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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 5h

France: President Emmanuel Macron (RE-RE) has re-appointed Sébastien Lecornu (RE-RE) as Prime Minister four days after accepting his resignation.

Lecornu will now form a new government strengthened by these two days of "last negotiations".

➤ europeelects.eu/france

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 6h

Italy: liberal Partito Liberal Democratico (RE) appears in a poll for the first time, with 1.1% in the latest EMG poll.

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 6h

Poland, IBRiS poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 32.5% (+2)
PiS-ECR: 29% (-1.5)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 15% (-0.5)
Lewica-S&D: 7.5% (-1)
KKP-NI: 6.5% (+3)
PSL-EPP: 5% (+0.5)
Razem-LEFT: 3% (-1.5)
PL2050-RE: 1.5% (-1)

+/- vs. 29-30 August 2025

Fieldwork: 08-09 October 2025
Sample size: 1,100

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 11h

France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 35% (+1)
NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 24%
Ensemble-RE: 14%
LR-EPP: 12%
REC-ESN: 4%
Divers gauche-*: 4% (-1)
Divers droite-*: 3%
Divers-*: 2%
DLF→ECR: 1% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 05-08 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 12h

France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 36% (+4)
PCF/PS/PP-LEFT|S&D: 17% (+2)
Ensemble-RE: 13% (-2)
LR-EPP: 11% (-2)
LFI/LÉ-LEFT|G/EFA: 10% (-1)
REC-ESN: 4%
Divers gauche-*: 3% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 29 August-01 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 12h

France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 36% (+3)
PCF/LÉ/PS/PP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 19%
Ensemble-RE: 13% (-1)
LR-EPP: 11% (-1)
LFI-LEFT: 8% (-1)
REC-ESN: 3.5% (-0.5)
Divers gauche-*: 3%
...

+/- vs. 5-8 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 13h

Serbia, NSPM poll:

Scenario: joint government vs. potential joint opposition lists

Joint opposition list-G/EFA|S&D|RE: 56%
SNS/SPS+-EPP: 44%

+/- vs. 02-12 July 2025

Fieldwork: 28 August - 08 September 2025
Sample size: 1050

➤ europeelects.eu/serbia

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 17h

Poland, Opinia24 poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 33% (+2)
PiS-ECR: 30% (-1)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 16%
Lewica-S&D: 6%
KKP-NI: 5.5% (-1.5)
Razem-LEFT: 5% (+1)
PL2050-RE: 3%
PSL-EPP: 1.5%

+/- vs. 01-03 September 2025

Fieldwork: 06-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 31%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 14%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
FI-EPP: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 24-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-06 October 2025
Sample size: 1,200

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

UK: the UK's three Green parties (GREENS-G/EFA) have reached 15% in today's Find Out Now poll. This is the highest that the parties have ever polled in national parliament polling since being founded in 1983 and 1990.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

UK (GB), Find Out Now poll:

REFORM~NI: 32% (-3)
LAB-S&D: 17% (-2)
CON~ECR: 17% (+3)
GREENS-G/EFA: 15% (+4)
LDEM-RE: 12%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 1 October 2025

Fieldwork: 08 October 2025
Sample size: 2,668

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:

TS LKD-EPP: 22% (+2)
LSDP-S&D: 16%
NA~S&D: 13% (+8)
DSVL-G/EFA: 11% (-3)
LVŽS-ECR: 10% (+1)
LS-RE: 10% (-1)
LP-RE: 5% (-1)
NS→ECR: 3% (n.a.)
...

+/- vs. 18-25 July 2025

Fieldwork: 17-27 September 2025
Sample size: 1,017

➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Hungary, Magyar Társadalomkutató poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 47% (-2)
TISZA-EPP: 39% (-2)
MH-ESN: 6% (+3)
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (n.a.)
DK-S&D: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 30 June - 02 July 2025

Fieldwork: 29 September - 01 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Hungary, Republikon Intézet poll:

TISZA-EPP: 43% (+2)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 35%
MH-ESN: 8%
DK-S&D: 5% (-2)
MKKP→G/EFA: 5%
Momentum-RE: 1%
P-G/EFA: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 21-27 August 2025

Fieldwork: 25 September - 01 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Netherlands, Ipsos-I&O poll:

PVV-PfE: 20%
CDA-EPP: 16%
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 14% (-1)
D66-RE: 9% (-1)
VVD-RE: 9%
JA21~ECR: 8% (+1)
PvdD-LEFT: 4% (+1)
DENK-*: 3%
Volt-G/EFA: 3%
FvD-ESN: 3%
...

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 03-06 October 2025
Sample size: 2,079

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

UK (GB), More in Common poll:

REFORM~NI: 33% (+3)
LAB-S&D: 20%
CON~ECR: 19% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 14%
GREENS-G/EFA: 8%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 03-06 October 2025
Sample size: 2,003

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Spain, NC Report poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 16% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 5%
Podemos-LEFT: 5%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
...

+/- vs. 01-06 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-04 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Estonia, SALK projection:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 35 (-3)
I-EPP: 13 (+8)
SDE-S&D: 12 (+6)
RE-RE: 9 (-6)
EKRE-PfE: 5 (-3)
PP→EPP: 5 (new)
E200→EPP: 0 (-7)

+/- vs. 2021 election result

Fieldwork: October 2025
Sample size: 1,850

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Slovakia, NMS poll:

PS-RE: 25% (+3)
Smer-NI: 18% (-2)
Republika-ESN: 12% (+2)
Hlas-NI: 8% (-2)
S-EPP: 6% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 6%
KDH-EPP: 5% (-1)
D-EPP: 5% (-1)
MA-EPP: 4%
SR~PfE: 3%
SNS~PfE: 2%
...

+/- vs. 03-07 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,002

➤ europeelects.eu/slovakia

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Italy, Tecnè poll:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 56%
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 42%
Bundu (TR-LEFT|S&D): 2%

Fieldwork: 23-25 September 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 28% (+2)
KE-RE|ECR: 21% (+2)
EKRE-PfE: 19% (+2)
RE-RE: 13% (-2)
SDE-S&D: 10% (-2)
PP→EPP: 5% (-1)
E200→EPP: 2% (-1)
EER-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 22-28 September 2025

Fieldwork: 28 September - 05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 38
I-EPP: 13 (-1)
SDE-S&D: 12 (-1)
RE-RE: 10 (+2)
EKRE-PfE: 6
E200→EPP: 0

+/- vs. 15-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 06 October 2025
Sample size: 7,500

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Norway, InFact poll:

Ap-S&D: 29% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 25% (+1)
H-EPP: 14% (-1)
R~LEFT: 6% (+1)
SV~LEFT: 6%
MDG-G/EFA: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5% (-1)
KrF-EPP: 5% (+1)
V-RE: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: 06 October 2025
Sample size: 1,094

➤ europeelects.eu/norway

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Tallinn city council election

KE (RE|ECR): 42%
I (EPP): 15% (-1)
SDE (S&D): 14% (-1)
RE (RE): 11% (+1)
EKRE (PfE): 7%
PP (→EPP): 4%
...

+/- vs. 15-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 06 October 2025
Sample size: 7,500

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2d

Italy, Ipsos poll:

Tuscany regional parliament election

PD (S&D): 31%
FdI (ECR): 25%
GP-CR (RE|S&D): 8%
AVS (LEFT|Greens/EFA): 8%
M5S (LEFT): 8%
FI (EPP): 7%
LEGA (PfE): 6%
TR (LEFT|S&D): 4%
NM-CpT (EPP): 2%
TP (*): 2%

Fieldwork: 23-25 September 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

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