Sergey
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Sergey
@sergeycyw.bsky.social
64 followers 22 following 14K posts
I talk about growth stock investing and fundamental analysis with a long-term mindset. I provide earnings reviews and key news updates. Not investment advice. SergeyCYW.substack.com
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$110B TAM growing ~14% and only ~4% share keeps the runway long, while CAC payback at 5.5 months and rising NGS ARR (+32% YoY) point to improving efficiency.

The signal: consolidation wins, strong retention rate, and larger customers scaling fast—platformization is turning into durable growth.
Palo Alto Networks: platformization is working — growth re-accelerates

#PANW is leaning into a “free now, platform later” playbook to lock in multi-product adoption, and the numbers are starting to show it. Revenue growth re-accelerated to +15.8% YoY with RPO up +24.2% and record net new ARR.
The next cloud era is already here—it just runs on GPUs.
Valuations diverge — #NBIS trades at a premium, #WULF and #IREN near fair value, #CRWV below peers. Enterprise adoption accelerates with 90% of organizations testing or deploying Neo Clouds, confirming a structural shift in how compute is bought, scaled, and monetized.
#APLD scaling AI-hosted HPC centers, #CIFR entering a $3B Google-backed HPC deal, and #IREN adding 11K Blackwell GPUs for $225M in annualized AI revenue.
#NBIS leads with +215% 2026 revenue growth forecast and a $17.4B Microsoft deal locking visibility through 2031. #CRWV follows at +130%, expanding multi-billion contracts with OpenAI. #WULF up +102% as it pivots from Bitcoin mining to AI compute with Google’s backing.
Yet, can the sector maintain triple-digit growth as GPU shortages and capital intensity converge? The answer will define the next wave of cloud disruption.
Neo Clouds cut infrastructure costs by up to 50% and boost margins through optimized deployment—an irresistible value proposition for enterprises racing to scale AI.
Neo Clouds Are Rewiring the Cloud Economy

The fastest-growing layer of the cloud stack isn’t AWS or Azure—it’s the rise of Neo Clouds. GPU-as-a-Service revenue is projected to exceed $65B by 2030, expanding 23–30% annually as AI training and inference drive insatiable demand.
With valuation rich and growth expectations reset higher, is the reacceleration durable?
TAM expansion helps the story—$116B in 2025 and marching toward $225–250B by 2028–2029.

Still, the mosaic isn’t flawless: ARR growth trails revenue at 20.5%, net new ARR improved only modestly, and CAC payback sits at 25.7 months.
Signal matters. So do proof points. RPO jumped 46.9%, billings rose 24.8%, and the product engine kept humming with fresh launches across identity, SIEM, cloud, and Charlotte AI. The premium multiple looks defensible when a platform keeps compounding and the July 19 shock failed to dent stickiness.
CrowdStrike: Back-Half Torque Meets a Premium Tag

#CRWD #CrowdStrike Q2 landed clean: revenue reaccelerated, guidance sharpened. Management now calls for FY26 ending ARR “>22%,” a stance underpinned by back-half net new ARR growth of at least 40% YoY.
$NFLX Regional Breakdown
↗️$11.510B Total rev (+17.2% YoY, +3.9% QoQ)

↗️$5.072B UCAN rev (+17.3% YoY, 44% of Rev)
↗️$3.699B EMEA rev (+18.1% YoY, 32% of Rev)
↘️$1.371B LATAM rev (+10.5% YoY, 12% of Rev)
↗️$1.369B APAC rev (+21.3% YoY, 12% of Rev)
Tesla $TSLA Q3'25 Earnings Preview

Consensus Estimates:
Revenue $25,787M (+2.4% YoY)
EPS $0.55 (-23.6% YoY)

If #TSLA beat estimates by 2.8% (same as last quarter) Q3'25 Revenue Growth will be +5.2% YoY
Still, the overall trend is unmistakably positive—revenue growth re-accelerating, operating leverage improving, and margins expanding. Shares rose +17% post-earnings as investors priced in renewed confidence in $ISRG leadership in surgical robotics.
Systems revenue jumped +32.7% YoY, while Instruments & Accessories rose +20.1% and Services +20.4%. Product gross margin slipped slightly to 67% (-0.7 pps YoY), and service margins declined 3.1 pps to 64%, signaling mild cost pressure.
Profitability remains exceptional—EBITDA margin climbed to 37%, while SG&A and R&D leverage improved. The result is a business scaling efficiently, even as Intuitive continues investing in robotics and digital surgery innovation.
Growth re-accelerated to +22.9% YoY, marking its strongest expansion in over a year. Operating income rose +31.6% YoY to $760M, driving a 200 bps margin expansion to 30%. Net income grew +24.7% YoY to $704M, with EPS up +25%.
Intuitive Surgical #ISRG: Earnings Surge on Strong Procedure Growth and Record Margins

$ISRG delivered a standout Q3, beating both top and bottom-line estimates with revenue of $2.51B vs. $2.40B expected and EPS of $2.40 vs. $1.82.
• Brazilian tax (10% outbound) drove operating income shortfall; retroactive to 2022; ~20% of charge tied to 2025