Global Markets Investor
@globalinvestor.bsky.social
270 followers 3 following 5.2K posts
Investment, Equity (on Wall Street), Macro Research background. ~10 years of experience in markets, supporting investors in succeeding. Join 5000+ FREE subscribers at https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/
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⚠️ Buy-the-dip mentality in the US market is absolutely WILD:

US leveraged long equity ETFs saw $25 BILLION in trading volume on Friday, the highest since April.

It was nearly as high as at the height of the 2021 meme stock craze and the start of the 2022 bear market.
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨The US debt CRISIS:

US total debt hit a record $98.8 TRILLION (324% of GDP) in Q2 2025.

Federal government: $35.6 trillion (117%) - now $37.5T

Nonfinancial corporates: $21.9T (72%)

Financial corporates: $20.9T (69%)

Households: $20.5T (67%) 👇
🚨 Global debt bubble is still soaring
Absolutely nothing will stop this from rising
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⚠️US market is EXTREMELY expensive:

Shiller P/E ratio for US stocks hit 41x for the 1st time since the 2000 Dot-Com BUBBLE peak.

The ratio is 2x as high as that of foreign stocks.

It'd take ~41 YEARS to recover the investment purely through earnings👇
⚠️CHART OF THE WEEK: History suggests the US stock market might be facing dismal future returns
A decade without gains - can you imagine?
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‼️Global central banks RATE CUT RUSH:

Central banks have slashed rates 168 times over the last 12 months, the fastest pace since the 2020 crisis.

This is also the 3rd-quickest pace in 25 years, behind the 249 rate cuts seen in the Financial Crisis. 👇
🔴Global central banks are cutting interest rates as if there is a recession
Will they prevent a global economic downturn?
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🔥Are gold prices heading to $5,000 per ounce?

Goldman raised its forecast to $4,900 by the end of 2026.

That would imply a 21% rise from the current price.

World central banks and Western ETFs are expected to continue driving demand, the bank says. 👇
🚨 Gold prices surpassed $4,000 for the first time
Gold and silver are having outstanding performance
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globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨HERE WE GO AGAIN in Japan:

Japan's 20-year government bond yield hit its highest since 1999.

The 30-year JGB yield reached its highest since debuting in 1999.

The 40-year JGB yield is near its highest since debuting in 2007. 👇
🔴Japanese long-term government bond yields are trading at multi-year highs
Japanese government bonds are selling-off again
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🔥The US Treasury’s gold reserves hit a record $1 TRILLION in value.

That’s over 90 TIMES the ~$11 billion reported on the government’s balance sheet.

The US holds the world’s largest gold reserves at 8,100 tonnes.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨Is the AI spending rise SUSTAINABLE?

US data centers construction spending hit $41 BILLION, up +400% in 3 years.

For the 1st time, their value could SURPASS general offices as office construction is down to $45 billion, the lowest in 9 years.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
‼️US hiring is dismal, and workers are hesitant to switch jobs as if a RECESSION is already here:

The US hiring rate fell to 3.2% in August, nearly in line with the 2020 Crisis low.

The quits rate fell to 1.9%, the lowest since 2020.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
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⚠️What is happening here?

Securing a $60 BILLION-a-year deal with OpenAI would require even more MASSIVE DEBT for Oracle, which already has a debt-to-equity ratio above 500%.

By comparison, peers like Amazon and Microsoft have ratios of 50% and 30%👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🔴The US job market is deteriorating:

US job openings 3-month avg FELL to 7.26 million, the lowest since early 2021.

This is below the 2019 peak levels.

There are now 157,000 more unemployed than job openings, the BIGGEST GAP since March 2021.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️The Magnificent 7 forward price-to-sales (P/S) hit 8.2, AN ALL-TIME HIGH.

The ratio has DOUBLED since the 2022 bear market.

Meanwhile, P/S of the S&P 500 hit a record 3.2x.

Will the massive spending on AI infrastructure ever be paid off?👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️The US construction industry is going through a RECESSION:

US construction job openings CRATERED by 115,000 in August, to 188,000, the lowest in 8 YEARS.

Over the last 18 months, job openings in construction saw one of the largest drops on record.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️HOLY COW:

US corporate profits in non-financial domestic industries FELL by -$331 BILLION, or -11%, in Q1 2025.

This was the LARGEST quarterly decline in the data going back to 2001.

Q2 2025 saw only a slight improvement, with profits rising $9B👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🔴The ISM Services PMI fell to 50 in Sept, the 2nd-lowest since June 2024.

The ISM Services Business Activity Index fell to 49.9, the 2nd-lowest since the 2020 CRISIS.

The 6-month moving average hit is lowest since the FINANCIAL CRISIS, excl. 2020.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️This is WILD how pessimistic US consumers are about the job market:

65% of Americans now believe the unemployment rate will rise in the next 12 months, the 2nd-highest since the Financial Crisis.

The pessimism is larger than in the 2001 RECESSION.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
⚠️Investors are SELLING off US equities:

Institutional investors dumped $3.6 BILLION of US stocks last week, the most in 3 months.

Hedge funds sold for the 4th week.

Single stocks saw the 3rd-LARGEST 2‑week outflow since the Financial Crisis👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨US hiring intentions are at CRISIS levels:

US employers plan to add 117,313 jobs in September, the lowest reading for the month in 14 YEARS.

Year-to-date, employers have planned to add 204,939 jobs, the lowest figure since the FINANCIAL CRISIS.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨The US manufacturing sector has been in recession for nearly 3 YEARS now.

The ISM Manufacturing PMI improved slightly to 49.1 from 48.7 but remained in contraction.

New orders fell to 48.9, suggesting more weakness ahead.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨US layoffs are running at RECESSION levels:

US employers have announced 946,426 job cuts in 2025, the most since the 2020 CRISIS.

This is the 2nd-largest total since the Financial Crisis.

Over the last 36 years, only 4 times have seen higher layoffs👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨US household wealth has NEVER been more dependent on the S&P 500 performance:

US households hold a RECORD 80% of their assets in equities.

The share is higher than at the Dot-Com peak.

Diversification is nearly nonexistent among US households👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨The US labor market is CONTRACTING.

US ADP Private Employment FELL -32,000 in September, far below the expected gain of +51,000.

August was revised DOWN by -57,000, to -3,000.

This rarely happens outside of RECESSIONS.👇
⚠️US job market continues to deteriorate
The jobs report for September has not been released yet due to the government shutdown, but other data show a bleak picture of the labor market.
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
🚨Retail Investors are SPECULATING more than ever:

Retail call options volume 5-day moving average hit ~9 MILLION, an all-time high.

This is roughly 50% above the 2021 meme stock CRAZE levels.

Call volume has TRIPLED over the last 5.5 years.👇
US stocks finished higher amid weakening job market. Weekly market recap, trading week 40/2025
Summary of the trading week using the most popular posts from the X platform
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com
globalinvestor.bsky.social
📉Currency debasement is not a bug — it’s a feature of the fiat system.

Since Bretton Woods collapsed in 1971, not one of 152 countries has kept average inflation below 2%.

Even Switzerland averaged 2.2%.

Fiat money is in an eternal bear market.👇
📉Fiat money is in an eternal bear market.
Currency debasement is not a bug — it’s a feature of the fiat system.
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⚠️This is why investing is so important.

The US Dollar has devalued by a whopping 98.9% versus gold since 1971.

The British Pound has lost 99.4% while the Euro would have lost 98.8% if existed since then.

Fiat currencies are in a constant FREEFALL.👇
⚠️This is why investing is extremely important
The value of fiat currencies is in a constant free-fall
globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com