Global Markets Investor
@globalinvestor.bsky.social
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Investment, Equity (on Wall Street), Macro Research background. ~10 years of experience in markets, supporting investors in succeeding. Join 5000+ FREE subscribers at https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/
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🚨Is the Financial System FALLING APART?

Gold has surpassed $4,200 per ounce for the first time in history.

Silver is trading just below its 1980 record of $52.50.

Gold and silver have surged +185% and +340% since the 2020 Crisis.

This is the FIAT CURRENCY CRISIS.
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🚨History suggests the US market might be facing dismal returns:

S&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio hit 41×, the highest since the Dot-Com Bubble.

In the past, a ratio above 30 was followed by NEGATIVE 10-year annualized returns.

A decade without gains..👇
⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: History suggests the US stock market might be facing dismal future returns
A decade without gains - can you imagine?
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For the week ending October 17, 🔥 key events are:

- US Retail Sales for September on Thursday

- US PPI Inflation for Sept on Thursday

- US Industrial Production for Sept on Friday

- At least 10 Fed Speeches 👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
📉Currency debasement is not a bug — it’s a feature of the fiat system.

Since Bretton Woods collapsed in 1971, not one of 152 countries has kept average inflation below 2%.

Even Switzerland averaged 2.2%.

Fiat money is in an eternal bear market.👇
📉Fiat money is in an eternal bear market.
Currency debasement is not a bug — it’s a feature of the fiat system.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨 Germany's 3rd year of RECESSION:

Germany's industrial production has dropped -12.7% since January 2021, to the lowest since the 2020 CRISIS.

In August, industrial production fell -4.3% MoM.

Energy-intensive sectors are down -19% in 4 years..👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🔥Are gold prices heading to $5,000 per ounce?

Goldman raised its forecast to $4,900 by the end of 2026.

That would imply a 21% rise from the current price.

World central banks and Western ETFs are expected to continue driving demand, the bank says. 👇
🚨 Gold prices surpassed $4,000 for the first time
Gold and silver are having outstanding performance
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🔥Silver short-squeeze disrupts the London market:

Silver 1-month lease rates — the cost to borrow silver — SPIKED to a 35% annualized rate, the highest on record as demand for physical has skyrocketed.

Prices hit $52 for the 1st time since 1980. 👇
🚨 What is happening in the Silver market?
Spot silver prices have hit $52 per ounce for the first time since the 1980s
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
‼️US and world stock prices have been FALLING for over 2 decades:

US stocks have declined -70% against gold prices since 2000.

This is despite a ~330% nominal rise in prices.

World stocks ex-US have fallen -88%, though nominally they rose 74%.👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨US federal government jobs are set to DROP by another 100,000 in Sept and Oct.

This will bring the total 2025 decline to -200,000.

Federal employment would then fall to 2.81 million, or 1.8% of total employment, the smallest share since 1939.👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️Retail investors have NEVER been buying so much US equities:

Individual investors purchased $100 BILLION worth of stocks over the last month, an ALL-TIME HIGH.

YTD, they bought a record $630 BILLION of stocks, on pace for $800 billion in 2025.👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨AI BUBBLE deals are a massive RED FLAG:

NVIDIA funds OpenAI, and then OpenAI buys NVIDIA chips.

AMD offers equity for chips.

This is circular financing dressed as strategy, echoing the late 2000 Dot-Com BUBBLE when Cisco funded gear purchases. 👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️The US job market is going through a HIRING CRISIS:

The hiring rate in Trade, Transportation, and Utilities sectors fell to 3.2% in August, the lowest in 15 YEARS and in line with Great Financial Crisis levels.

The Financial Crisis low was 2.9%.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
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⚠️Professional investors are dumping US stocks at a RAPID pace:

Institutional investors and hedge funds SOLD US equities for the 4th week STRAIGHT.

Hedge funds' 4-week selling avg rose to $2.1 BILLION, the most since at least the Financial Crisis.👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️This is INSANE:

US job numbers have been revised DOWN by nearly 1,100,000 since February 2022.

These are the biggest downward revisions since the GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS.

This is a job market crisis.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
‼️If the new tariffs were applied to all Chinese goods, the average tariff on China would rise to ~141% and the US average tariff would increase 13.2pp to ~30%.

If applied only reciprocally, Chinese avg tariff would hit ~104% and US avg would rise from ~16% to 24%.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️The US job market is in a BAD place:

63% of Americans expect a higher unemployment rate in the next 12 months, reaching crisis levels.

US non-farm payrolls have been revised DOWN by ~1.1 MILLION since February 2022.

-142,000 jobs LOST ex. healthcare over the last 4 months.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🔥🔥 Global Markets Investor's portfolio has returned +53% since January 2024.

During the March-April 2025 market turmoil, major US indexes fell nearly -20%, while the GMI's portfolio gained +5%.

Find out how below and access exclusive market data..👇
Investment Portfolio | Global Markets Investor
Sharing thoughts about the world's financial markets. If it helps you navigate this ever-changing market developments you may consider becoming a premium subscriber.
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🚨Professional investors say the global stock market is OVERVALUED:

A record net 60% of 166 investors with $400 billion in assets surveyed by BofA said in October that equity markets are OVERVALUED.

This surpasses the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak by 20 percentage points.
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🔴Do you think this has been a great year for US stocks? NOTHING could be further from the truth:

The S&P 500 ranks as the 66th best-performing market this year in US Dollar terms out of 92 markets, the 2nd WORST since 2008.

In local currency, the S&P 500 comes in just 57th.
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🔥Gold prices are experiencing a HISTORIC RUN:

Gold prices have jumped 58% year-over-year marking the second-best run over the last 35 YEARS.

This is only below the surge seen in 2006 at much lower prices.

Gold has hit another all-time high of $4,190.

Remarkable.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️Is the US stock market in a BUBBLE?

Number of news mentioning AI bubble has jumped to ~380, the second-highest on record.

Meanwhile, 54% of professional investors say AI stocks are in bubble, while 60% say stocks overvalued, according to BofA survey.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨Global equities 'SELL SIGNAL' was triggered for the 4th month STRAIGHT:

Institutional investors' cash level as a share of assets fell to 3.8% in October, the lowest in over a DECADE.

Cash allocations at or below 4% historically indicate a “SELL SIGNAL” for stocks - BofA rule.
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🚨US RECESSION ALERT:

US heavy truck sales have declined -55,000 over the last 2 months, to 400,000 annualized rate, the lowest since the 2020 CRISIS.

Truck sales have FALLEN -151,000 in 2 years.

Drops like this only occur during RECESSIONS.👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
For the week ending October 17, 🔥 key events are:

- Fed Chair Powell Speech on Tuesday

- US Retail Sales for September on Thursday

- US PPI Inflation for Sept on Thursday

- US Industrial Production for Sept on Friday

- At least 10 Fed Speeches👇
US stocks dropped amid intensyfiying US-China trade tensions. Weekly market recap, trading week 41/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨S&P 500 futures fell -0.8% and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped -1.2% after China restricted five US entities linked to a major South Korean shipbuilder and warned of further retaliation.

All members of the Magnificent 7 traded lower premarket, while European stocks slipped -0.6%.