%

+/- vs. 10-12 June 2025

Fieldwork: 03-09 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 3h

France (Tarn-et-Garonne's 1st constituency), national parliament by-election, second round today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~94,000
➤ Candidates: Carbonnel (UDR/RN-PfE), Bourdoncle (PS and allies-LEFT|Greens/EFA|S&D)
➤ Incumbent party: UDR/RN (PfE) since 2024

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 4h

France (Voters abroad 5th constituency), national parliament by-election, second round today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~115,500
➤ Candidates: Coggia (RE-RE), Peciña (LFI/LÉ-LEFT|Greens/EFA)
➤ Electoral system: 2-round, single-member constituencies
➤ Incumbent party: RE (RE) since 2017

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 6h

Italy, Tuscany regional election today and tomorrow:

Turnout at 12:00 AM CEST

2005: 12.20%*
2010: 9.20%*
2015: 14.65%
2020: 14.66%*
2025: 9.95%*

*Election held in two days

Source: Ministero dell'Interno

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 8h

Sweden, Verian poll:

S-S&D: 35% (+1)
SD-ECR: 20% (-1)
M-EPP: 18%
V-LEFT: 7.5% (+0.5)
MP-G/EFA: 6%
C-RE: 4.5% (-0.5)
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 2.5%

+/- vs. 25 August - 07 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 05 October 2025
Sample size: 3,227

➤ europeelects.eu/sweden

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 8h

Germany, INSA poll:

AfD-ESN: 26%
CDU/CSU-EPP: 24%
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 11%
FDP-RE: 4%
BSW-NI: 4%

+/- vs. 02-06 October 2025

Fieldwork: 06-10 October 2025
Sample size: 1224

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 9h

Germany, Verian poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 25% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 25%
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 03-09 September 2025

Fieldwork: 30 September - 07 October 2025
Sample size: 1478

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 9h

Germany, Ipsos poll:

AfD-ESN: 25%
CDU/CSU-EPP: 23% (-1)
SPD-S&D: 15%
LINKE-LEFT: 12%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11% (-1)
BSW-NI: 5% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 05-07 September 2025

Fieldwork: 02-03 October 2025
Sample size: 1000

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 18h

UK, Opinium poll:

REFORM~NI: 32% (-2)
LAB-S&D: 22% (+1)
CON~ECR: 18% (+2)
LDEM-RE: 11% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 10%
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (+1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 1-3 October 2025

Fieldwork: 08-10 October 2025
Sample size: 2,050

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Austria, Market poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 38% (+2)
ÖVP-EPP: 20%
SPÖ-S&D: 17% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10%
NEOS-RE: 8% (-1)
KPÖ-LEFT: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 29-30 September 2025

Fieldwork: 06-07 October 2025
Sample size: 2,000

➤ europeelects.eu/austria

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

France: President Emmanuel Macron (RE-RE) has re-appointed Sébastien Lecornu (RE-RE) as Prime Minister four days after accepting his resignation.

Lecornu will now form a new government strengthened by these two days of "last negotiations".

➤ europeelects.eu/france

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy: liberal Partito Liberal Democratico (RE) appears in a poll for the first time, with 1.1% in the latest EMG poll.

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Poland, IBRiS poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 32.5% (+2)
PiS-ECR: 29% (-1.5)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 15% (-0.5)
Lewica-S&D: 7.5% (-1)
KKP-NI: 6.5% (+3)
PSL-EPP: 5% (+0.5)
Razem-LEFT: 3% (-1.5)
PL2050-RE: 1.5% (-1)

+/- vs. 29-30 August 2025

Fieldwork: 08-09 October 2025
Sample size: 1,100

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 35% (+1)
NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 24%
Ensemble-RE: 14%
LR-EPP: 12%
REC-ESN: 4%
Divers gauche-*: 4% (-1)
Divers droite-*: 3%
Divers-*: 2%
DLF→ECR: 1% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 05-08 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 36% (+4)
PCF/PS/PP-LEFT|S&D: 17% (+2)
Ensemble-RE: 13% (-2)
LR-EPP: 11% (-2)
LFI/LÉ-LEFT|G/EFA: 10% (-1)
REC-ESN: 4%
Divers gauche-*: 3% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 29 August-01 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 36% (+3)
PCF/LÉ/PS/PP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 19%
Ensemble-RE: 13% (-1)
LR-EPP: 11% (-1)
LFI-LEFT: 8% (-1)
REC-ESN: 3.5% (-0.5)
Divers gauche-*: 3%
...

+/- vs. 5-8 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Serbia, NSPM poll:

Scenario: joint government vs. potential joint opposition lists

Joint opposition list-G/EFA|S&D|RE: 56%
SNS/SPS+-EPP: 44%

+/- vs. 02-12 July 2025

Fieldwork: 28 August - 08 September 2025
Sample size: 1050

➤ europeelects.eu/serbia

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Poland, Opinia24 poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 33% (+2)
PiS-ECR: 30% (-1)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 16%
Lewica-S&D: 6%
KKP-NI: 5.5% (-1.5)
Razem-LEFT: 5% (+1)
PL2050-RE: 3%
PSL-EPP: 1.5%

+/- vs. 01-03 September 2025

Fieldwork: 06-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 31%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 14%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
FI-EPP: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 24-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-06 October 2025
Sample size: 1,200

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

UK: the UK's three Green parties (GREENS-G/EFA) have reached 15% in today's Find Out Now poll. This is the highest that the parties have ever polled in national parliament polling since being founded in 1983 and 1990.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

UK (GB), Find Out Now poll:

REFORM~NI: 32% (-3)
LAB-S&D: 17% (-2)
CON~ECR: 17% (+3)
GREENS-G/EFA: 15% (+4)
LDEM-RE: 12%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 1 October 2025

Fieldwork: 08 October 2025
Sample size: 2,668

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:

TS LKD-EPP: 22% (+2)
LSDP-S&D: 16%
NA~S&D: 13% (+8)
DSVL-G/EFA: 11% (-3)
LVŽS-ECR: 10% (+1)
LS-RE: 10% (-1)
LP-RE: 5% (-1)
NS→ECR: 3% (n.a.)
...

+/- vs. 18-25 July 2025

Fieldwork: 17-27 September 2025
Sample size: 1,017

➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Hungary, Magyar Társadalomkutató poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 47% (-2)
TISZA-EPP: 39% (-2)
MH-ESN: 6% (+3)
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (n.a.)
DK-S&D: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 30 June - 02 July 2025

Fieldwork: 29 September - 01 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Hungary, Republikon Intézet poll:

TISZA-EPP: 43% (+2)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 35%
MH-ESN: 8%
DK-S&D: 5% (-2)
MKKP→G/EFA: 5%
Momentum-RE: 1%
P-G/EFA: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 21-27 August 2025

Fieldwork: 25 September - 01 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 3d

Netherlands, Ipsos-I&O poll:

PVV-PfE: 20%
CDA-EPP: 16%
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 14% (-1)
D66-RE: 9% (-1)
VVD-RE: 9%
JA21~ECR: 8% (+1)
PvdD-LEFT: 4% (+1)
DENK-*: 3%
Volt-G/EFA: 3%
FvD-ESN: 3%
...

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 03-06 October 2025
Sample size: 2,079

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

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