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Hilde C. Bjørnland

@hcbjornland.bsky.social

300 followers 170 following 9 posts

Professor of Economics @ BI Norwegian Business School | Macroeconomics; Energy Economics; Time Series | Author of: https://www.amazon.com/Applied-Time-Macroeconomics-Hilde-Bjørnland/dp/8205480893/ https://www.bjornland.no/ .. more

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Economics 86%

Energy 11%

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Reposted by Hilde C. Bjørnland

Francesco Furlanetto 🇺🇦 @furlanetto.bsky.social · Jun 23

@francescoravazzolo.bsky.social and I did it again! 5th Dolomiti Macro Meeting, this time in Pera di Fassa. www.unibz.it/assets/Event...

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Reposted by Hilde C. Bjørnland

Carlos Garriga @carlosgarriga.bsky.social · Mar 16

This video on tariffs has been circulating widely this week. The issue of protecting domestic winners is a perennial one. However, kudos to the team from the CEA or NEC who contributed to the speech.
#EconSky #FinSky #AcademiaSky

youtu.be/5t5QK03KXPc?...

President Reagan's Radio Address on Free and Fair Trade on April 25, 1987

YouTube video by Reagan Library

youtu.be

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Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Mar 7

📢 CONFERENCE ALERT 📢
«Applied Macroeconomics in a Changing World» in Oslo, September 11-12, 2025. Organized by Bank of Canada, Banca d'Italia, and CAMP_BI.

- Keynote speakers are Silvia Miranda-Agrippino (NY Fed) and Paolo Surico (LBS).
Call for papers:
👇👇👇

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Reposted by Hilde C. Bjørnland

Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · Feb 28

Americans responded (sharply!) to the Trump tariffs *before* they were even imposed. They imported extra stuff in December and January, rather than waiting and paying the higher prices that would occur when he was in office .

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Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Jan 29

New working paper is out (joint with Ruben Aag and Peder Eliassen): "Forecasting Oil and Gas Prices: A Model Combination Approach"
bicamp.wordpress.com/2024/12/31/f...

Forecasting oil and gas Prices: A Model Combination Approach

In the new CAMP Working Paper 08/2024, Ruben Aag, Hilde C. Bjørnland, and Peder Eliassen advance energy price forecasting by extending state-of-the-art econometric models for oil markets to address…

bicamp.wordpress.com

Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Jan 23

Jeg er lite bekymret for at Martin Bech Holte svartmaler. Vi vet for lite om hvorfor produktivitetsveksten har falt. Jeg er mer bekymret for at vi skyver problemet under teppet, igjen. Jeg skriver om dette i DN.
👇👇👇
www.dn.no/okonomi/okon...

Debatt: Jeg er lite bekymret for at Holte svartmaler situasjonen (+)

Vi vet for lite om årsakene til fallet i produktivitetsveksten og Holtes forklaringer bør tas på alvor. Jeg er mer bekymret for at vi skyver problemet under teppet, igjen.

www.dn.no

Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Dec 20

3/3

➡️ We avoid the delayed overshooting puzzle: After a monetary policy shock, the exchange rate appreciates immediately before gradually returning to equilibrium.

Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Dec 20

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➡️ Weakened productivity differential and a decline of Norway's petroleum sector has in particular weakened the krone exchange rate the last decade.

Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Dec 20

What we find:

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➡️ Productivity shifts and commodity market trends significantly shape the real exchange rate in Canada and Norway.

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Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Dec 20

We propose a structural VAR model with common trends-estimated with Bayesian techniques-to analyse real exchange rate dynamics, enabling a clear distinction between transitory and long-term effects of structural shocks.

Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Dec 20

📢 First post on Bluesky to share a new working paper with title "Piecing the Puzzle: Real Exchange Rates and Long-Run Fundamentals"

with Leif Brubakk & Nicolò Maffei Faccioli.

Check it out here:
www.norges-bank.no/aktuelt/nyhe...

Piecing the Puzzle: Real Exchange Rates and Long-Run Fundamentals

www.norges-bank.no

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Hilde C. Bjørnland @hcbjornland.bsky.social · Dec 3

Great idea. Happy to be added.