Mike Honey
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mikehoney.bsky.social
Mike Honey
@mikehoney.bsky.social
Data Visualisation and Data Integration specialist - Melbourne, Australia
https://linktr.ee/mike_honey_
Support my projects by sponsoring me on Github: https://github.com/sponsors/Mike-Honey
Pinned
Here's the latest variant picture with a global scope, to early November.

BA.3.* (mostly BA.3.2.2) has started showing significant signs of growth. Recent samples have mostly been reported from Germany and Australia.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Global #BA_3_2 #XFG #Stratus
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My work on SARS-CoV-2 variants informed a recent piece in The Lancet: "Epidemiological and virological update on the emerging SARS-CoV-2 variant BA.3.2".

The authors were kind enough to mention me and the Variant Hunters Ryan Hisner and Federico Gueli.
www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
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Epidemiological and virological update on the emerging SARS-CoV-2 variant BA.3.2
The constant emergence of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants has driven the COVID-19 pandemic and sustains the current endemic. Saltation variants, such as BA.2.86,1 encode highly mutated spike (S) proteins th...
www.thelancet.com
November 25, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Australian COVID-19 weekly stats update:

The risk estimate has been inching up again, current around 0.1% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-758.

That implies a 4% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
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November 24, 2025 at 9:45 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for Europe (excluding the UK), to early November.

BA.3.* (mostly BA.3.2.2) has started showing significant signs of growth. Recent samples have mostly been reported from Germany and the Netherlands.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #EUR #BA_3_2 #XFG #Stratus
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November 24, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for the United Kingdom, to early November.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant remained dominant, but fell sharply to 71%.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" grew sharply to 22%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #UK #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
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November 24, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for Canada, to early November.

XFG.* "Stratus" continued to dominate, roughly flat at 82%.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" was also flat at 13%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Canada #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #FLiRT
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November 24, 2025 at 8:31 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for the United States, to early November.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant continued it’s dominance, up slightly to 82% frequency.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" was roughly flat at 8%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #USA #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
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November 23, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for New Zealand, to late October.

In a chaotic scene, NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" is being challenged by JN.1.* +DeFLuQE (led by PE.1.4) and XFG.* "Stratus".

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #NZ #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #DeFLuQE #XFG #Stratus
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November 23, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for Australia, to early November.

BA.3.* (all BA.3.2.2) rose to 19% and seems the most likely challenger to replace NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus".

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia #BA_3_2
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November 23, 2025 at 5:42 AM
Here's the latest variant picture with a global scope, to early November.

BA.3.* (mostly BA.3.2.2) has started showing significant signs of growth. Recent samples have mostly been reported from Germany and Australia.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Global #BA_3_2 #XFG #Stratus
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November 23, 2025 at 5:28 AM
Reposted by Mike Honey
The dashboard version of the Perth wastewater concentration chart reveals an interesting momentum shift. From the point where BA.3.2.* was first detected in late July, the level of cases rose sharply.
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November 22, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Reposted by Mike Honey
In most other places, the downslope of each XFG.* wave has looked smooth and steep.

But in Germany, it seems the downslope has hit a ramp and is possibly trending back up now.

Early signal of BA.3.2.*? More severe?
November 21, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Reposted by Mike Honey
Here's the latest variant picture for BA.3.2.2 in Australia, and the NSW overall view.

Note the sample sizes have been very low and patchy recently.
November 19, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Here's the latest variant picture for Europe (excluding the UK), to late October.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant continued to dominate, growing again to 83% frequency.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell to 12%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #EUR #LP_8_1 #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
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November 15, 2025 at 4:41 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for the United Kingdom, to late October.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant remained dominant, falling slightly to 82%.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" grew to 13%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #UK #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
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November 15, 2025 at 4:38 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for Canada, to late October.

XFG.* "Stratus" continued to dominate, and grew slightly to 83%.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell to 12%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Canada #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #FLiRT
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November 15, 2025 at 4:26 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for the United States, to late October.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant continued it’s dominance, falling slightly to 80% frequency.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" was roughly flat at 9%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #USA #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
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November 15, 2025 at 4:24 AM
Here's the latest variant picture with a global scope, to late October.

XFG.* "Stratus" continued growing, up to 80%.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell to 13%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Global #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
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November 15, 2025 at 4:19 AM
Reposted by Mike Honey
Here's the latest I have on XFZ.*. A very robust growth advantage of 5.9% per day (41% per week) vs XFG.*. Broad geographical distribution.

Nova Scotia, Canada is the recent hotspot (OG XFZ).

Is this the one to drive the next wave?
November 15, 2025 at 3:29 AM
I’ve used WA Health’s COVID-19 wastewater surveillance page to estimate the number of infections of BA.3.2.

I estimate ~300 BA.3.2.* infections in Perth for the latest week, and ~6,000 across the 12 weeks since BA.3.2.* was first detected.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #BA_3_2 #Australia #WA #Perth
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November 15, 2025 at 1:29 AM
Australian COVID-19 weekly stats update:

The risk estimate has been steady around 0.1% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-948.

That implies a 3% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
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November 15, 2025 at 12:05 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for the "Global - Other" countries, to early October.

XFG.* "Stratus" grew strongly to 47%, just taking over dominance.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell to 46%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #GlobalOther #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #XFG #Stratus
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November 9, 2025 at 4:47 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for Europe (excluding the UK), to mid-October.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant continued to dominate, but fell to 77% frequency.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" grew to 14%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #EUR #LP_8_1 #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
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November 9, 2025 at 4:35 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for the United Kingdom, to mid-October.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant remained dominant, growing to 85%.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell to 8%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #UK #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
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November 9, 2025 at 3:53 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for Canada, to mid-October.

XFG.* "Stratus" continued to dominate, and grew again to 82%.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell to 14%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Canada #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #FLiRT
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November 9, 2025 at 3:51 AM
Here's the latest variant picture for the United States, to mid-October.

The XFG.* "Stratus" variant continued it’s dominance, roughly flat at 83% frequency.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" was also roughly flat at 10%.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #USA #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus
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November 9, 2025 at 3:47 AM