Otrosdías
@otrosdias.bsky.social
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Reposted by Otrosdías
mikehoney.bsky.social
With the NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus" and XFG.* "Stratus" variants carving up dominance around the globe, it is time to ponder which variant might drive the next wave.

The leading contender at this point is PY.1.1.1.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #PY_1_1_1 #XFG_1_1
🧵
Reposted by Otrosdías
tomkindlon.bsky.social
US research:

"COVID-19 may have created a new year-round baseline for work absences...similar to influenza season conditions before the pandemic"

jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

"Policymakers should consider...policies & actions that mitigate the spread of #COVID19"

#LongCovid #CovidIsNotOver
Key Points
Question  Following the COVID-19 pandemic, has SARS-CoV-2 circulation been associated with health-related absences from work and labor force exits?

Findings  In this nationally representative cohort study of approximately 158.4 million workers, rates of health-related work absences remained elevated after the pandemic and were associated with circulating SARS-CoV-2 and subsequent decreases in labor force participation by absence-affected workers.

Meaning  These findings suggest that COVID-19 may have created a new year-round baseline for work absences that is similar to influenza season conditions before the pandemic; policymakers should consider expanding interventions and data collection efforts to address the negative impacts of COVID-19 on the labor force.
Reposted by Otrosdías
ralfwittenbrink.bsky.social
Dauerhafte Folgen der COVID-19-bedingten Arbeitsausfälle auf dem US-Arbeitsmarkt

„Die anhaltende Verbreitung von SARS-CoV-2 wirkt sich negativ auf die US-Arbeitskräfte aus, da krankheitsbedingte Fehlzeiten und das anschließende Ausscheiden aus dem Arbeitsmarkt zunehmen. Der …
Figure 4.  National Excess Labor Force Exits After a Health-Related Absence, January 2010 to December 2024 
Die Grafik zeigt die monatlichen Überabgänge aus dem Erwerbsleben nach gesundheitsbedingten Ausfällen (in Tausend). Diese Überabgänge wurden berechnet, indem die monatlichen Durchschnittswerte der Erwerbsausgänge vor der Pandemie (Januar 2010 bis Februar 2020) von der tatsächlichen Zahl der Erwerbsausgänge nach Ausbruch der Pandemie (März 2020 und später) abgezogen wurden. Die gestrichelte Linie steht für März 2020 (Beginn der Pandemie), die gepunktete Linie für Mai 2023 (Ende des öffentlichen Gesundheitsnotstands).
otrosdias.bsky.social
...from the Spring vaccination campaign? I don't know of any other country doing anything like this. Not allowing children access to COVID vaccines is also insane and pretty unique in the world.
otrosdias.bsky.social
It's crazy, in particular because this aimed at the most vulnerable and it creates social inequality because those who can afford it can buy privately the better vaccine. I also wonder how is this possible in the first place. Last year's vaccine must expire soon. Perhaps these are left overs...
otrosdias.bsky.social
In pretty much all countries it has. I think the exception is indeed the UK, where last year's vaccine is provided through the NHS and the new vaccine can be bought privately. So if you can afford it get it privately.
Reposted by Otrosdías
wunder2welt.bsky.social
As @andreastudiescovid.bsky.social mentioned: "Those outcomes need to be converted to rates. The COVID group is about four times the size of the influenza group."
So the mortality per infection would be a bit more than twice for Covid.
thecovidinfoguy.bsky.social
A study of 74,738 COVID cases and 18,790 influenza cases found that COVID patients had a higher risk of severe long COVID within 6 months.

Within 30 days, 826 COVID patients vs 89 flu patients died; within 90 days, 1,391 COVID patients vs 149 flu patients died, showing worse outcomes for COVID-19.
Severe COVID may carry higher risk of long-term conditions requiring hospitalization through 6 months
www.cidrap.umn.edu
Reposted by Otrosdías
thecovidinfoguy.bsky.social
A study of 74,738 COVID cases and 18,790 influenza cases found that COVID patients had a higher risk of severe long COVID within 6 months.

Within 30 days, 826 COVID patients vs 89 flu patients died; within 90 days, 1,391 COVID patients vs 149 flu patients died, showing worse outcomes for COVID-19.
Severe COVID may carry higher risk of long-term conditions requiring hospitalization through 6 months
www.cidrap.umn.edu
otrosdias.bsky.social
Important new paper confirming sick leave is now in a higher baseline due to COVID jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
otrosdias.bsky.social
Have you tried the BCRT pharmacy in Hamburg? bsky.app/profile/drmc...
drmccoy.info
1/2 Gute Nachricht: Die BCRT Reisepraxen in #Hamburg #Berlin #Düsseldorf #Köln #Frankfurt #Stuttgart #München impfen #impflp81 ab ca. 15.09. wieder ohne Termine gegen #Covid19 mit #BioNTech #Comirnaty #LP.8.1.

Kinderimpfungen nur via Kontaktformular:
➡️ bcrt.de/de/kontakt-i...

(Weiter in 2/2⤵️)
otrosdias.bsky.social
otrosdias.bsky.social
Hi, are you in Germany? In that case there are possibilities. Ask @u12schutz.bsky.social or @bildungabersicher.net for doctors local to you. And do search @noemi70.bsky.social 's time line for a long list of German pharmacies and practices that vaccinate against COVID... Best of luck!
otrosdias.bsky.social
Hi, are you in Germany? In that case there are possibilities. Ask @u12schutz.bsky.social or @bildungabersicher.net for doctors local to you. And do search @noemi70.bsky.social 's time line for a long list of German pharmacies and practices that vaccinate against COVID... Best of luck!
otrosdias.bsky.social
Actually, yes, that's extremely similar
otrosdias.bsky.social
@dvdvmoe.bsky.social @cyclad58.bsky.social Interesting, COVID in Finland now growing again after an earlier fall...
otrosdias.bsky.social
"The new research also “calls into question the idea that younger individuals and those without risk factors don’t need the vaccine,” Viswanathan says." @javierpadillab.bsky.social @sanderlab.bsky.social @bildungabersicher.net @u12schutz.bsky.social @winslowsp.bsky.social
otrosdias.bsky.social
Hi, I would ask @u12schutz.bsky.social or @bildungabersicher.net for practices near you that vaccinate children against COVID. Also look at @noemi70.bsky.social 's timeline, she lists practicesvand pharmacies that vaccinate. All the best!
otrosdias.bsky.social
Yes, but recommendations based on cost effectiveness that are only based on the risk of acute COVID and ignore the risk of Long COVID are irrational.
otrosdias.bsky.social
... so as to avoid politically problematic newspaper headlines. Wastewater, for examples contributes to the "Respi-radar" system that, if indicators go above certain thresholds would lead to a higher alarm level and therefore to recommendations of masking in hospitals, etc.
otrosdias.bsky.social
...because the story they present on wastewater is inconsistent (as you have described very well) and updating chart dimensions in the middle of a wave so that the increase looks slower takes more work than not updating it. So at the moment I think they are carefully managing the numbers...
otrosdias.bsky.social
Indeed! With Sciensano my money has typically been on deliberate "stupidity", i.e.: not outright lying, but just treating COVID figures with neglect so that they are not very useful and therefore politically embarrassing. But the recent wastewater changes and now this make me think more of malice...
otrosdias.bsky.social
No problem! Isn't it amazing that they changed the scaling from week to week? This suggests careful ongoing management of this publication.
otrosdias.bsky.social
..to track what is happening week after week, even if one assumes that these are changes made without ill will. Of course, this is Sciensano, the same organisation that keeps making weird and intransparent weekly changes to its wastewater data reporting bsky.app/profile/dvdv...
ME ist sciensano nicht in der Lage, plausible Daten zu 'schätzen'.
Im Bericht KW39 als falsch erkannte, nämlich 'underestimated' also zu niedrig geschätzte Daten werden jetzt noch niedriger (!) behauptet.
otrosdias.bsky.social
...looking more closely at the graphs, I saw that in the latest one (week 40, right) the y axis had been truncated to cover a smaller period, which had the result of making the increase seem slower than it did last week (week 39, left). This continuous tinkering with formats means it's difficult..