Kieran Doyle
@kierdoyle.bsky.social
3.7K followers 330 following 2.1K posts
Battery scientist by day, American Soccer Analysis, Statford Bridge Podcast by night https://www.youtube.com/@kierdoyle Build a bigger table
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Pinned
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Chelsea's 2024/25 season is done (sort of), and I gave Maresca a report card. You can listen/watch here, but here's the slides below.

youtu.be/-klDuOskwr0

open.spotify.com/episode/7CV2...
kierdoyle.bsky.social
I’ve actually always hated baseball
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Just not a serious performance by everyone across the board in Toronto
kierdoyle.bsky.social
You know there’s a lot of Indian immigration to Canada because the Blue Jays pitcher is throwing like he’s Jasprit Bumrah
kierdoyle.bsky.social
That's gotta be an all time never before said sentence
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Got a pitcher from the Yankees? Deserve to lose tbh
kierdoyle.bsky.social
3 drinks later I’m leaned on the counter like this and I refuse to sit down
kierdoyle.bsky.social
I am very lucky with Buck Martinez in Toronto
kierdoyle.bsky.social
This Amin guy is class and tomorrow I’ll have to listen to Twellman process his CTE in real time
kierdoyle.bsky.social
My biggest takeaway from my foray into baseball watching this year is that I may kill myself if I have to listen to another soccer or basketball commentator who calls their game like they actually hate the sport
kierdoyle.bsky.social
That is a genuinely terrible call lmao
kierdoyle.bsky.social
We’re at the pour another scotch and watch from the kitchen part of the night
kierdoyle.bsky.social
** G-PSxG performance
kierdoyle.bsky.social
You also say save % is a better predictor of future performance, which also isn't shown in these plots.
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Again, you don't show that in any of those plots.
I'm too lazy to pull the euro ones, but MLS last 5 years, 1200 mins+ 50 SOT save% has slightly better R value than G-PSxG (0.18 vs 0.13), but slightly worse than G/PsxG which controls for volume (0.21).
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Skuby Doo is throwing GAS
kierdoyle.bsky.social
The average deviation in save % is 5%, the average deviation in saves above expected is 4 saves, the average MLS GK faces ~120 shots on target against a season, which is 6 saves?
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Perhaps I’m missing it but I do not see anywhere in here where you show save % is more stable YoY or that it’s a better indicator of future performance
kierdoyle.bsky.social
My most significant Raptors 2025/26 take is that CMB is a very large human being
kierdoyle.bsky.social
I know less than nothing about baseball, I asked my friends today why on a double play the guy on first doesn't simply stand still and not leave
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Me watching soccer: actually it’s ok he missed the empty net because the skill of getting that chance is more valuable in the long term

Me watching any other sport: shut up nerd they should’ve let Yesavage throw a Nono to demoralize the Yankee hitters and this would be a sweep
kierdoyle.bsky.social
This guy plays offense like me at pick up
kierdoyle.bsky.social
Scottie Barnes should probably focus on doing things that win basketball games given he makes $35m a year now.
jlewenberg.bsky.social
Immanuel Quickly picks Bruce Brown up full court and forces the turnover, as Scottie Barnes claps in the face of his former teammate. 👀 🤠
kierdoyle.bsky.social
I wanted the nono 😔
blakemurphy.bsky.social
Trey Yesavae's day is done at 5.1IP, 0 hits, 1 walk, 11 strikeouts, and 78 pitches

What an ovation