Richard Weitz
@richardweitzdc.bsky.social
31 followers 73 following 25 posts

Washington-DC based international security analyst

Political science 69%
Sociology 7%
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
My analysis of the Trump-Putin summit: eagleintelreports.com/alaska-summi...

"Rather than a watershed moment in the Ukraine war and in US policy towards Russia, we should see the summit as contributing to a dynamic process that could eventually lead to a range of possible outcomes. "
Trump-Putin Alaska Summit: Shaping War and Peace
At the end of last week, the diplomatic world was shocked to learn of a potential breakthrough regarding the Russian-Ukrainian war.
eagleintelreports.com

Reposted by Richard Weitz

outrider.org
Journalists: Please join us at the @outrider.org Nuclear Reporting Summit on October 9-10!

This free, two-day event will focus on how #nuclearweapons issues intersect with AI, community health, #climatechange, local economies, and the #environment.

🔗 APPLY NOW: outrider.org/conference/2...
2025 Outrider Nuclear Reporting Summit
This fall, in a former nuclear missile silo, we'll convene journalists at the nexus of health, climate, artificial intelligence, outer space, and national security to discuss how these issues are inte...
outrider.org

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.):
• A peace deal with Ukraine could allow Russia to devote more security resources to Central Asia while reducing Kazakhstan’s and Uzbekistan’s importance to sanctions circumvention.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.):
• Western sanctions have spurred Chinese, Kazakhstani, and Uzbekistani efforts to construct alternative transportation routes and pursue foreign markets outside Russian territory.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.):
• Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have constrained their security cooperation with Russia, but their economic ties with Russia and China have strengthened substantially.

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.):
• Western sanctions have spurred Chinese, Kazakhstani, and Uzbekistani efforts to construct alternative transportation routes and pursue foreign markets outside Russian territory.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.):
• Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have constrained their security cooperation with Russia, but their economic ties with Russia and China have strengthened substantially.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways: (cont.)
• China has pursued a less assertive stance toward potential territorial conflicts in Central Asia than in other regions.
• The transformation of Eurasian energy markets promotes Sino-Russian cooperation and provides Moscow and Beijing with additional leverage over Central Asia.

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.):
• Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have constrained their security cooperation with Russia, but their economic ties with Russia and China have strengthened substantially.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways: (cont.)
• China has pursued a less assertive stance toward potential territorial conflicts in Central Asia than in other regions.
• The transformation of Eurasian energy markets promotes Sino-Russian cooperation and provides Moscow and Beijing with additional leverage over Central Asia.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Central Asia has been a bellwether of the Sino-Russian relationship.
• Russia accounts for almost all of Kazakhstan’s imported weapons systems, while Uzbekistan buys most of its imported arms from Russia.

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways: (cont.)
• China has pursued a less assertive stance toward potential territorial conflicts in Central Asia than in other regions.
• The transformation of Eurasian energy markets promotes Sino-Russian cooperation and provides Moscow and Beijing with additional leverage over Central Asia.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Central Asia has been a bellwether of the Sino-Russian relationship.
• Russia accounts for almost all of Kazakhstan’s imported weapons systems, while Uzbekistan buys most of its imported arms from Russia.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our fourth RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Central Asia has been a bellwether of the Sino-Russian relationship.
• Russia accounts for almost all of Kazakhstan’s imported weapons systems, while Uzbekistan buys most of its imported arms from Russia.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our fourth RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...
Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary
View PDF Executive Summary
www.hudson.org

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our fourth RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...
Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Central Asia: Preliminary Summary
View PDF Executive Summary
www.hudson.org

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.)
• Despite differences regarding the SCO and the organization’s declining relative importance to Russia and China, the two countries have sustained a robust security partnership within the organization and in Central Asia.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.)
• Participating in SCO exercises provided the Chinese military with some of its first opportunities to rehearse power projection capabilities.
• The SCO has ceased holding its large Peace Mission series of exercises; other drills occur but less regularly.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Though not a mutual defense alliance, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) remains the most important multilateral security structure in Central Asia that includes both Russia and China.

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont.)
• Participating in SCO exercises provided the Chinese military with some of its first opportunities to rehearse power projection capabilities.
• The SCO has ceased holding its large Peace Mission series of exercises; other drills occur but less regularly.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Though not a mutual defense alliance, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) remains the most important multilateral security structure in Central Asia that includes both Russia and China.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our third RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding the Shanghai Cooperation Organization,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Though not a mutual defense alliance, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) remains the most important multilateral security structure in Central Asia that includes both Russia and China.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our third RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding the Shanghai Cooperation Organization,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...
Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
View PDF Takeaways
www.hudson.org

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our third RSI-funded report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding the Shanghai Cooperation Organization,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...
Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
View PDF Takeaways
www.hudson.org
nytimes.com
At the very beginning of their professional lives, some young people have had their summer internships derailed by the Department of Government Efficiency.
Collateral Damage in Federal Work Force Cuts: Summer Interns
www.nytimes.com
washingtonpost.com
Scientists have released the closest images ever taken near the sun, captured by NASA’s Parker Solar Probe flying 3.8 million miles above the solar surface.

See more images of solar eruptions on the sun: wapo.st/3Irm3P3

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont)
• The new BRICS Plus format could provide another multilateral structure for deepening collaboration among Russia, China, and Uzbekistan.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont)
• Uzbekistan is becoming a linchpin for Russia’s and China’s separate regional integration projects, which have not yet caused significant Sino-Russian friction.
• Uzbekistan could seek additional Russian and Chinese assistance to manage potential threats from Afghanistan.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Russian-Uzbekistani defense ties have grown substantially during the past decade, while Uzbekistan’s military relations with China remain modest.
• Russia, China, and Uzbekistan cooperate best on counterterrorism, transportation, and energy issues.

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways (cont)
• Uzbekistan is becoming a linchpin for Russia’s and China’s separate regional integration projects, which have not yet caused significant Sino-Russian friction.
• Uzbekistan could seek additional Russian and Chinese assistance to manage potential threats from Afghanistan.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Russian-Uzbekistani defense ties have grown substantially during the past decade, while Uzbekistan’s military relations with China remain modest.
• Russia, China, and Uzbekistan cooperate best on counterterrorism, transportation, and energy issues.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our second report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Uzbekistan,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Takeaways
• Russian-Uzbekistani defense ties have grown substantially during the past decade, while Uzbekistan’s military relations with China remain modest.
• Russia, China, and Uzbekistan cooperate best on counterterrorism, transportation, and energy issues.
richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our second report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Uzbekistan,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...
Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Uzbekistan
View PDF Takeaways
www.hudson.org

richardweitzdc.bsky.social
Our second report on Russian-Chinese relations in Central Asia, “Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Uzbekistan,” has been published at www.hudson.org/security-all...
Sino-Russian Interactions Regarding Uzbekistan
View PDF Takeaways
www.hudson.org

Reposted by Richard Weitz

Reposted by Richard Weitz

jackieschneider.bsky.social
Mine and Julia Macdonald's new podcast on autonomy--from mines to missiles to drones--is now available! Follow the people behind America's unmanned arsenal from the revolutionary war to Afghanistan, Ukraine, and looking to the future.
www.hoover.org/research/epi...
Episode 1: The Hand Behind Unmanned – America’s Quest For Autonomous War
What are unmanned weapons and where did America’s quest for autonomy begin?
www.hoover.org

Reposted by Richard Weitz

nukestrat.bsky.social
Audacious Ukrainian drone attack on Russian bomber bases. Several Tu-95 strategic and Tu-22 regional bombers destroyed or damaged. Both types are dual-capable and have been used to bomb Ukraine for years. Illustrates extraordinary vulnerability of bombers. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...
Ukraine launches major drone attack on Russian bombers, security official says
Reported strikes on four airbases in Siberia mark escalation in cross-border incursions before planned peace talks
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Richard Weitz

kfriedhoff.bsky.social
We're now within the 7-day moratorium on new public opinion polls ahead of the ROK presidential election. The last weekly poll from Gallup Korea has Lee (45%) with a clear lead over Kim (36%) and Lee June-seok (10%).

Reposted by Richard Weitz

poni.csis.org
Don't miss the deadline to apply to PONI's Mid-Career Cadre! Participants advance their technical, policy and leadership skills in the nuclear field through a variety of professional development programming.

Applications close in two weeks on June 2nd.
Mid-Career Cadre - Nuclear Network
The Mid-Career Cadre is a select group of nuclear professionals that have been in the field for 7 or more years and demonstrate promise for moving into leadership positions or bringing new ideas and…
nuclearnetwork.csis.org

Reposted by Richard Weitz

nukestrat.bsky.social
Our new FAS Nuclear Notebook on Russian nuclear forces is now available. We estimate a stockpile of just over 4,300 warheads, modernizations, but also delays. Earlier STRATCOM projection of significant increase in tac nukes has not yet materialized. www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....

Reposted by Richard Weitz

asia.nikkei.com
South Korea election campaigning begins: Who are the two major candidates looking to lead the country out of its monthslong political crisis and revive the economy?

Current poll support:
52.1% -- opposition candidate Lee Jae-myung
31.1% -- ruling candidate Kim Moon-soo
s.nikkei.com/3GQZq5N

Reposted by Richard Weitz

iajournal.bsky.social
Joseph S. Nye, Jr., one of the foremost scholars of International Relations, passed away this week.

In his honour, here is a compilation of his writings for our journal over the years and a lecture he delivered at @chathamhouse.org in 2010. 🧵👇